H2H, PREDICTION Keegan Smith vs Juan Alejandro Hernandez | Morelos Challenger odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Morelos Challenger. Smith and Alejandro will square off in the 2nd round of the Morelos Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Keegan Smith vs. Juan Alejandro Hernandez

Keegan Smith and Juan Alejandro Hernandez will play each other in the 2nd round of the Morelos Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 12:30 pm on ESTADIO MORELOS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Keegan Smith who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Keegan Smith is the pick to win this match.
Keegan Smith -> 1.3
Juan Alejandro Hernandez -> 3.52

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Prediction and head to head Keegan Smith vs. Juan Alejandro Hernandez

There is no head to head record between Keegan Smith and Juan Alejandro Hernandez since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Keegan Smith

Keegan Smith
Keegan Smith

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
544
High
339
LWLWLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 33-23 30-18 0-1 3-4 0-0 0-0
2023 35-26 31-20 0-0 4-6 0-0 0-0
2022 30-24 26-14 3-4 1-6 0-0 0-0
2021 16-5 8-2 0-0 8-3 0-0 0-0
2020 7-4 7-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 421, the American got to the 2nd round after beating Eduardo Bribiesca 6-1 3-6 6-0, Akira Santillan 6-4 7-5 and Fajing Sun 6-4 6-2.

In the 1st round, Smith had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-4 6-2). During the match, Smith scored 66 points vs Sun’s 45. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Smith scored 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Keegan Smith was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 88% (29/33) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Keegan broke Sun 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Smith has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 69% of his matches (85-39). 15-3 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Smith has a composed69-29 record in the last 7 years on hard.

The American’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Cancun and M25 Bakersfield.

Smith has an aggregate 18-7 win-loss record in 2022, 15-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Morelos Challenger

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Smith
Morelos Challenger
Smith's Record

Juan Alejandro Hernandez

Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Juan Alejandro Hernandez

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
706
High
462
LWLLWWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 24-16 13-7 11-8 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 0-2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 22-26 19-18 3-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 31-19 18-10 13-9 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 9-7 9-7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 553, Juan got to the 2nd round after defeating Yuichi Sugita 6-3 3-1 ret..

In the 1st round, The Mexican had a good straight sets win against Sugita (6-3 3-1 ret.). During the match Alejandro scored 48 points vs Sugita’s 33. Alejandro was quite aggressive to blast 15 winners.

About the serving games, Alejandro recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Juan Alejandro Hernandez lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Alejandro put 52% of his first serves in, winning 68% (15/22) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the 2nd serve. Juan was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Sugita 4 times.

Alejandro’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Cancun.

The Mexican has a compiled 12-12 win-loss record in 2022, 10-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Alejandro
Morelos Challenger
Alejandro's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament

K.Smith
J.Alejandro Hernandez
!
3h:51
3h:51
Time on court​
0h:58
0h:58
1h:12
1h:12
Last match​
!
0h:58
0h:58
!
3
3
Match played
1
1
62
62
Games Played​
13
13
7
7
Set played​​
3
3
214
214
Total points​
48
48
71.3
71.3
Avg point​
48
48
101
101
Winners
15
15
33.7
33.7
Avg Winners​
15
15
47%
47%
Ratio winners
31%
31%
-- Serve --
24
24
Aces
3
3
8
8
Avg Aces
3
3
13
13
Double Faults
1
1
4.3
4.3
Avg Double Faults
1
1
101/118
101/118
1st won total​
15/22
15/22
!
86%
86%
1st won %
68%
68%
24/49
24/49
2nd won total​
12/20
12/20
49%
49%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
10/28
10/28
BP won
4/4
4/4
3.3/9.3
3.3/9.3
Avg BP won
4/4
4/4
36%
36%
Won
!
100%
100%
6
6
Conceded
4
4
2
2
Avg Conceded
4
4
1
1
Broken
1
1
!
0.3
0.3
Avg Broken
1
1
5
5
Saved
3
3

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Smith Alejandro
Match played 3 1
Tot Set 7 3
Tot Games 62 13
Pts 214-161 48-33
Total Points 375 81
Winners 101 15
%Winners 47% 31%

Smith played 3 matches while Alejandro competed in 1 match. Smith started his run from the qualifications while Alejandro had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Keegan Smith lost 1 set while Juan Alejandro Hernandez hasn’t conceded a set so far. Smith has played 4 sets more than Alejandro (7 vs 3). Therefore, Smith played 49 games more than Alejandro. Keegan scored 101 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro recorded 15 winners (31%).

Serve Performance

Serve Smith Alejandro
Aces 24 3
Avg per match 8 3
1st in 118/167 22/42
%1st in 71% 52%
1st pts 101/118 15/22
%1st pts 86% 68%
2nd pts 24/49 12/20
%2nd pts 49% 60%

Smith bagged 24 aces (8 per match). Alejandro scored 3 aces . Smith won 86% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Alejandro won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Smith Alejandro
Won 10 4
Converted 10/28 4/4
% Converted 36% 100%
Conceded 6 4
Saved 5 3
% Saved 83% 75%
Times Broken 1 1

Keegan broke his opponents 10 times with a 36% conversion rate. The American lost his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Juan broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Smith
Q1
Bribiesca
Q3
Santillan
R1
Sun
Total
Score 6-1 3-6 6-0 6-4 7-5 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 2 7
Tot Games 22 22 18 62
pts 85-59 63-57 66-45 214-161
Total points 144 120 111 375
Winners 35 37 29 101
%Winners 41% 59% 44% 47%
SERVE
Aces 12 5 7 24
Double Faults 5 5 3 13
1st in 40/59 45/61 33/47 118/167
% 1st in 68% 74% 70% 71%
1st pts 35/40 37/45 29/33 101/118
% 1st pts 88% 82% 88% 86%
2nd pts 8/19 8/16 8/14 24/49
% 2nd pts 42% 50% 57% 49%
Breaks
Won 5 2 3 10
Converted 5/13 2/6 3/9 10/28
Converted % 38% 33% 33% 36%
Conceded 2 2 2 6
Saved 1/2 2/2 2/2 5
Saved % 50% 100% 100% 83%
Times Broken 1 0 0 1
Alejandro
R1
Sugita
Total
Score 6-3 3-1 ret.
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 13 13
pts 48-33 48-33
Total points 81 81
Winners 15 15
%Winners 31% 31%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 22/42 22/42
% 1st in 52% 52%
1st pts 15/22 15/22
% 1st pts 68% 68%
2nd pts 12/20 12/20
% 2nd pts 60% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/4 4/4
Converted % 100% 100%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 3/4 3
Saved % 75% 25%
Times Broken 1 1

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Smith
LWLWLLWWLW
Alejandro Hernandez
LWLLWWLLWW
2024 2023 2022
33 - 23
24 - 16
30-18
Hard
13-7
3-4
I Hard
0-1
0-1
Clay
11-8

Tennis Scores in Morelos Challenger

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