Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Jozef Kovalik will face off in the 2nd round of the Hamburg European Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 6:30 pm on M1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 1.25
Jozef Kovalik -> 4.15
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Prediction and head to head Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Jozef Kovalik
There is no head to head record between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Jozef Kovalik since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-26 | 22-14 | 9-6 | 8-4 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, Davidovich Fokina reached the 2nd round after beating Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, Alejandro had a good straight sets win against Van De Zandschulp (6-4 6-4). During the match, Davidovich Fokina scored 65 points vs Van De Zandschulp’s 58. Davidovich Fokina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Davidovich Fokina was unable to score even 1 ace and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Davidovich Fokina put 78% of his first serves in, winning 57% (28/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (5/14) on the 2nd serve. Alejandro broke Van De Zandschulp 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Davidovich Fokina has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 60% of his matches (205-136). 10-7 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Davidovich Fokina has an aggregate94-56 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
Davidovich Fokina’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Carlo.
The Spaniard has a composed 17-18 win-loss record in 2022, 10-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hamburg
Jozef Kovalik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-23 | 2-5 | 11-14 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-25 | 3-5 | 30-15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-34 | 1-3 | 21-28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 3-6 | 29-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-27 | 0-1 | 26-20 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 186, Jozef got to the 2nd round after beating Henri Laaksonen 6-4 6-1, Alexander Shevchenko 7-66 4-6 6-4 and Max Hans Rehberg 3-6 7-5 6-1.
In the 1st round against Hans Rehberg, The Slovakian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-1). During the match Kovalik scored 97 points vs Hans Rehberg’s 92. Kovalik was extremely aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about serving, Kovalik scored 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jozef Kovalik lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Kovalik put 79% of his first serves in, winning 63% (49/78) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (7/21) on the 2nd serve. Jozef broke Hans Rehberg 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Jozef’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Oeiras 2 Challenger and the Luedenscheid Challenger.
Kovalik has an aggregate 22-16 win-loss record in 2022, 20-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hamburg
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Davidovich Fokina | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 78 |
| Pts | 65-58 | 276-251 |
| Total Points | 123 | 527 |
| Winners | 28 | 124 |
| %Winners | 43% | 45% |
Davidovich Fokina played 1 match while Kovalik competed in 3 matches. Kovalik started his run from the qualifications while Davidovich Fokina had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jozef Kovalik dropped 2 sets while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina hasn’t conceded a set so far. Davidovich Fokina has played 6 set(s) less than Kovalik (2 vs 8). Therefore, Davidovich Fokina played 58 games less than Kovalik. Alejandro scored 28 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Jozef recorded 124 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Davidovich Fokina | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 49/63 | 190/267 |
| %1st in | 78% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 28/49 | 124/190 |
| %1st pts | 57% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 5/14 | 38/77 |
| %2nd pts | 36% | 49% |
Davidovich Fokina didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kovalik struck 4 aces (1.3 per match). Davidovich Fokina won 57% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 36% of the points. On the other side, Kovalik won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Davidovich Fokina | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 13 |
| Converted | 6/11 | 13/24 |
| % Converted | 55% | 54% |
| Conceded | 9 | 21 |
| Saved | 5 | 13 |
| % Saved | 56% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 8 |
The Spaniard broke his opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Spaniard dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Kovalik broke his opponents 13 times with a 54% conversion rate. Kovalik conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Davidovich Fokina | |||
| R1 Van De Zandschulp |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 65-58 | 65-58 | |
| Total points | 123 | 123 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 49/63 | 49/63 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 28/49 | 28/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 57% | 57% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/14 | 5/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 36% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Kovalik | |||||
| Q1 Laaksonen |
Q3 Shevchenko |
R1 Hans |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 7-66 4-6 6-4 | 3-6 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 33 | 28 | 78 | |
| pts | 70-50 | 109-109 | 97-92 | 276-251 | |
| Total points | 120 | 218 | 189 | 527 | |
| Winners | 28 | 47 | 49 | 124 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 43% | 51% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/60 | 74/108 | 78/99 | 190/267 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 69% | 79% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 47/74 | 49/78 | 124/190 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 64% | 63% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/22 | 20/34 | 7/21 | 38/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 59% | 33% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/4 | 6/11 | 13/24 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 75% | 55% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 | 11 | 21 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 4/7 | 7/11 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 57% | 64% | 188% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWLW
LLWWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Hamburg
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Federico CoriaCoria (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nicola KuhnKuhn (3-6 6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (7-68 7-5) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Aljaz BedeneBedene (6-3 3-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Laslo DjereDjere (1-6 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-1 4-6 7-66) – See score progression
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Luca NardiNardi (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-74 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Jozef KovalikKovalik – Max Hans RehbergHans Rehberg (3-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (3-6 6-3 7-62) – See score progression
- Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri Heliovaara – Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Marko TopoTopo (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nicola KuhnKuhn (3-6 6-1 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-1 4-6 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Aljaz BedeneBedene (6-3 3-6 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Luca NardiNardi (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Laslo DjereDjere (1-6 7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (7-6(8) 7-5) – See score progression
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Federico CoriaCoria (7-6(4) 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Richard BerankisBerankis – Andrey RublevRublev (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alex MolcanMolcan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Jozef KovalikKovalik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
