Aryna Sabalenka and Magda Linette will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 9:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.34
Magda Linette -> 3.26
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Magda Linette
This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Magda Linette square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Sabalenka won 6-2 6-1 in the 1st round in Tokyo back in 2021.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Aryna reached the semifinal after beating Tereza Martincova 6-1 6-4, Shelby Rogers 6-3 6-1, Elise Mertens 6-2 6-3, Belinda Bencic 7-5 6-2 and Donna Vekic 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Vekic (6-3 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 81 points vs Vekic’s 67. Sabalenka was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka blasted 9 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice and she saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 56% of her first serves in, winning 70% (31/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 35% (12/34) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Vekic 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belarussian hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 66% of her matches (272-140). 9-0 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has an overall163-76 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4).
The Belarussian has a composed 9-0 win-loss record in 2023, 9-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Magda Linette
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-27 | 11-16 | 16-7 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-29 | 19-15 | 4-7 | 0-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-29 | 23-16 | 10-7 | 3-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-18 | 8-9 | 5-6 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-11 | 9-7 | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 45, the Pole got to the semifinal after beating Mayar Sherif 7-5 6-1, Anett Kontaveit 3-6 6-3 6-4, Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-3 6-4, Caroline Garcia 7-63 6-4 and Karolina Pliskova 6-3 7-5.
In the quarter, Magda had a good straight sets win against Pliskova (6-3 7-5). During the match Linette scored 70 points vs Pliskova’s 53. The Pole was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Linette managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Magda Linette was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (29/40) of her 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Magda broke Pliskova 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Linette has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
The Pole’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Australia.
Magda has an aggregate 8-2 win-loss record in 2023, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 87 | 110 |
| Pts | 343-249 | 371-296 |
| Total Points | 592 | 667 |
| Winners | 127 | 155 |
| %Winners | 37% | 42% |
Both Sabalenka and Linette played 5 matches. At the moment, Magda Linette dropped 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Linette (10 vs 11). Therefore, Sabalenka played 23 games less than Linette. Aryna scored 127 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Linette blasted 155 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 4.6 | 4 |
| 1st in | 166/286 | 224/331 |
| %1st in | 58% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 127/166 | 155/224 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 63/120 | 67/107 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 63% |
Sabalenka blasted 23 aces (4.6 per match). Linette struck 20 aces (4 per match). Sabalenka won 77% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Linette won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 19 |
| Converted | 21/42 | 19/40 |
| % Converted | 50% | 48% |
| Conceded | 27 | 19 |
| Saved | 22 | 9 |
| % Saved | 81% | 47% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 10 |
The Belarussian broke her opponents 21 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sabalenka lost her serve 5 times and she saved 81% of the break points that she conceded. The Pole broke her opponents 19 times with a 48% conversion rate. Magda conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 47% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||||
| R1 Martincova |
R2 Rogers |
R3 Mertens |
R4 Bencic |
1/4 Vekic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 87 | |
| pts | 60-40 | 75-52 | 63-43 | 64-47 | 81-67 | 343-249 | |
| Total points | 100 | 127 | 106 | 111 | 148 | 592 | |
| Winners | 27 | 23 | 21 | 25 | 31 | 127 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 31% | 33% | 39% | 38% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 20 | |
| 1st in | 31/55 | 31/49 | 28/50 | 32/54 | 44/78 | 166/286 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 63% | 56% | 59% | 56% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 27/31 | 23/31 | 21/28 | 25/32 | 31/44 | 127/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 74% | 75% | 78% | 70% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 11/18 | 14/22 | 14/22 | 12/34 | 63/120 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 61% | 64% | 64% | 35% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/11 | 4/7 | 4/5 | 5/13 | 21/42 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 45% | 57% | 80% | 38% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 27 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 12/14 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 67% | 0% | 86% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Linette | |||||||
| R1 Sherif |
R2 Kontaveit |
R3 Alexandrova |
R4 Garcia |
1/4 Pliskova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 7-63 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 28 | 19 | 23 | 21 | 110 | |
| pts | 69-39 | 87-80 | 62-51 | 83-73 | 70-53 | 371-296 | |
| Total points | 108 | 167 | 113 | 156 | 123 | 667 | |
| Winners | 27 | 43 | 24 | 32 | 29 | 155 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 49% | 39% | 39% | 41% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 35/52 | 65/92 | 35/58 | 49/65 | 40/64 | 224/331 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 71% | 60% | 75% | 63% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 43/65 | 24/35 | 32/49 | 29/40 | 155/224 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 66% | 69% | 65% | 73% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/17 | 13/27 | 13/23 | 11/16 | 16/24 | 67/107 | |
| % 2nd pts | 82% | 48% | 57% | 69% | 67% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 5/6 | 4/5 | 3/10 | 3/9 | 19/40 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 83% | 80% | 30% | 33% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 19 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 4/8 | 0/2 | 1/3 | 3/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 75% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
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- Magda LinetteLinette – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
