Jessica Pegula and Marta Kostyuk will face off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.29
Marta Kostyuk -> 3.6
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Marta Kostyuk
This will be the 2nd time that Jessica Pegula and Marta Kostyuk square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Pegula won 6-7(5) 6-1 6-2 in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in 2022.
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-12 | 26-7 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Pegula reached the 3rd round after beating Jaqueline Cristian 6-0 6-1 and Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-2 7-65.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Sasnovich (6-2 7-65). During the match, Pegula scored 78 points vs Sasnovich’s 63. Pegula was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula struck 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 65% of her first serves in, winning 66% (31/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Sasnovich 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 59% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (246-149). 6-1 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has an aggregate 147-79 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2.
Pegula has a compiled 6-1 win-loss record in 2023, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Marta Kostyuk
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-17 | 21-9 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 22-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 18-11 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 8-9 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-12 | 16-6 | 7-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 61, Marta got to the 3rd round after beating Amanda Anisimova 6-3 6-4 and Olivia Gadecki 6-2 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Gadecki (6-2 6-1). During the match Kostyuk scored 56 points vs Gadecki’s 31. Marta was very aggressive to blast 17 winners.
About the serving games, Kostyuk fired 3 aces and she was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Marta Kostyuk was quite effective on serve to win 89% (17/19) of her 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Marta broke Gadecki 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marta hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.
Kostyuk has an overall 6-2 win-loss record in 2023, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018 and 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 |
| Pts | 139-95 | 122-86 |
| Total Points | 234 | 208 |
| Winners | 56 | 51 |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% |
Both Pegula and Kostyuk played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Kostyuk have played the same amount of sets 4. They also played the same amount of games (34). Pegula scored 56 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian scored 51 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 77/117 | 65/109 |
| %1st in | 66% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 56/77 | 51/65 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 18/40 | 22/44 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 50% |
Pegula blasted 5 aces (2.5 per match). Kostyuk managed to score 11 aces (5.5 per match). Pegula won 73% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 78% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 9 |
| Converted | 10/19 | 9/12 |
| % Converted | 53% | 75% |
| Conceded | 10 | 7 |
| Saved | 7 | 5 |
| % Saved | 70% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Jessica broke her opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. Jessica conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded. Kostyuk broke her opponents 9 times with a 75% conversion rate. Kostyuk conceded her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | ||||
| R1 Cristian |
R2 Sasnovich |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | 6-2 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 21 | 34 | |
| pts | 61-32 | 78-63 | 139-95 | |
| Total points | 93 | 141 | 234 | |
| Winners | 25 | 31 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 30/45 | 47/72 | 77/117 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 65% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 31/47 | 56/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 66% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 11/25 | 18/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 44% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/11 | 10/19 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 45% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 4/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 57% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Kostyuk | ||||
| R1 Anisimova |
R2 Gadecki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 15 | 34 | |
| pts | 66-55 | 56-31 | 122-86 | |
| Total points | 121 | 87 | 208 | |
| Winners | 34 | 17 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 30% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 46/73 | 19/36 | 65/109 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 53% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 34/46 | 17/19 | 51/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 89% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/27 | 11/17 | 22/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 65% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 5/8 | 9/12 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 63% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 0/0 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | – | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWLWW
LWWLWWLWWL Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Magda LinetteLinette – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Shelby RogersRogers (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (1-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Lauren DavisDavis (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-71 6-2 7-66) – See score progression
- Lin ZhuZhu – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Clara BurelBurel (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Bernarda PeraPera – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Xinyu WangWang (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Olivia GadeckiGadecki (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Anna BondarBondar (7-65 5-7 6-0) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Kateryna BaindlBaindl – Caty McNallyMcNally (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (2-6 7-67 6-4) – See score progression
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Petra KvitovaKvitova (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (3-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Kaja JuvanJuvan (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Bogdan BorzaBorza – Francesco VilardoVilardo (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Laslo Urrutia FuentesUrrutia Fuentes – Calin MandaManda (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Bogdan Ionut ApostolIonut Apostol (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (1-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Shelby RogersRogers (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Lauren DavisDavis (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Camila GiorgiGiorgi – Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Lucrezia StefaniniStefanini (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Petra MarticMartic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Caroline GarciaGarcia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Claire LiuLiu – Belinda BencicBencic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kimberly BirrellBirrell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Ons JabeurJabeur (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Cristina BucsaBucsa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kateryna KozlovaKozlova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bernarda PeraPera – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Lin ZhuZhu – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (6-2) – H2H and prediction
