Jelena Ostapenko and Kateryna Baindl will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:00 pm on 1573 Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.4
Kateryna Baindl -> 2.96
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Kateryna Baindl
This will be the 4th time that Jelena Ostapenko and Kateryna Baindl fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Kozlova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Kozlova won 7-5 6-3 in the 1st round in Paris back in 2018.
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Jelena reached the 3rd round after beating Dayana Yastremska 6-4 6-2 and Anna Bondar 7-65 5-7 6-0.
In the 2nd round, The Latvian defeated Bondar (7-65 5-7 6-0). During the match, Ostapenko scored 106 points vs Bondar’s 94. The Latvian was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ostapenko made 4 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 5 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 57% of her first serves in, winning 59% (35/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 51% (23/45) on the 2nd serve. Ostapenko broke Bondar 7 times after converting 70% of her break points (7/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Latvian has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points she played.
Ostapenko has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (291-187). 3-2 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ostapenko has an aggregate 102-87 match record in the last years on hard.
Ostapenko has an aggregate 3-2 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Kateryna Baindl
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10-13 | 1-3 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-21 | 11-10 | 6-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-27 | 8-4 | 24-17 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-18 | 8-5 | 10-8 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 95, Kateryna got to the 3rd round after defeating Kamilla Rakhimova 7-5 6-78 6-1 and Caty McNally 6-1 7-64.
In the 2nd round, Kateryna had a good straight sets win against McNally (6-1 7-64). During the match Kozlova scored 75 points vs McNally’s 62. Kateryna was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Kozlova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Kateryna Baindl lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Kozlova put 75% of her first serves in, winning 68% (36/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (8/18) on the 2nd serve. Kozlova broke McNally 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Ukrainian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Kozlova has an overall 3-2 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Kozlova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 52 |
| Pts | 169-138 | 193-162 |
| Total Points | 307 | 355 |
| Winners | 65 | 94 |
| %Winners | 38% | 49% |
Both Ostapenko and Kozlova played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jelena Ostapenko dropped 1 set, while Kateryna Baindl conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Ostapenko and Kozlova have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Ostapenko played 3 games less than Kozlova. Jelena scored 65 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Kozlova blasted 94 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Kozlova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3 |
| 1st in | 97/156 | 131/184 |
| %1st in | 62% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 65/97 | 94/131 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 31/59 | 23/53 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 43% |
Ostapenko managed to score 8 aces (4 per match). Kozlova blasted 6 aces (3 per match). Ostapenko won 67% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Kozlova won 72% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Kozlova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 9 |
| Converted | 10/13 | 9/21 |
| % Converted | 77% | 43% |
| Conceded | 12 | 10 |
| Saved | 7 | 6 |
| % Saved | 58% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 |
Ostapenko broke her opponents 10 times with a 77% conversion rate. Jelena dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded. Kozlova broke her opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Kateryna conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | ||||
| R1 Yastremska |
R2 Bondar |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 7-65 5-7 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 31 | 49 | |
| pts | 63-44 | 106-94 | 169-138 | |
| Total points | 107 | 200 | 307 | |
| Winners | 30 | 35 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 33% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 38/52 | 59/104 | 97/156 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 57% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 30/38 | 35/59 | 65/97 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 59% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 23/45 | 31/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 51% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 7/10 | 10/13 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 70% | 77% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 11 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 6/11 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 55% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Kozlova | ||||
| R1 Rakhimova |
R2 McNally |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-78 6-1 | 6-1 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 20 | 52 | |
| pts | 118-100 | 75-62 | 193-162 | |
| Total points | 218 | 137 | 355 | |
| Winners | 58 | 36 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 48% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 78/113 | 53/71 | 131/184 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 75% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 58/78 | 36/53 | 94/131 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 68% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/35 | 8/18 | 23/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 44% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/9 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 44% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 1/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 33% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLWWW
LLWLWLWWLL Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Shelby RogersRogers (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (1-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Lauren DavisDavis (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Kateryna BaindlBaindl – Caty McNallyMcNally (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Anna BondarBondar (7-65 5-7 6-0) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (3-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-71 6-2 7-66) – See score progression
- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (2-6 7-67 6-4) – See score progression
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Petra KvitovaKvitova (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Kaja JuvanJuvan (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Olivia GadeckiGadecki (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Lin ZhuZhu – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Clara BurelBurel (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Bernarda PeraPera – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Xinyu WangWang (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Laslo Urrutia FuentesUrrutia Fuentes – Calin MandaManda (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Bogdan Ionut ApostolIonut Apostol (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Bogdan BorzaBorza – Francesco VilardoVilardo (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (1-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Shelby RogersRogers (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Lauren DavisDavis (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Camila GiorgiGiorgi – Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Lucrezia StefaniniStefanini (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Petra MarticMartic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Caroline GarciaGarcia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Claire LiuLiu – Belinda BencicBencic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kimberly BirrellBirrell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Ons JabeurJabeur (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Cristina BucsaBucsa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kateryna KozlovaKozlova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bernarda PeraPera – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Lin ZhuZhu – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (6-2) – H2H and prediction
