Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe will clash against each other in the semifinal of the BNP Paribas Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.32
Frances Tiafoe -> 3.4
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Frances Tiafoe
This will be the 6th time that Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe clash against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Medvedev won 6-4 6-3 in the 4th round in Miami back in 2021.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe – Miami 30-March-2021
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Daniil reached the semifinal after beating Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-3, Ilya Ivashka 6-2 3-6 6-1, Alexander Zverev 6-75 7-65 7-5 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 7-5.
In the quarter, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (6-3 7-5). During the match, Medvedev scored 80 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 65. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev blasted 4 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was pretty effective on serve to win 85% (33/39) of his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Davidovich Fokina twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniil has lost 2 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a superlative win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (446-180). 18-2 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has a composed 199-64 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he defeated Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2.
The Russian has a compiled 23-2 win-loss record in 2023, 18-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Frances Tiafoe
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-27 | 21-13 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-21 | 21-10 | 8-4 | 4-5 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-25 | 19-11 | 8-6 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 10-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-15 | 7-9 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, Francis got to the semifinal after defeating Marcos Giron 6-2 6-2, Jason Murray Kubler 6-3 6-2, Alejandro Tabilo 6-4 6-4 and Cameron Norrie 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, Francis had a good straight sets win against Norrie (6-4 6-4). During the match Tiafoe scored 64 points vs Norrie’s 53. Francis was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Tiafoe blasted 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Frances Tiafoe was very effective on serve to win 77% (24/31) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Francis broke Norrie 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tiafoe hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Australia where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-2 0-0 ret..
Francis has an overall 14-3 win-loss record in 2023, 13-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 102 | 73 |
| Pts | 356-305 | 247-190 |
| Total Points | 661 | 437 |
| Winners | 157 | 112 |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% |
Both Medvedev and Tiafoe played 4 matches. At the moment, Daniil Medvedev dropped 2 sets while Frances Tiafoe hasn’t dropped a set so far. Medvedev has played 2 sets more than Tiafoe (10 vs 8). Therefore, Medvedev played 29 games more than Tiafoe. Medvedev scored 157 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 112 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 30 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 5.8 |
| 1st in | 206/333 | 142/230 |
| %1st in | 62% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 157/206 | 112/142 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 71/127 | 48/88 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 55% |
Medvedev scored 30 aces (7.5 per match). Tiafoe fired 23 aces (5.8 per match). Medvedev won 76% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Tiafoe won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 14 |
| Converted | 13/35 | 14/27 |
| % Converted | 37% | 52% |
| Conceded | 36 | 14 |
| Saved | 32 | 11 |
| % Saved | 89% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
Daniil broke his opponents 13 times with a 37% conversion rate. Daniil conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. Tiafoe broke his opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. Francis conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||||
| R2 Nakashima |
R3 Ivashka |
R4 Zverev |
1/4 Davidovich Fokina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 3-6 6-1 | 6-75 7-65 7-5 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 24 | 38 | 21 | 102 | |
| pts | 67-50 | 79-65 | 130-125 | 80-65 | 356-305 | |
| Total points | 117 | 144 | 255 | 145 | 661 | |
| Winners | 24 | 35 | 65 | 33 | 157 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 44% | 50% | 41% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20 | |
| 1st in | 33/56 | 47/76 | 87/131 | 39/70 | 206/333 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 62% | 66% | 56% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 24/33 | 35/47 | 65/87 | 33/39 | 157/206 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 74% | 75% | 85% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/23 | 14/29 | 24/44 | 17/31 | 71/127 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 48% | 55% | 55% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/13 | 3/8 | 2/7 | 13/35 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 38% | 38% | 29% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 17 | 6 | 36 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 5/7 | 15/17 | 6/6 | 32 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 71% | 88% | 100% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Tiafoe | ||||||
| R2 Giron |
R3 Murray Kubler |
R4 Tabilo |
1/4 Norrie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 73 | |
| pts | 57-37 | 59-42 | 67-58 | 64-53 | 247-190 | |
| Total points | 94 | 101 | 125 | 117 | 437 | |
| Winners | 22 | 33 | 33 | 24 | 112 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 56% | 49% | 38% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 25/42 | 43/59 | 43/71 | 31/58 | 142/230 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 73% | 61% | 53% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 22/25 | 33/43 | 33/43 | 24/31 | 112/142 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 77% | 77% | 77% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 8/16 | 14/28 | 15/27 | 48/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 50% | 50% | 56% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 3/4 | 3/3 | 4/9 | 14/27 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 75% | 100% | 44% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 14 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/1 | 5/6 | 5/7 | 11 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 83% | 71% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWWWLW
LLWLWLWLLW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski – Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (6-3 4-6 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Jannik SinnerSinner (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (4-1) – H2H and prediction
