Sebastian Baez and Nicolas Jarry will face off in the quarter of the Rio Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 8:30 pm on QUADRA GUGA KUERTEN. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.86
Nicolas Jarry -> 1.95
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Nicolas Jarry
This will be the 2nd time that Sebastian Baez and Nicolas Jarry square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Baez (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Baez won 6-4 6-4 in the semifinal in the Santiago 2 Challenger back in 2021.
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-23 | 5-8 | 26-11 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-13 | 10-3 | 18-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, the Argentine reached the quarter after defeating Thomaz Bellucci 6-3 6-2 and Juan Pablo Varillas 7-5 7-66.
In the 2nd round, Baez had a good straight sets win against Pablo Patino-Samudio (7-5 7-66). During the match, Baez scored 85 points vs Pablo Patino-Samudio’s 72. Sebastian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Baez fired 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve 5 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 74% of his first serves in, winning 56% (33/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Pablo Patino-Samudio 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sebastian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Baez has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 66% of his matches (193-98). 6-1 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Baez has a composed170-66 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Cordoba where he defeated Federico Coria in the final 6-1 3-6 6-3.
The Argentine has a compiled 6-4 win-loss record in 2023, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Nicolas Jarry
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-20 | 8-10 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 14-7 | 21-8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 8-5 | 30-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-22 | 13-4 | 32-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 139, the Chilean got to the quarter after defeating Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-1 6-2, Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-2 6-3, Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-1 and Pedro Martinez Portero 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Jarry had a good straight sets win against Martinez Portero (6-2 6-2). During the match Jarry scored 65 points vs Martinez Portero’s 44. The Chilean was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Jarry scored 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Nicolas Jarry was quite effective on serve to win 83% (20/24) of his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Chilean broke Martinez Portero 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nicolas started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 62% of the points he played.
The Chilean has an overall 9-3 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Baez | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 65 |
| Pts | 157-123 | 236-144 |
| Total Points | 280 | 380 |
| Winners | 61 | 87 |
| %Winners | 39% | 37% |
Baez played 2 matches while Jarry competed in 4 matches. Jarry started his run from the qualifications while Baez had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Baez has played 4 set(s) less than Jarry (4 vs 8). Therefore, Baez played 23 games less than Jarry. Sebastian scored 61 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Chilean struck 87 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Baez | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 31 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 7.8 |
| 1st in | 94/132 | 105/173 |
| %1st in | 71% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 61/94 | 87/105 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 23/38 | 50/68 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 74% |
Baez bagged 4 aces (2 per match). Jarry made 31 aces (7.8 per match). Baez won 65% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Jarry won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 74% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Baez | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 15 |
| Converted | 9/16 | 15/23 |
| % Converted | 56% | 65% |
| Conceded | 9 | 3 |
| Saved | 4 | 3 |
| % Saved | 44% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Baez lost his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. The Chilean broke his opponents 15 times with a 65% conversion rate. Jarry was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
| Baez | ||||
| R1 Bellucci |
R2 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 7-5 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 25 | 42 | |
| pts | 72-51 | 85-72 | 157-123 | |
| Total points | 123 | 157 | 280 | |
| Winners | 28 | 33 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 35/52 | 59/80 | 94/132 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 74% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 33/59 | 61/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 56% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 12/21 | 23/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 57% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 6/8 | 9/16 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 75% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 29% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Jarry | ||||||
| Q1 Ugo |
Q3 Manuel |
R1 Musetti |
R2 Martinez Portero |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 65 | |
| pts | 55-29 | 59-35 | 57-36 | 65-44 | 236-144 | |
| Total points | 84 | 94 | 93 | 109 | 380 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | 19 | 20 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 41% | 33% | 31% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 13 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 32/44 | 27/41 | 22/39 | 24/49 | 105/173 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 66% | 56% | 49% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 24/32 | 24/27 | 19/22 | 20/24 | 87/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 89% | 86% | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/12 | 12/14 | 13/17 | 16/25 | 50/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 86% | 76% | 64% | 74% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/4 | 4/5 | 4/8 | 15/23 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 75% | 80% | 50% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | – | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWLWWL
LLWLLLLLLL 
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