Liudmila Samsonova and Jelena Ostapenko will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.88
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.92
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Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Jelena Ostapenko
This will be the 3rd time that Liudmila Samsonova and Jelena Ostapenko play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Ostapenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Ostapenko won 6-1 7-6(4) in the semifinal in Luxembourg back in 2021.
Liudmila Samsonova
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 26-22 | 12-14 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
2020 | 20-12 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Samsonova reached the 3rd round after defeating Maryna Zanevska 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Samsonova had a good straight sets win against Zanevska (6-2 6-3). During the match, Samsonova scored 67 points vs Zanevska’s 46. Ludmilla was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Samsonova made 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 60% of her first serves in, winning 79% (22/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. Ludmilla broke Zanevska 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).
Samsonova has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 64% of her matches (243-137). 1-1 on clay in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Samsonova has an overall97-61 record in the last 8 years on clay.
Samsonova’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Abu Dhabi.
Samsonova has an overall 9-9 win-loss record in 2023, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Jelena Ostapenko
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
2020 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Jelena reached the 3rd round after defeating Linda Fruhvirtova 6-0 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Latvian had a good straight sets win against Fruhvirtova (6-0 6-3). During the match Ostapenko scored 57 points vs Fruhvirtova’s 30. The Latvian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 18 winners.
About the serving games, Ostapenko fired 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 56% of her first serves in, winning 67% (18/27) of the points behind her 1st serve and 71% (15/21) on the 2nd serve. Ostapenko broke Fruhvirtova 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
The Latvian has an aggregate 14-9 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019 and 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Samsonova | Ostapenko |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
Tot Games | 17 | 15 |
Pts | 67-46 | 57-30 |
Total Points | 113 | 87 |
Winners | 22 | 18 |
%Winners | 33% | 32% |
Both Samsonova and Ostapenko played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Samsonova and Ostapenko have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Samsonova played 2 games more than Ostapenko. The Russian scored 22 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Ostapenko struck 18 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Samsonova | Ostapenko |
---|---|---|
Aces | 3 | 2 |
Avg per match | 3 | 2 |
1st in | 28/47 | 27/48 |
%1st in | 60% | 56% |
1st pts | 22/28 | 18/27 |
%1st pts | 79% | 67% |
2nd pts | 9/19 | 15/21 |
%2nd pts | 47% | 71% |
Samsonova scored 3 aces . Ostapenko bagged 2 aces . Samsonova won 79% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Ostapenko won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 71% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Samsonova | Ostapenko |
---|---|---|
Won | 6 | 5 |
Converted | 6/8 | 5/6 |
% Converted | 75% | 83% |
Conceded | 7 | 3 |
Saved | 5 | 2 |
% Saved | 71% | 67% |
Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Samsonova broke her opponent 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. The Latvian broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Jelena conceded her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
Samsonova | |||
R2 Zanevska |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
pts | 67-46 | 67-46 | |
Total points | 113 | 113 | |
Winners | 22 | 22 | |
%Winners | 33% | 33% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 3 | 3 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
1st in | 28/47 | 28/47 | |
% 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
1st pts | 22/28 | 22/28 | |
% 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
2nd pts | 9/19 | 9/19 | |
% 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 6 | 6 | |
Converted | 6/8 | 6/8 | |
Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Ostapenko | |||
R2 Fruhvirtova |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-0 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
pts | 57-30 | 57-30 | |
Total points | 87 | 87 | |
Winners | 18 | 18 | |
%Winners | 32% | 32% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 2 | 2 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
1st in | 27/48 | 27/48 | |
% 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
1st pts | 18/27 | 18/27 | |
% 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
2nd pts | 15/21 | 15/21 | |
% 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 5 | 5 | |
Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Alycia ParksParks – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Caty McNallyMcNally (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Alize CornetCornet (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (7-5 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Eugenie BouchardBouchard (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Bernarda PeraPera – Tatjana MariaMaria (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Elena RybakinaRybakina (7-5 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz (6-3 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Magdalena FrechFrech (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Danka KovinicKovinic (6-3 4-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (7-61 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Mayar SherifSherif – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-2 7-63) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Petra KvitovaKvitova (7-69 6-1) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Irene Burillo EscorihuelaBurillo Escorihuela (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Marta KostyukKostyuk (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Arantxa RusRus (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Maryna ZanevskaZanevska (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – Donna VekicVekic (6-1 7-65) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Rebecca MarinoMarino (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Shelby RogersRogers – Ana BogdanBogdan (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Kevin KingKing – Deiton BaughmanBaughman (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Dennis NevoloNevolo – Evan ZhuZhu (6-1 7-67) – See score progression
- Jorge MonteroMontero – Takanyi GarangangaGaranganga (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Liam CaruanaCaruana – Boris AriasArias (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Roberto Cid SuberviCid Subervi – Kaichi UchidaUchida (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Makoto OchiOchi – Samuel MonetteMonette (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Benjamin SigouinSigouin – Ante PavicPavic (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Daniel NguyenNguyen – Jonathan ChangChang (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Bernarda PeraPera – Tatjana MariaMaria (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Caty McNallyMcNally (6-4 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Alize CornetCornet (7-6(2) 6-3) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Danka KovinicKovinic (6-3 4-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (7-6(6) 6-3) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Elena RybakinaRybakina (7-5 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Magdalena FrechFrech (7-6(5) 6-3) – See score progression
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Eugenie BouchardBouchard (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Alycia ParksParks – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (6-2 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz (6-3 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (7-5 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Julia GrabherGrabher (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Xiyu WangWang – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Alycia ParksParks (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Shelby RogersRogers (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Mayar SherifSherif (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction