Anastasia Potapova and Kristina Mladenovic will play each other in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on Manolo Santana Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Anastasia Potapova who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Anastasia Potapova is the pick to win this match.
Anastasia Potapova -> 1.23
Kristina Mladenovic -> 4.2
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Prediction and head to head Anastasia Potapova vs. Kristina Mladenovic
This will be the 5th time that Anastasia Potapova and Kristina Mladenovic play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Potapova (see full H2H stats), but Mladenovic has a winning record of 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Potapova won 1-6 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in Sultan back in 2021.
Anastasia Potapova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-16 | 10-11 | 6-3 | 7-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-22 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-21 | 11-14 | 7-4 | 7-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-24 | 14-14 | 18-7 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-23 | 11-11 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 78, the Russian reached the qualifications after beating Daria Saville 4-6 6-3 7-5.
In the qualifications against Gavrilova, Potapova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-5). During the match, Potapova scored 110 points vs Gavrilova’s 98. Anastasia was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Potapova fired 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Anastasia Potapova lost the serve 5 times. Furthermore, Potapova put 68% of her first serves in, winning 65% (43/66) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (14/31) on the 2nd serve. Potapova broke Gavrilova 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Potapova has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 59% of her matches (139-96). 8-0 on clay in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Potapova has a composed47-23 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in in Istanbul where she overcame Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-3 6-1.
Anastasia has a composed 14-8 win-loss record in 2022, 8-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Kristina Mladenovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-33 | 12-9 | 11-18 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-34 | 19-15 | 1-12 | 7-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-31 | 11-10 | 10-14 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-30 | 9-13 | 6-7 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 99, the French player reached the qualifications after defeating Mayar Sherif 7-67 7-5.
In the qualifications, Mladenovic had a good straight sets win against Sherif (7-67 7-5). During the match Mladenovic scored 100 points vs Sherif’s 90. Mladenovic was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.
About the serving games, Mladenovic blasted 2 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Kristina Mladenovic lost the serve 3 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Mladenovic put 70% of her first serves in, winning 70% (45/64) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (11/28) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Sherif 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Mladenovic has a composed 1-6 win-loss record in 2022, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2017. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Potapova | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 25 |
| Pts | 110-98 | 100-90 |
| Total Points | 208 | 190 |
| Winners | 43 | 45 |
| %Winners | 39% | 45% |
Both Potapova and Mladenovic played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Anastasia Potapova conceded 1 set while Kristina Mladenovic hasn’t lost a set so far. Potapova has played 1 set more than Mladenovic (3 vs 2). Therefore, Potapova played 6 games more than Mladenovic. The Russian scored 43 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Mladenovic fired 45 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Potapova | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2 |
| 1st in | 66/97 | 64/92 |
| %1st in | 68% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 43/66 | 45/64 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 14/31 | 11/28 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 39% |
Potapova struck 2 aces . Mladenovic blasted 2 aces . Potapova won 65% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Mladenovic won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 39% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Potapova | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/12 | 4/9 |
| % Converted | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded | 5 | 12 |
| Saved | 0 | 9 |
| % Saved | 0% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 |
Potapova broke her opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Anastasia dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. The French player broke her opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The French player conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Potapova | |||
| Q1 Gavrilova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 110-98 | 110-98 | |
| Total points | 208 | 208 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 66/97 | 66/97 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 43/66 | 43/66 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/31 | 14/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 0/5 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Mladenovic | |||
| Q1 Sherif |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-67 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 100-90 | 100-90 | |
| Total points | 190 | 190 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 64/92 | 64/92 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 45/64 | 45/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/28 | 11/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWLLWL
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