Shintaro Mochizuki and Filip Peliwo will play each other in the qualifications of the Milan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:30 am on COURT 13. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Shintaro Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.34
Filip Peliwo -> 3.14
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Filip Peliwo
There is no head to head record between Shintaro Mochizuki and Filip Peliwo since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Shintaro Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43-31 | 27-16 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 11-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-33 | 19-22 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 401, the Japanese got to the qualifications after defeating Lorenzo Rottoli 6-2 6-72 7-5.
In the qualifications, Mochizuki defeated Rottoli (6-2 6-72 7-5). During the match, Mochizuki scored 131 points vs Rottoli’s 116. The Japanese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mochizuki made 5 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve 5 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 46% of his first serves in, winning 69% (37/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (31/64) on the 2nd serve. Shintaro broke Rottoli 8 times after converting 44% of his break points (8/18).
Mochizuki has a winning record in the last 5 years having won 57% of his matches (86-66). 10-8 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mochizuki has a composed36-22 match record in the last 5 years on clay.
Shintaro has an aggregate 17-13 win-loss record in 2022, 10-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Milan Challenger
Mochizuki has never competed in this tournament before.
Filip Peliwo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 52-32 | 47-28 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-29 | 26-20 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2023 | 40-37 | 35-25 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-31 | 40-21 | 6-6 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-20 | 14-10 | 9-8 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 448, Peliwo reached the qualifications after beating Filippo Carpi 7-61 6-1.
In the qualifications, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Carpi (7-61 6-1). During the match Peliwo scored 76 points vs Carpi’s 50. The Canadian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Peliwo bagged 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Filip Peliwo was quite effective on serve to win 74% (26/35) of his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Peliwo broke Carpi 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
The Canadian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M25 Nottingham.
Filip has a composed 15-14 win-loss record in 2022, 2-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mochizuki | Peliwo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 20 |
| Pts | 131-116 | 76-50 |
| Total Points | 247 | 126 |
| Winners | 37 | 26 |
| %Winners | 28% | 34% |
Both Mochizuki and Peliwo played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Shintaro Mochizuki lost 1 set while Filip Peliwo hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mochizuki has played 1 set more than Peliwo (3 vs 2). Therefore, Mochizuki played 13 games more than Peliwo. Mochizuki scored 37 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Peliwo bagged 26 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mochizuki | Peliwo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 54/118 | 35/62 |
| %1st in | 46% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 37/54 | 26/35 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 31/64 | 16/27 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 59% |
Mochizuki fired 5 aces . Peliwo blasted 4 aces . Mochizuki won 69% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Peliwo won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mochizuki | Peliwo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 4 |
| Converted | 8/18 | 4/11 |
| % Converted | 44% | 36% |
| Conceded | 17 | 6 |
| Saved | 12 | 4 |
| % Saved | 71% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
Mochizuki broke his opponent 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Japanese surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Peliwo broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mochizuki | |||
| Q1 Rottoli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-72 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 131-116 | 131-116 | |
| Total points | 247 | 247 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 28% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 54/118 | 54/118 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 46% | |
| 1st pts | 37/54 | 37/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 31/64 | 31/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 8 | 8 | |
| Converted | 8/18 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 17 | 17 | |
| Saved | 12/17 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Peliwo | |||
| Q1 Carpi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 76-50 | 76-50 | |
| Total points | 126 | 126 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 35/62 | 35/62 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 26/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/27 | 16/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLLWWLW
LLLWWLLWLW
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Robin HaaseHaase – Joris De LooreDe Loore (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aldin SetkicSetkic – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ernests GulbisGulbis – Julian LenzLenz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrea BassoBasso – Inigo CervantesCervantes (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexey VatutinVatutin – Benoit PairePaire (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico CoriaCoria – Pedja KrstinKrstin (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Viktor DurasovicDurasovic – Gian Marco MoroniMarco Moroni (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Georgii KravchenkoKravchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Mohamed SafwatSafwat (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrew PaulsonPaulson – Giovanni OradiniOradini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
