Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka will face off in the semifinal of the WTA Finals for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:30 pm on Stadium Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.186
Aryna Sabalenka -> 5.05
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Aryna Sabalenka
This will be the 6th time that Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka play each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Swiatek won 3-6 6-1 6-4 in the semifinal in at the U.S. Open back in September 2022.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka – U.S. Open 08-September-2022
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Swiatek got to the semifinal after defeating Daria Kasatkina 6-2 6-3, Caroline Garcia 6-3 6-2 and Cori Gauff 6-3 6-0.
In the previous match, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-3 6-0). During the match, Swiatek scored 58 points vs Gauff’s 39. Iga was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek wasn’t able to score even 1 ace in the encounter and she committed only 1 double fault. Iga Swiatek conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 79% of her first serves in, winning 68% (26/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 70% (7/10) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Gauff 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Iga hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 60% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 80% of her matches (217-55). 42-5 on hard in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Swiatek has a composed91-28 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Doha where she defeated Anett Kontaveit in the final 6-2 6-0 and in Indian Wells where she defeated Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-1 and in Miami where she beat Naomi Osaka in the final 6-4 6-0 and in Stuttgart where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Rome where she beat Ons Jabeur in the final 6-2 6-2 and at the French Open where she defeated Cori Gauff in the final 6-1 6-3 and at the U.S. Open where she overcame Ons Jabeur in the final 6-2 7-6(5) and in San Diego where she defeated Donna Vekic in the final 6-3 3-6 6-0.
Swiatek has an aggregate 67-8 win-loss record in 2022, 42-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Fort Worth
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Sabalenka got to the semifinal after beating Ons Jabeur 3-6 7-65 7-5 and Jessica Pegula 6-3 7-5.
In the previous match, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Pegula (6-3 7-5). During the match Sabalenka scored 80 points vs Pegula’s 59. Aryna was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Sabalenka scored 5 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 58% of her first serves in, winning 80% (28/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Pegula 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belarussian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Sabalenka’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Stuttgart and Hertogenbosch.
Aryna has an overall 32-21 win-loss record in 2022, 19-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 55 |
| Pts | 184-125 | 187-170 |
| Total Points | 309 | 357 |
| Winners | 83 | 71 |
| %Winners | 45% | 38% |
Swiatek played 3 matches while Sabalenka competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka dropped 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set more than Sabalenka (6 vs 5). However, it’s interesting to notice that Swiatek played 6 games less than Sabalenka. Iga scored 83 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Belarussian scored 71 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 0.7 | 3 |
| 1st in | 111/161 | 107/179 |
| %1st in | 69% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 83/111 | 71/107 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 27/50 | 34/72 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 47% |
Swiatek bagged 2 aces (0.7 per match). Sabalenka struck 6 aces (3 per match). Swiatek won 75% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Sabalenka won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 11 |
| Converted | 12/22 | 11/20 |
| % Converted | 55% | 55% |
| Conceded | 12 | 15 |
| Saved | 11 | 6 |
| % Saved | 92% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 9 |
Iga broke her opponents 12 times with a 55% conversion rate. Swiatek surrendered her serve once and she saved 92% of the break points that she conceded. Aryna broke her opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | |||||
| Round Robin Gauff |
Round Robin Garcia |
Round Robin Kasatkina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 17 | 49 | |
| pts | 58-39 | 61-45 | 65-41 | 184-125 | |
| Total points | 97 | 106 | 106 | 309 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | 31 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 43% | 48% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 38/48 | 35/60 | 38/53 | 111/161 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 58% | 72% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 26/38 | 26/35 | 31/38 | 83/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 74% | 82% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/10 | 12/25 | 8/15 | 27/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 48% | 53% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 4/5 | 3/7 | 12/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 80% | 43% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 5/6 | 3/3 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 83% | 100% | 94% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sabalenka | |||||
| Round Robin Pegula |
Round Robin Sakkari |
Round Robin Jabeur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-2 6-4 | 3-6 7-65 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 18 | 34 | 73 | |
| pts | 80-59 | – | 107-111 | 187-170 | |
| Total points | 139 | 0 | 218 | 357 | |
| Winners | 28 | 43 | 71 | ||
| %Winners | 35% | 0% | 40% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 6 | 14 | ||
| 1st in | 35/60 | / | 72/119 | 107/179 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 0% | 61% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | / | 43/72 | 71/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 0% | 60% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/25 | / | 23/47 | 34/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 0% | 49% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | ||
| Converted | 6/12 | / | 5/8 | 11/20 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 0% | 63% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 10 | 15 | ||
| Saved | 2/5 | 0/ | 4/10 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 40% | – | 40% | 27% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 6 | 9 | ||
Head 2 Head
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LLWWWWWWWL Tennis Scores in Fort Worth
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Carlos TabernerTaberner (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel Gimeno-TraverGimeno-Traver – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Maria SakkariSakkari (2-0) – H2H and prediction
