Danka Kovinic and Jasmine Paolini will fight against each other in the quarter of the Parma Ladies Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 12:00 pm on Center Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.63
Danka Kovinic -> 2.34
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Prediction and head to head Danka Kovinic vs. Jasmine Paolini
This will be the 5th time that Danka Kovinic and Jasmine Paolini clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Kovinic (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Paolini won 6-1 6-1 in the 1st round in Warsaw back in July 2022.
Danka Kovinic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 16-16 | 4-8 | 10-7 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-21 | 6-8 | 23-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-20 | 4-12 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-9 | 3-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 78, Kovinic got to the quarter after beating Oceane Dodin 6-1 3-6 6-4 and Sloane Stephens 7-5 2-6 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Danka defeated Stephens (7-5 2-6 7-5).During the match, Kovinic scored less points (3) than Stephens. In fact, the world no. 78 won 99 points vs Stephens’s. That means that Kovinic was more focused during the important points. Danka was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kovinic managed to score 4 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 12 double faults. Danka Kovinic lost the serve 5 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kovinic put 51% of her first serves in, winning 71% (37/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (23/50) on the 2nd serve. The broke Stephens 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kovinic has lost 2 set in this event to win 51% of the points she played.
Kovinic has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 54% of her matches (276-238). 15-8 on clay in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kovinic has an aggregate 177-97 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Danka has an aggregate 21-18 win-loss record in 2022, 15-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Parma
The has never competed in this tournament before.
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-20 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 1-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 79, Paolini got to the quarter after defeating Jule Niemeier 5-7 6-4 6-2 and Elisabetta Cocciaretto 4-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Cocciaretto, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Paolini scored 111 points vs Cocciaretto’s 105. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 46 winners.
About the serving games, Paolini scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 5 times and she saved 15 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 65% of her first serves in, winning 60% (46/77) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (20/42) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Cocciaretto 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Paolini’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Palermo and Warsaw.
Paolini has a compiled 21-22 win-loss record in 2022, 10-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Parma
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kovinic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 59 |
| Pts | 197-189 | 219-206 |
| Total Points | 386 | 425 |
| Winners | 73 | 82 |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% |
Both Kovinic and Paolini played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Danka Kovinic conceded 2 sets, while Jasmine Paolini conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Kovinic and Paolini have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Kovinic played 1 game less than Paolini. Danka scored 73 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Paolini bagged 82 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kovinic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 106/191 | 141/209 |
| %1st in | 55% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 73/106 | 82/141 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 58% |
| 2nd pts | 38/85 | 32/68 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 47% |
Kovinic managed to score 10 aces (5 per match). Paolini bagged 1 ace (0.5 per match). Kovinic won 69% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 58% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kovinic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 14 |
| Converted | 11/24 | 14/32 |
| % Converted | 46% | 44% |
| Conceded | 24 | 30 |
| Saved | 15 | 19 |
| % Saved | 63% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 11 |
The broke her opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. Kovinic conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. Paolini broke her opponents 14 times with a 44% conversion rate. Paolini conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kovinic | ||||
| R1 Dodin |
R2 Stephens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 3-6 6-4 | 7-5 2-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 32 | 58 | |
| pts | 98-87 | 99-102 | 197-189 | |
| Total points | 185 | 201 | 386 | |
| Winners | 36 | 37 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 12 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 54/89 | 52/102 | 106/191 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 51% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 36/54 | 37/52 | 73/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 71% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/35 | 23/50 | 38/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 46% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 5/9 | 11/24 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 56% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 11 | 24 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 6/11 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 55% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Paolini | ||||
| R1 Niemeier |
R2 Cocciaretto |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 6-2 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 29 | 59 | |
| pts | 108-101 | 111-105 | 219-206 | |
| Total points | 209 | 216 | 425 | |
| Winners | 36 | 46 | 82 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 41% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 64/90 | 77/119 | 141/209 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 65% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 36/64 | 46/77 | 82/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 60% | 58% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/26 | 20/42 | 32/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 48% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Converted | 8/22 | 6/10 | 14/32 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 60% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 20 | 30 | |
| Saved | 4/10 | 15/20 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 75% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
WL
LLWLWWLWLW Tennis Scores in Parma
- Hugo DellienDellien – Federico ZeballosZeballos (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Antoine HoangHoang – Mario Vilella MartinezVilella Martinez (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ivan NedelkoNedelko – Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Maryna ZanevskaZanevska (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Danka KovinicKovinic – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ana BogdanBogdan – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mayar SherifSherif – Lauren DavisDavis (0-1) – H2H and prediction
