Ana Bogdan and Kateryna Baindl will clash against each other in the semifinal of the BNP Paribas Poland Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 10:00 am on Center Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ana Bogdan who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ana Bogdan is the pick to win this match.
Ana Bogdan -> 1.666
Kateryna Baindl -> 2.32
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Prediction and head to head Ana Bogdan vs. Kateryna Baindl
This will be the 4th time that Ana Bogdan and Kateryna Baindl square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Kozlova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Kozlova won 7-6(2) 6-4 in the qualifications in Linz back in 2021.
Ana Bogdan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-24 | 11-12 | 5-9 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-21 | 5-9 | 17-7 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-17 | 4-3 | 20-8 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-19 | 7-7 | 7-6 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 108, Bogdan got to the semifinal after beating Nuria Parrizas-Diaz 6-4 7-63, Katerina Siniakova 6-0 6-4 and Laura Pigossi 6-1 6-1.
In the quarter, The Romanian had a good straight sets win against Pigossi (6-1 6-1). During the match, Bogdan scored 52 points vs Pigossi’s 27. The Romanian was extremely aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bogdan scored just 1 ace in the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Ana Bogdan was exceptionally effective on serve to win 75% (18/24) of her 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Bogdan broke Pigossi 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Romanian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points she played.
Bogdan has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (288-171). 11-6 on clay in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bogdan has a composed 115-64 record in the last years on clay.
The Romanian has a compiled 21-11 win-loss record in 2022, 11-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Warsaw
The Romanian has never competed in this tournament before.
Kateryna Baindl
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10-13 | 1-3 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-21 | 11-10 | 6-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-27 | 8-4 | 24-17 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-18 | 8-5 | 10-8 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 190, the Ukrainian got to the semifinal after defeating Yuliya Hatouka 6-4 6-3, Maryna Zanevska 6-3 6-3, Sara Errani 6-2 3-0 ret. and Petra Martic 1-6 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter against Martic, Kozlova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Kozlova scored 84 points vs Martic’s 76. Kateryna was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Kozlova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Kateryna Baindl lost the serve 6 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kozlova put 86% of her first serves in, winning 63% (38/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 30% (3/10) on the 2nd serve. Kateryna broke Martic 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Ukrainian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Kozlova’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the W60 Montpellier.
The Ukrainian has an overall 16-15 win-loss record in 2022, 12-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bogdan | Kozlova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 74 |
| Pts | 191-138 | 266-216 |
| Total Points | 329 | 482 |
| Winners | 78 | 115 |
| %Winners | 41% | 43% |
Bogdan played 3 matches while Kozlova competed in 4 matches. Kozlova started her run from the qualifications while Bogdan had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Kateryna Baindl lost 1 set while Ana Bogdan hasn’t dropped a set so far. Bogdan has played 4 set(s) less than Kozlova (6 vs 10). Therefore, Bogdan played 21 games less than Kozlova. The Romanian scored 78 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Kozlova struck 115 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bogdan | Kozlova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 111/173 | 179/227 |
| %1st in | 64% | 79% |
| 1st pts | 78/111 | 115/179 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 33/62 | 19/48 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 40% |
Bogdan struck 3 aces (1 per match). Kozlova bagged 10 aces (2.5 per match). Bogdan won 70% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Kozlova won 64% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 40% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bogdan | Kozlova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 21 |
| Converted | 14/20 | 21/36 |
| % Converted | 70% | 58% |
| Conceded | 17 | 21 |
| Saved | 13 | 9 |
| % Saved | 76% | 43% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 12 |
The Romanian broke her opponents 14 times with a 70% conversion rate. Bogdan conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 76% of the break points that she conceded. Kateryna broke her opponents 21 times with a 58% conversion rate. Kozlova conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded.
| Bogdan | |||||
| R1 Parrizas-Diaz |
R2 Siniakova |
1/4 Pigossi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-63 | 6-0 6-4 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 16 | 14 | 53 | |
| pts | 72-62 | 67-49 | 52-27 | 191-138 | |
| Total points | 134 | 116 | 79 | 329 | |
| Winners | 31 | 29 | 18 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | 35% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 44/66 | 43/64 | 24/43 | 111/173 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 56% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 31/44 | 29/43 | 18/24 | 78/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 10/21 | 10/19 | 33/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 48% | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 5/9 | 6/8 | 14/20 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 56% | 75% | 70% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 7/8 | 4/5 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 88% | 80% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Kozlova | |||||||
| Q1 Hatouka |
Q3 Maleckova |
R1 Zanevska |
R2 Errani |
1/4 Martic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 5-7 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 3-0 ret. | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 30 | 18 | 11 | 26 | 104 | |
| pts | 72-63 | – | 66-56 | 44-21 | 84-76 | 266-216 | |
| Total points | 135 | 0 | 122 | 65 | 160 | 482 | |
| Winners | 27 | 29 | 21 | 38 | 115 | ||
| %Winners | 38% | 0% | 44% | 48% | 45% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | ||
| 1st in | 46/64 | / | 45/55 | 28/38 | 60/70 | 179/227 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 0% | 82% | 74% | 86% | 79% | |
| 1st pts | 27/46 | / | 29/45 | 21/28 | 38/60 | 115/179 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 0% | 64% | 75% | 63% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/18 | / | 4/10 | 6/10 | 3/10 | 19/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 0% | 40% | 60% | 30% | 40% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21 | ||
| Converted | 7/10 | / | 5/9 | 3/3 | 6/14 | 21/36 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 0% | 56% | 100% | 43% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 21 | ||
| Saved | 2/6 | 0/ | 2/4 | 1/1 | 4/10 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | 50% | 100% | 40% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | ||
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWLLLW
Tennis Scores in Warsaw
- Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi – Seong Chan HongChan Hong (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Takuto NikiNiki – Kaito UesugiUesugi (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kateryna KozlovaKozlova – Ana BogdanBogdan (2-1) – H2H and prediction
