Felix Auger-Aliassime and Sebastian Korda will square off in the final of the European Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Felix Auger-Aliassime who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Felix Auger-Aliassime is the pick to win this match.
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 1.6
Sebastian Korda -> 2.4
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Prediction and head to head Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Sebastian Korda
This will be the 3rd time that Felix Auger-Aliassime and Sebastian Korda clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Auger-Aliassime and Korda (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Korda won 6-2 6-2 in the quarter in Estoril back in April 2022.
Highlights Sebastian Korda vs Felix Auger-Aliassime – Estoril 29-April-2022
Felix Auger-Aliassime
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-24 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-19 | 8-8 | 1-3 | 14-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Auger-Aliassime got to the final after beating Manuel Guinard 6-3 6-3, Daniel Evans 4-6 7-64 6-2 and Richard Gasquet 7-62 7-63.
In the semifinal, Auger-Aliassime had a good straight sets win against Gasquet (7-62 7-63). During the match, Auger-Aliassime scored 85 points vs Gasquet’s 75. Felix was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Auger-Aliassime submerged his opponent with 22 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Felix Auger-Aliassime was very efficient on serve to win 85% (44/52) of his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Canadian has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.
Auger-Aliassime has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (271-156). 18-4 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Auger-Aliassime has a composed55-30 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-4 6-2 and in Florence where he overcame Jeff Wolf in the final 6-4 6-4.
Auger-Aliassime has an overall 47-24 win-loss record in 2022, 18-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Antwerp
Sebastian Korda
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-19 | 17-9 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-16 | 18-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 13-9 | 8-6 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 12-8 | 6-5 | 13-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-10 | 6-4 | 6-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-1 |
Ranked no. 36, Korda reached the final after beating Marcos Giron 6-3 6-70 6-4, Karen Khachanov 7-5 7-69, Yoshihito Nishioka 6-0 6-2 and Dominic Thiem 6-74 6-3 7-64.
In the semifinal against Thiem, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-3 7-64). During the match Korda scored 105 points vs Thiem’s 99. The American was quite aggressive to blast 49 winners.
About the serving games, Korda blasted 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Sebastian Korda lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Korda put 66% of his first serves in, winning 73% (49/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. Korda broke Thiem 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sebastian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Gijon.
Korda has an aggregate 34-20 win-loss record in 2022, 12-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Auger-Aliassime | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 75 | 106 |
| Pts | 250-209 | 340-297 |
| Total Points | 459 | 637 |
| Winners | 111 | 146 |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% |
Auger-Aliassime played 3 matches while Korda competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Felix Auger-Aliassime conceded 1 set, while Sebastian Korda surrendered 2 sets. Auger-Aliassime has played 3 set(s) less than Korda (7 vs 10). Therefore, Auger-Aliassime played 31 games less than Korda. Felix scored 111 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Korda made 146 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Auger-Aliassime | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 42 | 35 |
| Avg per match | 14 | 8.8 |
| 1st in | 136/211 | 192/303 |
| %1st in | 64% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 111/136 | 146/192 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 52/75 | 59/111 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 53% |
Auger-Aliassime made 42 aces (14 per match). Korda scored 35 aces (8.8 per match). Auger-Aliassime won 82% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Auger-Aliassime | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 16 |
| Converted | 5/18 | 16/21 |
| % Converted | 28% | 76% |
| Conceded | 2 | 10 |
| Saved | 1 | 5 |
| % Saved | 50% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Felix broke his opponents 5 times with a 28% conversion rate. Auger-Aliassime conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 16 times with a 76% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Auger-Aliassime | |||||
| R2 Guinard |
1/4 Evans |
1/2 Gasquet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 4-6 7-64 6-2 | 7-62 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 31 | 26 | 75 | |
| pts | 68-46 | 97-88 | 85-75 | 250-209 | |
| Total points | 114 | 185 | 160 | 459 | |
| Winners | 28 | 39 | 44 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% | 52% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 11 | 9 | 22 | 42 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 33/50 | 51/86 | 52/75 | 136/211 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 59% | 69% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 28/33 | 39/51 | 44/52 | 111/136 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 76% | 85% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 25/35 | 16/23 | 52/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 71% | 70% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 2/7 | 0/1 | 5/18 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 29% | 0% | 28% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | – | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Korda | ||||||
| R1 Giron |
R2 Khachanov |
1/4 Nishioka |
1/2 Thiem |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-70 6-4 | 7-5 7-69 | 6-0 6-2 | 6-74 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 25 | 14 | 35 | 106 | |
| pts | 97-98 | 84-77 | 54-23 | 105-99 | 340-297 | |
| Total points | 195 | 161 | 77 | 204 | 637 | |
| Winners | 37 | 38 | 22 | 49 | 146 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 45% | 41% | 47% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 50/88 | 51/78 | 24/36 | 67/101 | 192/303 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 65% | 67% | 66% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 37/50 | 38/51 | 22/24 | 49/67 | 146/192 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 75% | 92% | 73% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/38 | 13/27 | 7/12 | 17/34 | 59/111 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 48% | 58% | 50% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 3/3 | 5/6 | 4/5 | 16/21 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 100% | 83% | 80% | 76% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | – | 33% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (1-1) – H2H and prediction
