Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka will square off in the semifinal of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 12:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.26
Aryna Sabalenka -> 4.2
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Aryna Sabalenka
This will be the 4th time that Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Swiatek won 6-2 6-2 in the final in Stuttgart back in April 2022.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka – Stuttgart 24-April-2022
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Pole reached the semifinal after defeating Elena Gabriela Ruse 6-3 6-0, Victoria Azarenka 6-4 6-1 and Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 7-62 6-0.
In the quarter, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Andreescu (7-62 6-0). During the match, Swiatek scored 71 points vs Andreescu’s 53. Iga was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Swiatek fired 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 61% of her first serves in, winning 64% (27/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the 2nd serve. Iga was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Andreescu 6 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Pole hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 79% of her matches (185-50). 7-0 on clay in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has a composed81-13 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Doha where she beat Anett Kontaveit in the final 6-2 6-0 and in in Indian Wells where she beat Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-1 and in in Miami where she overcame Naomi Osaka in the final 6-4 6-0 and in in Stuttgart where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-2.
The Pole has an overall 35-3 win-loss record in 2022, 7-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, the Belarussian got to the semifinal after defeating Shuai Zhang 6-2 6-0, Jessica Pegula 6-1 6-4 and Amanda Anisimova 4-6 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter against Anisimova, Aryna recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Sabalenka scored 85 points vs Anisimova’s 76. Sabalenka was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Sabalenka scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 8 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 5 times. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 57% of her first serves in, winning 61% (27/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (14/33) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Anisimova 7 times after converting 70% of her break points (7/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Sabalenka’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Stuttgart.
The Belarussian has a composed 13-10 win-loss record in 2022, 7-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 58 |
| Pts | 209-145 | 199-146 |
| Total Points | 354 | 345 |
| Winners | 75 | 74 |
| %Winners | 36% | 37% |
Both Swiatek and Sabalenka played 3 matches. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka dropped 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t conceded a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Sabalenka (6 vs 7). Therefore, Swiatek played 7 games less than Sabalenka. Swiatek scored 75 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Sabalenka struck 74 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 125/204 | 106/173 |
| %1st in | 61% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 75/125 | 74/106 |
| %1st pts | 60% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 41/79 | 29/67 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 43% |
Swiatek blasted 4 aces (1.3 per match). Sabalenka made 16 aces (5.3 per match). Swiatek won 60% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Sabalenka won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 18 |
| Converted | 20/28 | 18/27 |
| % Converted | 71% | 67% |
| Conceded | 21 | 9 |
| Saved | 12 | 2 |
| % Saved | 57% | 22% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 7 |
Iga broke her opponents 20 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Pole conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Aryna broke her opponents 18 times with a 67% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 22% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | |||||
| R2 Gabriela Ruse |
R3 Azarenka |
1/4 Andreescu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-4 6-1 | 7-62 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 19 | 51 | |
| pts | 55-30 | 83-62 | 71-53 | 209-145 | |
| Total points | 85 | 145 | 124 | 354 | |
| Winners | 17 | 31 | 27 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 37% | 38% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 23/37 | 60/98 | 42/69 | 125/204 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 61% | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 17/23 | 31/60 | 27/42 | 75/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 52% | 64% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 21/38 | 14/27 | 41/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 55% | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | |
| Converted | 7/12 | 7/10 | 6/6 | 20/28 | |
| Converted % | 58% | 70% | 100% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 14 | 5 | 21 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 10/14 | 2/5 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 71% | 40% | 37% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| Sabalenka | |||||
| R2 Zhang |
R3 Pegula |
1/4 Anisimova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | 6-1 6-4 | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 17 | 27 | 58 | |
| pts | 53-28 | 61-42 | 85-76 | 199-146 | |
| Total points | 81 | 103 | 161 | 345 | |
| Winners | 24 | 23 | 27 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 38% | 32% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 9 | 1 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 30/40 | 32/56 | 44/77 | 106/173 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 57% | 57% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 23/32 | 27/44 | 74/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 72% | 61% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/10 | 10/24 | 14/33 | 29/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 42% | 42% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 6/8 | 7/10 | 18/27 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 75% | 70% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/4 | 0/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 0% | 17% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLWLWWW
LLWWWWWWWL Tennis Scores in Rome
- Joao SousaSousa – Sebastian OfnerOfner (7-64 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Philipp KohlschreiberKohlschreiber – Fabio FogniniFognini (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (3-2) – H2H and prediction
