Brandon Nakashima and Stefan Kozlov will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Surbiton Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.27
Stefan Kozlov -> 3.76
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Stefan Kozlov
This will be the 2nd time that Brandon Nakashima and Stefan Kozlov clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kozlov (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they competed against each other, Kozlov won 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the 3rd round in the Ann Arbor Challenger back in 2020.
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 60-27 | 24-11 | 13-7 | 14-4 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 75, Brandon got to the 2nd round after beating Marc-Andrea Huesler 4-6 7-610 6-2.
In the 1st round against Huesler, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-610 6-2). During the match, Nakashima scored 120 points vs Huesler’s 110. The American was quite aggressive to blast 54 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nakashima bagged 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Brandon Nakashima lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 65% of his first serves in, winning 73% (54/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (20/40) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Huesler 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Nakashima has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 62% of his matches (115-69). 1-0 on grass in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nakashima has a composed5-3 record in the last 7 years on grass.
The American has an overall 12-13 win-loss record in 2022, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Surbiton Challenger
Nakashima has never competed in this tournament before.
Stefan Kozlov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-18 | 16-9 | 17-8 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-34 | 14-18 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-15 | 20-12 | 5-2 | 16-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-13 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 113 (career-high), Stefan got to the 2nd round after defeating Mats Moraing 6-3 7-64.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Moraing (6-3 7-64). During the match Kozlov scored 87 points vs Moraing’s 78. Stefan was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.
About the serving games, Kozlov bagged 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Stefan Kozlov lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kozlov put 78% of his first serves in, winning 73% (51/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (7/20) on the 2nd serve. Kozlov broke Moraing twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Stefan has a composed 10-14 win-loss record in 2022, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakashima | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 22 |
| Pts | 120-110 | 87-78 |
| Total Points | 230 | 165 |
| Winners | 54 | 51 |
| %Winners | 45% | 59% |
Both Nakashima and Kozlov played 1 match. At the moment, Brandon Nakashima dropped 1 set while Stefan Kozlov hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Nakashima has played 1 set more than Kozlov (3 vs 2). Therefore, Nakashima played 9 games more than Kozlov. Brandon scored 54 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Stefan made 51 winners (59%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakashima | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 4 |
| 1st in | 74/114 | 70/90 |
| %1st in | 65% | 78% |
| 1st pts | 54/74 | 51/70 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 20/40 | 7/20 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 35% |
Nakashima struck 11 aces . Kozlov recorded 4 aces . Nakashima won 73% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Kozlov won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 35% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakashima | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 2 |
| Converted | 3/10 | 2/8 |
| % Converted | 30% | 25% |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 |
| Saved | 6 | 4 |
| % Saved | 75% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Nakashima broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponent twice with a 25% conversion rate. Kozlov conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nakashima | |||
| R1 Huesler |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-610 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 120-110 | 120-110 | |
| Total points | 230 | 230 | |
| Winners | 54 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 74/114 | 74/114 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 54/74 | 54/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/40 | 20/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Kozlov | |||
| R1 Moraing |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 87-78 | 87-78 | |
| Total points | 165 | 165 | |
| Winners | 51 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 59% | 59% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 70/90 | 70/90 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 51/70 | 51/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/20 | 7/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 35% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 2/8 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWLW
LWWLWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Surbiton Challenger
- Stefan KozlovKozlov – Mats MoraingMoraing (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Marius CopilCopil (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Paul JubbJubb – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-4 7-69) – See score progression
- Otto VirtanenVirtanen – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (4-6 7-610 6-2) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Billy HarrisHarris (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Gijs BrouwerBrouwer – Radu AlbotAlbot (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alastair GrayGray – Mark WhitehouseWhitehouse (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Denis KudlaKudla – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (7-5 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-75 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Liam BroadyBroady – Jay ClarkeClarke (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Ramkumar RamanathanRamanathan – Yuichi SugitaSugita (4-6 7-5 7-62) – See score progression
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Ryan PenistonPeniston – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (2-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Max PurcellPurcell – Sam QuerreyQuerrey (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Andy MurrayMurray – Jurij RodionovRodionov (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Christopher O’ConnellO’Connell – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Otto VirtanenVirtanen – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Paul JubbJubb – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-4 7-6(9)) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Billy HarrisHarris (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andy MurrayMurray – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – Max PurcellPurcell (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Liam BroadyBroady – Denis KudlaKudla (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Ramkumar RamanathanRamanathan (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefan KozlovKozlov – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alastair GrayGray – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Otto VirtanenVirtanen – Paul JubbJubb (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Ryan PenistonPeniston (0-1) – H2H and prediction
