Aryna Sabalenka and Donna Vekic will play each other in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.25
Donna Vekic -> 3.95
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Donna Vekic
This will be the 7th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Donna Vekic face off. The head to head is 5-1 for Vekic (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Vekic won 6-4 6-7(5) 6-1 in the quarter in San Diego back in 2022.
Highlights Donna Vekic vs Aryna Sabalenka – San Diego 14-October-2022
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Sabalenka got to the quarter after beating Tereza Martincova 6-1 6-4, Shelby Rogers 6-3 6-1, Elise Mertens 6-2 6-3 and Belinda Bencic 7-5 6-2.
In the 4th round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Bencic (7-5 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 64 points vs Bencic’s 47. Aryna was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka recorded 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (25/32) of her 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Aryna broke Bencic 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belarussian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 66% of her matches (271-140). 8-0 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a composed162-76 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4).
Sabalenka has an aggregate 8-0 win-loss record in 2023, 8-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Donna Vekic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-20 | 12-10 | 8-5 | 2-1 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-20 | 16-9 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 10-9 | 9-6 | 2-1 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-16 | 10-12 | 0-1 | 5-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-11 | 6-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 64, the Croatian got to the quarter after defeating Oksana Selekhmeteva 6-2 2-6 7-67, Liudmila Samsonova 6-3 6-0, Nuria Parrizas-Diaz 6-2 6-2 and Linda Fruhvirtova 6-2 1-6 6-3.
In the 4th round, Vekic defeated Fruhvirtova (6-2 1-6 6-3). During the match Vekic scored 80 points vs Fruhvirtova’s 77. Vekic was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Vekic managed to score 7 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Donna Vekic lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Vekic put 56% of her first serves in, winning 52% (25/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the 2nd serve. The Croatian broke Fruhvirtova 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Vekic has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
The Croatian has a compiled 7-0 win-loss record in 2023, 7-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 70 | 84 |
| Pts | 262-182 | 293-240 |
| Total Points | 444 | 533 |
| Winners | 96 | 102 |
| %Winners | 37% | 35% |
Both Sabalenka and Vekic played 4 matches. At the moment, Donna Vekic conceded 2 sets while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Vekic (8 vs 10). Therefore, Sabalenka played 14 games less than Vekic. The Belarussian scored 96 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Vekic recorded 102 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 122/208 | 149/258 |
| %1st in | 59% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 96/122 | 102/149 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 51/86 | 57/109 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 52% |
Sabalenka blasted 14 aces (3.5 per match). Vekic scored 20 aces (5 per match). Sabalenka won 79% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Vekic won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 19 |
| Converted | 16/29 | 19/39 |
| % Converted | 55% | 49% |
| Conceded | 13 | 20 |
| Saved | 10 | 10 |
| % Saved | 77% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 10 |
The Belarussian broke her opponents 16 times with a 55% conversion rate. Sabalenka surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 77% of the break points that she conceded. Vekic broke her opponents 19 times with a 49% conversion rate. Vekic conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||||
| R1 Martincova |
R2 Rogers |
R3 Mertens |
R4 Bencic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 70 | |
| pts | 60-40 | 75-52 | 63-43 | 64-47 | 262-182 | |
| Total points | 100 | 127 | 106 | 111 | 444 | |
| Winners | 27 | 23 | 21 | 25 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 31% | 33% | 39% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 31/55 | 31/49 | 28/50 | 32/54 | 122/208 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 63% | 56% | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 27/31 | 23/31 | 21/28 | 25/32 | 96/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 74% | 75% | 78% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 11/18 | 14/22 | 14/22 | 51/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 61% | 64% | 64% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/11 | 4/7 | 4/5 | 16/29 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 45% | 57% | 80% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 67% | 0% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Vekic | ||||||
| R1 Selekhmeteva |
R2 Samsonova |
R3 Parrizas-Diaz |
R4 Fruhvirtova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 2-6 7-67 | 6-3 6-0 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-2 1-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 15 | 16 | 24 | 84 | |
| pts | 104-102 | 55-31 | 54-30 | 80-77 | 293-240 | |
| Total points | 206 | 86 | 84 | 157 | 533 | |
| Winners | 37 | 22 | 18 | 25 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 40% | 33% | 31% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 52/94 | 24/41 | 25/38 | 48/85 | 149/258 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 59% | 66% | 56% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 37/52 | 22/24 | 18/25 | 25/48 | 102/149 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 92% | 72% | 52% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/42 | 10/17 | 9/13 | 22/37 | 57/109 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 59% | 69% | 59% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/17 | 4/9 | 6/7 | 5/6 | 19/39 | |
| Converted % | 24% | 44% | 86% | 83% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 20 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 6/10 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 0% | 60% | 28% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
LWLWLWWWLL Tennis Scores – Australian Open
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Magda LinetteLinette (7-2) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Donna VekicVekic (1-5) – H2H and prediction
