H2H, PREDICTION Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Karen Khachanov | Rome odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Rome. Carreno-Busta and Khachanov will square off in the 2nd round of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Karen Khachanov

Pablo Carreno-Busta and Karen Khachanov will face off in the 2nd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:30 pm on GRAND STAND ARENA. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.55
Karen Khachanov -> 2.52

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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Karen Khachanov

This will be the 8th time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Karen Khachanov play each other. The head to head is 4-3 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), but Carreno-Busta has a winning record of 2-0 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Khachanov won 6-0 6-4 in the 3rd round in Indian wells back in 2021.

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Pablo Carreno-Busta
Pablo Carreno-Busta

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
89
High
10
LWLLWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-28 25-10 14-14 2-4 0-0 0-0
2024 10-12 7-6 2-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 2-5 2-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 37-25 19-8 11-9 5-5 2-3 0-0
2021 38-18 14-8 17-4 5-4 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 18, Pablo got to the 2nd round after defeating Federico Delbonis 6-3 6-2.

In the 1st round, Carreno-Busta had a good straight sets win against Delbonis (6-3 6-2). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 66 points vs Delbonis’s 46. Carreno-Busta was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Carreno-Busta scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 65% of his first serves in, winning 70% (26/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Delbonis 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Carreno-Busta has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (385-212). 7-4 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Carreno-Busta has an aggregate 217-98 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Carreno-Busta’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Barcelona.

The Spaniard has an overall 16-9 win-loss record in 2022, 7-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Carreno-Busta
Rome
Carreno-Busta's Record

Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov
Karen Khachanov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
18
High
8
LWWLLLLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-24 13-11 9-6 2-4 8-3 0-0
2024 37-22 14-12 8-4 14-3 1-3 0-0
2023 34-18 18-10 10-5 6-3 0-0 0-0
2022 36-25 17-11 9-7 6-5 4-2 0-0
2021 35-24 17-9 5-6 8-6 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 24, Khachanov reached the 2nd round after beating Giulio Zeppieri 6-3 6-4.

In the 1st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Zeppieri (6-3 6-4). During the match Khachanov scored 72 points vs Zeppieri’s 53. Khachanov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Khachanov recorded 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Karen Khachanov was extremely effective on serve to win 86% (30/35) of his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Karen broke Zeppieri twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

The Russian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Adelaide.

Karen has an aggregate 13-11 win-loss record in 2022, 2-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See his history.

Khachanov
Rome
Khachanov's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament

P.Carreno-Busta
K.Khachanov
1h:20
1h:20
Time on court​
1h:29
1h:29
1h:20
1h:20
Last match​
1h:29
1h:29
1
1
Match played
1
1
17
17
Games Played​
19
19
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
66
66
Total points​
72
72
66
66
Avg point​
72
72
26
26
Winners
30
30
26
26
Avg Winners​
30
30
39%
39%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
5
5
1
1
Avg Aces
5
5
1
1
Double Faults
2
2
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2
2
26/37
26/37
1st won total​
30/35
30/35
70%
70%
1st won %
!
86%
86%
12/20
12/20
2nd won total​
16/25
16/25
60%
60%
2nd won %
!
64%
64%
-- Break Points --
4/8
4/8
BP won
2/8
2/8
4/8
4/8
Avg BP won
2/8
2/8
50%
50%
Won
!
25%
25%
3
3
Conceded
2
2
3
3
Avg Conceded
2
2
1
1
Broken
0
0
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0
0
2
2
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Carreno-Busta Khachanov
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 19
Pts 66-46 72-53
Total Points 112 125
Winners 26 30
%Winners 39% 42%

Both Carreno-Busta and Khachanov played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Carreno-Busta and Khachanov have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Carreno-Busta played 2 games less than Khachanov. Pablo scored 26 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Karen recorded 30 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Carreno-Busta Khachanov
Aces 1 5
Avg per match 1 5
1st in 37/57 35/60
%1st in 65% 58%
1st pts 26/37 30/35
%1st pts 70% 86%
2nd pts 12/20 16/25
%2nd pts 60% 64%

Carreno-Busta bagged 1 ace . Khachanov also scored 5 aces . Carreno-Busta won 70% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Carreno-Busta Khachanov
Won 4 2
Converted 4/8 2/8
% Converted 50% 25%
Conceded 3 2
Saved 2 2
% Saved 67% 100%
Times Broken 1 0

Pablo broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Karen broke his opponent twice with a 25% conversion rate. The Russian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.

Carreno-Busta
R1
Delbonis
Total
Score 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 66-46 66-46
Total points 112 112
Winners 26 26
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 37/57 37/57
% 1st in 65% 65%
1st pts 26/37 26/37
% 1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 12/20 12/20
% 2nd pts 60% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/8 4/8
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 2/3 2
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 1
Khachanov
R1
Zeppieri
Total
Score 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 72-53 72-53
Total points 125 125
Winners 30 30
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 35/60 35/60
% 1st in 58% 58%
1st pts 30/35 30/35
% 1st pts 86% 86%
2nd pts 16/25 16/25
% 2nd pts 64% 64%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/8 2/8
Converted % 25% 25%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Carreno-Busta
LWLLWWWWLW
Khachanov
LWWLLLLLWL
2025 2024 2023
39 - 25
32 - 24
25-10
Hard
13-11
1-2
I Hard
2-4
13-13
Clay
9-6
0-0
Grass
8-3

Tennis Scores in Rome

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