Matteo Arnaldi and Marco Trungelliti will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Murcia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on PISTA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.53
Marco Trungelliti -> 2.42
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Marco Trungelliti
There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Marco Trungelliti since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-26 | 11-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 116, the Italian got to the semifinal after beating Feliciano Lopez 6-3 7-64, Kimmer Coppejans 3-6 6-4 6-4 and Mikhail Kukushkin 6-4 6-1.
In the quarter, Arnaldi had a good straight sets win against Kukushkin (6-4 6-1). During the match, Arnaldi scored 59 points vs Kukushkin’s 39. Arnaldi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Arnaldi fired 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve once. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 64% of his first serves in, winning 79% (27/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (8/19) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Kukushkin 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Arnaldi has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 62% of his matches (149-93). 3-1 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaldi has an aggregate95-49 record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he beat Raul Brancaccio in the final 6-1 6-2.
The Italian has a compiled 13-11 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Murcia Challenger
Matteo has never competed in this tournament before.
Marco Trungelliti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-29 | 4-5 | 42-19 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-28 | 12-11 | 31-15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 7-8 | 30-19 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-16 | 4-3 | 16-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-16 | 4-2 | 20-11 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 217, Marco got to the semifinal after defeating Kyle Edmund 1-6 6-3 6-3, Andrea Collarini 4-6 6-2 6-3 and Viktor Durasovic 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, Trungelliti had a good straight sets win against Durasovic (6-4 6-4). During the match Trungelliti scored 77 points vs Durasovic’s 64. Trungelliti was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Trungelliti bagged 2 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Marco Trungelliti lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Trungelliti put 61% of his first serves in, winning 74% (29/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (10/25) on the 2nd serve. Marco broke Durasovic 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marco has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Trungelliti has an overall 10-8 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Murcia Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 68 | 72 |
| Pts | 231-203 | 248-221 |
| Total Points | 434 | 469 |
| Winners | 111 | 91 |
| %Winners | 48% | 37% |
Both Arnaldi and Trungelliti played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Arnaldi lost 1 set, while Marco Trungelliti lost 2 sets. Arnaldi has played 1 set(s) less than Trungelliti (7 vs 8). Therefore, Arnaldi played 4 games less than Trungelliti. Arnaldi scored 111 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Trungelliti struck 91 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2.3 |
| 1st in | 157/239 | 136/232 |
| %1st in | 66% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 111/157 | 91/136 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 42/82 | 52/96 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 54% |
Arnaldi scored 12 aces (4 per match). Trungelliti scored 7 aces (2.3 per match). Arnaldi won 71% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Trungelliti won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 14 |
| Converted | 9/24 | 14/35 |
| % Converted | 38% | 40% |
| Conceded | 23 | 22 |
| Saved | 18 | 13 |
| % Saved | 78% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 9 |
The Italian broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Matteo conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 14 times with a 40% conversion rate. Marco conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | |||||
| R1 Lopez |
R2 Coppejans |
1/4 Kukushkin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 29 | 17 | 68 | |
| pts | 75-59 | 97-105 | 59-39 | 231-203 | |
| Total points | 134 | 202 | 98 | 434 | |
| Winners | 34 | 50 | 27 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 52% | 46% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 41/67 | 82/119 | 34/53 | 157/239 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 69% | 64% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 34/41 | 50/82 | 27/34 | 111/157 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 61% | 79% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 19/37 | 8/19 | 42/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 51% | 42% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 3/10 | 4/7 | 9/24 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 30% | 57% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 19 | 1 | 23 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 16/19 | 0/1 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 84% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
| Trungelliti | |||||
| R1 Edmund |
R2 Collarini |
1/4 Durasovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-3 6-3 | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 27 | 20 | 72 | |
| pts | 81-76 | 90-81 | 77-64 | 248-221 | |
| Total points | 157 | 171 | 141 | 469 | |
| Winners | 29 | 33 | 29 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 37% | 38% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 42/79 | 55/89 | 39/64 | 136/232 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 62% | 61% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 29/42 | 33/55 | 29/39 | 91/136 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 60% | 74% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/37 | 22/34 | 10/25 | 52/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 65% | 40% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 5/13 | 5/11 | 14/35 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 38% | 45% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 8 | 5 | 22 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 5/8 | 2/5 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 63% | 40% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWLLWLW
LWWWLLLLWW Tennis Scores in Murcia Challenger
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Borna GojoGojo – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-1 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Daniel Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Borna GojoGojo – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-1 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Daniel Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Borna GojoGojo – Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
