Belinda Bencic and Liudmila Samsonova will clash against each other in the final of the Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:00 pm on Stadium Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Belinda Bencic who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Belinda Bencic is the pick to win this match.
Belinda Bencic -> 1.6
Liudmila Samsonova -> 2.34
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Prediction and head to head Belinda Bencic vs. Liudmila Samsonova
This will be the 4th time that Belinda Bencic and Liudmila Samsonova square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Samsonova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Samsonova won 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Rubber 1 in Billie Jean King Cup, Finals back in 2021.
Belinda Bencic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-13 | 24-10 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-18 | 13-9 | 13-4 | 10-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 22-9 | 5-5 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-8 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Bencic reached the final after beating Marta Kostyuk 6-4 7-5, Shelby Rogers 7-65 6-2 and Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-2 6-3.
In the semifinal, Bencic had a good straight sets win against Haddad Maia (6-2 6-3). During the match, Bencic scored 67 points vs Haddad Maia’s 47. Belinda was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bencic struck 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Belinda Bencic was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (20/27) of her 1st serve and 76% (13/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Bencic broke Haddad Maia 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bencic hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 56% of the points she played.
Bencic has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (308-165). 11-2 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bencic has an overall 155-86 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-0 6-2.
Belinda has an overall 11-2 win-loss record in 2023, 11-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Abu Dhabi
Belinda has never competed in this tournament before.
Liudmila Samsonova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-23 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19 (career-high), Samsonova reached the final after defeating Claire Liu 3-6 6-2 6-0, Barbora Krejcikova 7-5 7-66, Veronika Kudermetova 6-3 6-3 and Qinwen Zheng 6-4 1-6 6-4.
In the semifinal, Ludmilla defeated Zheng (6-4 1-6 6-4).During the match Samsonova scored less points (1) than Zheng. In fact, the world no. 9 won 86 points vs Zheng’s. That means that Samsonova was more focused during the important points. Ludmilla was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Samsonova fired 10 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 63% of her first serves in, winning 79% (38/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (12/28) on the 2nd serve. Ludmilla broke Zheng twice after converting 29% of her break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Samsonova has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
The Russian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Abu Dhabi.
The Russian has an aggregate 6-3 win-loss record in 2023, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bencic | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 60 | 93 |
| Pts | 206-161 | 318-280 |
| Total Points | 367 | 598 |
| Winners | 85 | 117 |
| %Winners | 41% | 37% |
Bencic played 3 matches while Samsonova competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Liudmila Samsonova surrendered 2 sets while Belinda Bencic hasn’t dropped a set so far. Bencic has played 4 set(s) less than Samsonova (6 vs 10). Therefore, Bencic played 33 games less than Samsonova. Belinda scored 85 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian struck 117 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bencic | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 5.8 |
| 1st in | 116/174 | 150/267 |
| %1st in | 67% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 85/116 | 117/150 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 39/58 | 57/117 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 49% |
Bencic scored 7 aces (2.3 per match). Samsonova scored 23 aces (5.8 per match). Bencic won 73% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 78% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bencic | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 16 |
| Converted | 10/17 | 16/37 |
| % Converted | 59% | 43% |
| Conceded | 8 | 20 |
| Saved | 6 | 12 |
| % Saved | 75% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 8 |
The Swiss broke her opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Belinda lost her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Ludmilla broke her opponents 16 times with a 43% conversion rate. Samsonova conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.
| Bencic | |||||
| R2 Kostyuk |
1/4 Rogers |
1/2 Haddad Maia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 7-65 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 21 | 17 | 60 | |
| pts | 69-52 | 70-62 | 67-47 | 206-161 | |
| Total points | 121 | 132 | 114 | 367 | |
| Winners | 23 | 42 | 20 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 60% | 30% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 35/54 | 54/76 | 27/44 | 116/174 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 71% | 61% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 23/35 | 42/54 | 20/27 | 85/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 78% | 74% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/19 | 10/22 | 13/17 | 39/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 84% | 45% | 76% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 2/2 | 4/9 | 10/17 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 100% | 44% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 5/5 | 1/1 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 100% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Samsonova | ||||||
| R1 Liu |
R2 Krejcikova |
1/4 Kudermetova |
1/2 Zheng |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 6-0 | 7-5 7-66 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 25 | 18 | 27 | 93 | |
| pts | 82-59 | 90-89 | 60-45 | 86-87 | 318-280 | |
| Total points | 141 | 179 | 105 | 173 | 598 | |
| Winners | 26 | 27 | 26 | 38 | 117 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 30% | 43% | 44% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 30/59 | 41/82 | 31/50 | 48/76 | 150/267 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 50% | 62% | 63% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 26/30 | 27/41 | 26/31 | 38/48 | 117/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 66% | 84% | 79% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/29 | 20/41 | 11/19 | 12/28 | 57/117 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 49% | 58% | 43% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 5/17 | 3/5 | 2/7 | 16/37 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 29% | 60% | 29% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 20 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 6/10 | 3/3 | 3/5 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 60% | 100% | 60% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWLW
LLLLWWWLWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Belinda BencicBencic (3-0) – H2H and prediction
