Taylor Fritz and Denis Shapovalov will play each other in the semifinal of the Rakuten Japan Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on COLOSSEUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.86
Taylor Fritz -> 1.99
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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Denis Shapovalov
This will be the 6th time that Taylor Fritz and Denis Shapovalov face off. The head to head is 4-1 for Shapovalov (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Shapovalov won 7-6(7) 6-2 in the 2nd round in San diego back in 2021.
Highlights Denis Shapovalov vs Taylor Fritz – San diego 30-September-2021
Taylor Fritz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-21 | 22-10 | 15-7 | 2-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-24 | 35-11 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 24-8 | 5-3 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-22 | 20-13 | 4-5 | 8-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-16 | 11-9 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11 (career-high), the American got to the semifinal after defeating James Duckworth 6-2 6-72 6-1, Hiroki Moriya 6-1 3-6 6-4 and Nick Kyrgios w/o.
In the quarter, Taylor defeated Kyrgios (w/o). During the match, Fritz and Kyrgios scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 11 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Taylor was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Talking about the service games, Fritz couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the match and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Taylor Fritz conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Taylor has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Fritz has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (291-189). 22-8 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Fritz has an aggregate176-100 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Indian Wells where he overcame Rafael Nadal in the final 6-3 7-6(5) and in Eastbourne where he beat Maxime Cressy in the final 6-2 6-7(4) 7-6(4).
Taylor has an aggregate 39-17 win-loss record in 2022, 22-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Denis Shapovalov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-24 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 14-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-15 | 8-6 | 5-2 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Shapovalov reached the semifinal after beating Steve Johnson 6-3 7-63, Rio Noguchi 6-3 6-1 and Borna Coric 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter, Denis had a good straight sets win against Coric (6-4 6-3). During the match Shapovalov scored 59 points vs Coric’s 45. The Canadian was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Shapovalov recorded 9 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Denis Shapovalov lost the serve once. Furthermore, Shapovalov put 67% of his first serves in, winning 89% (31/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (7/17) on the 2nd serve. The Canadian broke Coric 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Canadian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
The Canadian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Seoul.
The Canadian has a compiled 27-20 win-loss record in 2022, 22-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fritz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 57 |
| Pts | 186-148 | 187-133 |
| Total Points | 334 | 320 |
| Winners | 84 | 93 |
| %Winners | 45% | 50% |
Fritz played 2 matches while Shapovalov competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Taylor Fritz surrendered 2 sets while Denis Shapovalov hasn’t dropped a set so far. Talking about their workload, Fritz and Shapovalov have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Fritz played 3 games less than Shapovalov. The American scored 84 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian recorded 93 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fritz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 38 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 19 | 8.3 |
| 1st in | 104/161 | 104/145 |
| %1st in | 65% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 84/104 | 93/104 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 89% |
| 2nd pts | 25/57 | 22/41 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 54% |
Fritz bagged 38 aces (19 per match). Shapovalov struck 25 aces (8.3 per match). Fritz won 81% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Shapovalov won 89% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fritz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 9 |
| Converted | 10/19 | 9/15 |
| % Converted | 53% | 60% |
| Conceded | 10 | 1 |
| Saved | 6 | 0 |
| % Saved | 60% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
Taylor broke his opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. The American lost his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Denis broke his opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. Denis conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fritz | |||||
| R1 Duckworth |
R2 Moriya |
1/4 Kyrgios |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-72 6-1 | 6-1 3-6 6-4 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | – | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 26 | – | 54 | |
| pts | 95-71 | 91-77 | – | 186-148 | |
| Total points | 166 | 168 | – | 334 | |
| Winners | 50 | 34 | – | 84 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 37% | – | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 24 | 14 | – | 38 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | – | 4 | |
| 1st in | 57/82 | 47/79 | – | 104/161 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 59% | – | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 50/57 | 34/47 | – | 84/104 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 72% | – | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/25 | 16/32 | – | 25/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 50% | – | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | – | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/11 | – | 10/19 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 45% | – | 53% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | – | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/6 | – | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 50% | – | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | – | 4 | |
| Shapovalov | |||||
| R1 Johnson |
R2 Noguchi |
1/4 Coric |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-63 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 16 | 19 | 57 | |
| pts | 71-54 | 57-34 | 59-45 | 187-133 | |
| Total points | 125 | 91 | 104 | 320 | |
| Winners | 37 | 25 | 31 | 93 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 44% | 53% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 11 | 5 | 9 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 38/50 | 31/43 | 35/52 | 104/145 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 72% | 67% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 37/38 | 25/31 | 31/35 | 93/104 | |
| % 1st pts | 97% | 81% | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/12 | 7/12 | 7/17 | 22/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 58% | 41% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 4/6 | 3/4 | 9/15 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 67% | 75% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLLWL
WWWWWLWWLW Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Soon-Woo KwonKwon – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (w/o) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Borna CoricCoric (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McDonald/Marcelo MeloMcDonald/Marcelo Melo – Daniel Evans/John PeersEvans/John Peers (6-2 6-75 10-6) – See score progression
- Rafael Matos/David Vega HernandezMatos/David Vega Hernandez – Brandon Nakashima/Hunter ReeseNakashima/Hunter Reese (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Sander Gille/Joran VliegenGille/Joran Vliegen – Matthew Ebden/Max PurcellEbden/Max Purcell (6-3 5-7 10-8) – See score progression
- Soon-Woo KwonKwon – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (w/o) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Borna CoricCoric (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Soon-Woo KwonKwon – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (1-4) – H2H and prediction
