Jurij Rodionov and Jan-Lennard Struff will square off in the semifinal of the Bergamo Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:30 pm on PALAINTRED. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jan-Lennard Struff who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jan-Lennard Struff is the pick to win this match.
Jan-Lennard Struff -> 1.41
Jurij Rodionov -> 2.82
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Prediction and head to head Jurij Rodionov vs. Jan-Lennard Struff
There is no head to head record between Jurij Rodionov and Jan-Lennard Struff since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Jurij Rodionov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-30 | 17-12 | 14-10 | 10-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-32 | 10-10 | 6-12 | 11-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-33 | 3-6 | 15-13 | 21-11 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-31 | 5-5 | 16-11 | 21-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-28 | 2-4 | 2-7 | 13-13 | 3-3 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 130, the Austrian reached the semifinal after beating Fernando Verdasco 6-2 6-3, Altug Celikbilek 6-2 6-4 and Yannick Hanfmann 4-6 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter against Hanfmann, The Austrian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-4). During the match, Rodionov scored 100 points vs Hanfmann’s 99. Rodionov was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rodionov recorded 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jurij Rodionov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Rodionov put 55% of his first serves in, winning 69% (42/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (24/50) on the 2nd serve. Jurij broke Hanfmann 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Austrian has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Rodionov has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 58% of his matches (197-144). 18-8 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rodionov has a composed65-40 record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
Jurij’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Biel Challenger and the Mauthausen Challenger.
Jurij has a composed 40-27 win-loss record in 2022, 18-8 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bergamo Challenger
Jan-Lennard Struff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-30 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 12-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-21 | 4-8 | 15-5 | 5-6 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-24 | 21-9 | 14-7 | 5-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-22 | 3-10 | 7-4 | 12-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-30 | 8-11 | 11-8 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 168, Jan-Lennard reached the semifinal after beating Flavio Cobolli 6-1 6-2, Luca Nardi 6-4 7-61 and Matteo Arnaldi 4-6 6-1 6-4.
In the quarter against Arnaldi, The German recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 6-4). During the match Struff scored 89 points vs Arnaldi’s 70. Jan-Lennard was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Struff made 11 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Jan-Lennard Struff lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Struff put 56% of his first serves in, winning 87% (39/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (16/36) on the 2nd serve. Struff broke Arnaldi 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jan-Lennard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The German’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Braunschweig Challenger.
Struff has a composed 21-20 win-loss record in 2022, 10-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rodionov | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 65 | 65 |
| Pts | 247-217 | 246-198 |
| Total Points | 464 | 444 |
| Winners | 106 | 110 |
| %Winners | 43% | 45% |
Both Rodionov and Struff played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jurij Rodionov dropped 1 set, while Jan-Lennard Struff conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Rodionov and Struff have played the same amount of sets 7. They also played the same amount of games (65). Jurij scored 106 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The German scored 110 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rodionov | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 7.3 | 8.7 |
| 1st in | 147/242 | 144/234 |
| %1st in | 61% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 106/147 | 110/144 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 41/95 | 44/90 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 49% |
Rodionov bagged 22 aces (7.3 per match). Struff struck 26 aces (8.7 per match). Rodionov won 72% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Struff won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rodionov | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 10 |
| Converted | 13/29 | 10/26 |
| % Converted | 45% | 38% |
| Conceded | 21 | 14 |
| Saved | 15 | 11 |
| % Saved | 71% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
The Austrian broke his opponents 13 times with a 45% conversion rate. Jurij surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Struff broke his opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. Struff conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rodionov | |||||
| R1 Verdasco |
R2 Celikbilek |
1/4 Hanfmann |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 18 | 30 | 65 | |
| pts | 75-58 | 72-60 | 100-99 | 247-217 | |
| Total points | 133 | 132 | 199 | 464 | |
| Winners | 35 | 29 | 42 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 40% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 45/67 | 41/64 | 61/111 | 147/242 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 64% | 55% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 35/45 | 29/41 | 42/61 | 106/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 71% | 69% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/22 | 8/23 | 24/50 | 41/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 35% | 48% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 5/11 | 5/7 | 13/29 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 45% | 71% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 13 | 21 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 2/4 | 9/13 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 69% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Struff | |||||
| R1 Cobolli |
R2 Nardi |
1/4 Arnaldi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 7-61 | 4-6 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 23 | 27 | 65 | |
| pts | 61-40 | 96-88 | 89-70 | 246-198 | |
| Total points | 101 | 184 | 159 | 444 | |
| Winners | 29 | 42 | 39 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 44% | 44% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 6 | 11 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 42/56 | 57/97 | 45/81 | 144/234 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 59% | 56% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 29/42 | 42/57 | 39/45 | 110/144 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 74% | 87% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 19/40 | 16/36 | 44/90 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 48% | 44% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 2/9 | 4/7 | 10/26 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 22% | 57% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 5/6 | 3/5 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 83% | 60% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWLLLL
LLWWWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Bergamo Challenger
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Andrea VavassoriVavassori (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Otto VirtanenVirtanen – Dominic Stephan StrickerStephan Stricker (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (4-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Otto VirtanenVirtanen – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-0) – H2H and prediction
