Ons Jabeur and Ekaterina Alexandrova will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ons Jabeur who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ons Jabeur is the pick to win this match.
Ons Jabeur -> 1.61
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2.625
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Prediction and head to head Ons Jabeur vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova
This will be the 8th time that Ons Jabeur and Ekaterina Alexandrova clash against each other. The head to head is 6-1 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Alexandrova won 6-1 1-0 ret. in the 1st round in Moscow back in 2021.
Ons Jabeur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-14 | 2-6 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-17 | 18-11 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-17 | 19-12 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 25-12 | 13-4 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-11 | 18-8 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Ons reached the semifinal after defeating Jasmine Paolini 7-69 6-1, Varvara Gracheva 7-5 0-6 6-4, Belinda Bencic 6-2 3-6 6-2 and Simona Halep 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter, Ons had a good straight sets win against Halep (6-3 6-2). During the match, Jabeur scored 66 points vs Halep’s 45. Jabeur was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Jabeur recorded 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Ons Jabeur was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (28/36) of her 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Tunisian broke Halep 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Tunisian has lost 2 set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.
Jabeur has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (309-179). 10-2 on clay in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Jabeur has an overall 90-45 record in the last years on clay.
Ons’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Charleston.
The Tunisian has a compiled 18-7 win-loss record in 2022, 10-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Ekaterina Alexandrova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-23 | 14-12 | 1-7 | 3-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 9-4 | 4-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 45, the Russian got to the semifinal after beating Tamara Korpatsch 6-4 6-4, Clara Burel 6-1 6-1, Jelena Ostapenko 6-2 4-6 6-4, Nuria Parrizas-Diaz 6-4 7-5, Marie Bouzkova 6-74 6-0 7-5 and Amanda Anisimova 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter, Ekaterina had a good straight sets win against Anisimova (6-4 6-3). During the match Alexandrova scored 76 points vs Anisimova’s 60. Alexandrova was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Alexandrova blasted 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 55% of her first serves in, winning 75% (24/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (10/26) on the 2nd serve. Ekaterina broke Anisimova 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexandrova started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Ekaterina’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Charleston.
The Russian has a composed 15-8 win-loss record in 2022, 11-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Jabeur | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 14 |
| Tot Games | 90 | 134 |
| Pts | 322-271 | 483-381 |
| Total Points | 593 | 864 |
| Winners | 123 | 169 |
| %Winners | 38% | 35% |
Jabeur played 4 matches while Alexandrova competed in 6 matches. Alexandrova started her run from the qualifications while Jabeur had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Ons Jabeur surrendered 2 sets, while Ekaterina Alexandrova dropped 2 sets. Jabeur has played 4 set(s) less than Alexandrova (10 vs 14). Therefore, Jabeur played 44 games less than Alexandrova. Jabeur scored 123 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian recorded 169 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Jabeur | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 4.2 |
| 1st in | 169/289 | 244/425 |
| %1st in | 58% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 123/169 | 169/244 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 51/120 | 93/181 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 51% |
Jabeur fired 17 aces (4.3 per match). Alexandrova fired 25 aces (4.2 per match). Jabeur won 73% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Jabeur | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 34 |
| Converted | 20/45 | 34/66 |
| % Converted | 44% | 52% |
| Conceded | 26 | 47 |
| Saved | 13 | 31 |
| % Saved | 50% | 66% |
| Times Broken | 13 | 16 |
The Tunisian broke her opponents 20 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Tunisian dropped her serve 13 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Ekaterina broke her opponents 34 times with a 52% conversion rate. Ekaterina conceded her serve 16 times and she saved 66% of the break points that she conceded.
| Jabeur | ||||||
| R1 Paolini |
R2 Gracheva |
R3 Bencic |
1/4 Halep |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-69 6-1 | 7-5 0-6 6-4 | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 28 | 25 | 17 | 90 | |
| pts | 76-59 | 86-87 | 94-80 | 66-45 | 322-271 | |
| Total points | 135 | 173 | 174 | 111 | 593 | |
| Winners | 30 | 24 | 41 | 28 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 28% | 44% | 42% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 46/69 | 37/73 | 50/80 | 36/67 | 169/289 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 51% | 63% | 54% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 30/46 | 24/37 | 41/50 | 28/36 | 123/169 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | 82% | 78% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/23 | 13/36 | 13/30 | 16/31 | 51/120 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 36% | 43% | 52% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/17 | 4/11 | 4/5 | 20/45 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 35% | 36% | 80% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 26 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 2/9 | 5/6 | 3/4 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 22% | 83% | 75% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 13 | |
| Alexandrova | ||||||||
| Q1 Korpatsch |
Q3 Burel |
R1 Ostapenko |
R2 Parrizas-Diaz |
R3 Bouzkova |
1/4 Anisimova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-1 | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-74 6-0 7-5 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 14 | 28 | 22 | 31 | 19 | 134 | |
| pts | 63-55 | 55-29 | 89-75 | 70-55 | 130-107 | 76-60 | 483-381 | |
| Total points | 118 | 84 | 164 | 125 | 237 | 136 | 864 | |
| Winners | 24 | 18 | 32 | 28 | 43 | 24 | 169 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 33% | 36% | 40% | 33% | 32% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 23 | |
| 1st in | 39/67 | 25/44 | 47/80 | 33/61 | 68/115 | 32/58 | 244/425 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 57% | 59% | 54% | 59% | 55% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 24/39 | 18/25 | 32/47 | 28/33 | 43/68 | 24/32 | 169/244 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 72% | 68% | 85% | 63% | 75% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/28 | 11/19 | 14/33 | 13/28 | 27/47 | 10/26 | 93/181 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 58% | 42% | 46% | 57% | 38% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 34 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 6/6 | 7/11 | 4/7 | 7/22 | 6/13 | 34/66 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 100% | 64% | 57% | 32% | 46% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 47 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 5/6 | 7/12 | 3/5 | 7/10 | 8/11 | 31 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 83% | 58% | 60% | 70% | 73% | 94% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLWW
LLWLWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Kevin AndersonAnderson – Jack SockSock (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Henri Kontinen/John PeersKontinen/John Peers – Jamie Murray/Bruno SoaresMurray/Bruno Soares (6-74 7-5 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Ons JabeurJabeur (6-1) – H2H and prediction
