Stefanos Tsitsipas and Novak Djokovic will fight against each other in the final of the Astana Open for the 10th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.33
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 3.44
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Prediction and head to head Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Novak Djokovic
This will be the 10th time that Stefanos Tsitsipas and Novak Djokovic clash against each other. The head to head is 7-2 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Djokovic won 6-0 7-6(5) in the final in Rome back in May 2022.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Stefanos Tsitsipas – Rome 15-May-2022
Stefanos Tsitsipas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-22 | 13-11 | 22-6 | 8-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-24 | 19-9 | 17-5 | 11-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 61-24 | 18-8 | 17-4 | 18-9 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-19 | 26-8 | 23-5 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-14 | 11-6 | 11-3 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, the Greek got to the final after beating Mikhail Kukushkin 6-3 6-4, Luca Nardi 7-62 7-63, Hubert Hurkacz 7-68 6-3 and Andrey Rublev 4-6 6-4 6-3.
In the semifinal against Rublev, Stefanos recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3). During the match, Tsitsipas scored 96 points vs Rublev’s 87. Tsitsipas was quite aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about the service games, Tsitsipas made 8 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Stefanos Tsitsipas was very effective on serve to win 71% (49/69) of his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Tsitsipas broke Rublev twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Stefanos has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Tsitsipas has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 69% of his matches (383-173). 10-3 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Tsitsipas has a compiled69-37 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Carlo where he beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 6-3 7-6(3) and in Mallorca where he overcame Roberto Bautista Agut in the final 6-4 3-6 7-6(2).
Tsitsipas has a compiled 51-18 win-loss record in 2022, 10-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Astana
The Greek has never competed in this tournament before.
Novak Djokovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-5 | 26-1 | 11-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Djokovic reached the final after defeating Cristian Garin 6-1 6-1, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-1, Karen Khachanov 6-4 6-3 and Daniil Medvedev 4-6 7-66 0-0 ret..
In the semifinal against Medvedev, the Serbian had a free pass after Medvedev retired on a 4-6 7-66 0-0 . scoreline.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Rome where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-0 7-6(5) and at the Wimbledon where he overcame Nick Kyrgios in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(3) and in Tel Aviv where he defeated Marin Cilic in the final 6-3 6-4.
Djokovic has an overall 32-6 win-loss record in 2022, 9-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tsitsipas | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 96 | 72 |
| Pts | 325-265 | 238-175 |
| Total Points | 590 | 413 |
| Winners | 164 | 110 |
| %Winners | 50% | 46% |
Both Tsitsipas and Djokovic played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Stefanos Tsitsipas lost 1 set, while Novak Djokovic conceded 1 set. Tsitsipas has played 1 set(s) less than Djokovic (9 vs 10). However, it’s interesting to notice that Tsitsipas played 24 games more than Djokovic. Stefanos scored 164 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The Serbian blasted 110 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tsitsipas | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 27 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 6.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st in | 206/294 | 137/204 |
| %1st in | 70% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 164/206 | 110/137 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 56/88 | 38/67 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 57% |
Tsitsipas fired 27 aces (6.8 per match). Djokovic managed to score 15 aces (3.8 per match). Tsitsipas won 80% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Djokovic won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tsitsipas | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 13 |
| Converted | 5/22 | 13/21 |
| % Converted | 23% | 62% |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 |
| Saved | 7 | 3 |
| % Saved | 88% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Tsitsipas broke his opponents 5 times with a 23% conversion rate. Stefanos dropped his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. Novak broke his opponents 13 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Serbian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tsitsipas | ||||||
| R1 Kukushkin |
R2 Nardi |
1/4 Hurkacz |
1/2 Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-62 7-63 | 7-68 6-3 | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 26 | 22 | 29 | 96 | |
| pts | 64-48 | 81-67 | 84-63 | 96-87 | 325-265 | |
| Total points | 112 | 148 | 147 | 183 | 590 | |
| Winners | 36 | 41 | 38 | 49 | 164 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 51% | 45% | 51% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 44/56 | 49/73 | 44/62 | 69/103 | 206/294 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 67% | 71% | 67% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 36/44 | 41/49 | 38/44 | 49/69 | 164/206 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 84% | 86% | 71% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/12 | 17/24 | 14/18 | 19/34 | 56/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 71% | 78% | 56% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 0/0 | 1/9 | 2/5 | 5/22 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 0% | 11% | 40% | 23% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 5/6 | 7 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | – | 83% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Djokovic | ||||||
| R1 Garin |
R2 Van De Zandschulp |
1/4 Khachanov |
1/2 Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-4 6-3 | 4-6 7-66 0-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 16 | 19 | 23 | 72 | |
| pts | 54-25 | 57-35 | 65-45 | 62-70 | 238-175 | |
| Total points | 79 | 92 | 110 | 132 | 413 | |
| Winners | 17 | 32 | 29 | 32 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 56% | 45% | 52% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 21/35 | 40/51 | 34/51 | 42/67 | 137/204 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 78% | 67% | 63% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 17/21 | 32/40 | 29/34 | 32/42 | 110/137 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 80% | 85% | 76% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/14 | 5/11 | 10/17 | 11/25 | 38/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 86% | 45% | 59% | 44% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 1/3 | 13/21 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 80% | 60% | 33% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | 0% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (2-7) – H2H and prediction
