Aslan Karatsev and Ugo Humbert will face off in the qualifications of the Swiss Indoors Basel for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aslan Karatsev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aslan Karatsev is the pick to win this match.
Aslan Karatsev -> 1.77
Ugo Humbert -> 2.01
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Prediction and head to head Aslan Karatsev vs. Ugo Humbert
This will be the 3rd time that Aslan Karatsev and Ugo Humbert play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Karatsev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Karatsev won 7-5 6-2 in the 2nd round in Miami back in March 2022.
Aslan Karatsev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-22 | 13-10 | 14-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-31 | 8-9 | 5-9 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 23-9 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 36-11 | 7-4 | 17-2 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 45, the Russian reached the qualifications after beating Leandro Riedi 6-4 7-63.
In the qualifications, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Riedi (6-4 7-63). During the match, Karatsev scored 74 points vs Riedi’s 64. Aslan was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Karatsev scored 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Aslan Karatsev was pretty effective on serve to win 80% (32/40) of his 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Russian broke Riedi 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Karatsev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (351-229). 4-7 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Karatsev has a compiled 80-62 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Sydney where he overcame Andy Murray in the final 6-3 6-3.
Aslan has a compiled 18-28 win-loss record in 2022, 4-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Basel
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Ugo Humbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-15 | 11-4 | 4-6 | 4-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-14 | 11-7 | 4-3 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 100, Ugo got to the qualifications after defeating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications, The French player had a good straight sets win against Zapata Miralles (6-3 6-3). During the match Humbert scored 66 points vs Zapata Miralles’s 43. Ugo was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Humbert blasted 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Ugo Humbert was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (20/24) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The French player broke Zapata Miralles 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
The French player best result of the season was reaching the final in the Rennes Challenger.
Humbert has an overall 31-27 win-loss record in 2022, 9-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Karatsev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 18 |
| Pts | 74-64 | 66-43 |
| Total Points | 138 | 109 |
| Winners | 32 | 20 |
| %Winners | 43% | 30% |
Both Karatsev and Humbert played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Karatsev and Humbert have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Karatsev played 5 games more than Humbert. Karatsev scored 32 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Humbert made 20 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Karatsev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 40/62 | 24/52 |
| %1st in | 65% | 46% |
| 1st pts | 32/40 | 20/24 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 15/28 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 54% |
Karatsev made 5 aces . Humbert blasted 3 aces . Karatsev won 80% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Karatsev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 5/7 |
| % Converted | 60% | 71% |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Saved | 1 | 4 |
| % Saved | 33% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Karatsev broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Karatsev surrendered his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Ugo broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Humbert conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Karatsev | |||
| Q1 Riedi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 74-64 | 74-64 | |
| Total points | 138 | 138 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 40/62 | 40/62 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 32/40 | 32/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 12/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Humbert | |||
| Q1 Zapata Miralles |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 66-43 | 66-43 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 24/52 | 24/52 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 46% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 20/24 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 15/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLLLWLL
LLWWWLLLWW
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