Marie Bouzkova and Danka Kovinic will face off in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marie Bouzkova who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Marie Bouzkova is the pick to win this match.
Marie Bouzkova -> 1.44
Danka Kovinic -> 2.79
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Prediction and head to head Marie Bouzkova vs. Danka Kovinic
This will be the 2nd time that Marie Bouzkova and Danka Kovinic square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Bouzkova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Bouzkova won 3-6 5-0 ret. in the 1st round in Melbourne back in 2021.
Marie Bouzkova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-21 | 20-12 | 9-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-22 | 17-16 | 7-3 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-24 | 19-16 | 5-5 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-14 | 33-10 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-21 | 11-13 | 1-4 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 77, the Czech reached the qualifications after defeating Fiona Ferro 6-2 6-2.
In the qualifications, Marie had a good straight sets win against Ferro (6-2 6-2). During the match, Bouzkova scored 60 points vs Ferro’s 32. Bouzkova was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bouzkova fired 3 aces and she was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Marie Bouzkova was extremely efficient on serve to win 75% (21/28) of her 1st serve and 90% (9/10) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Bouzkova broke Ferro 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Bouzkova has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 65% of her matches (284-155). 1-1 on clay in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Bouzkova has an overall53-39 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
Marie’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Guadalajara.
Bouzkova has an aggregate 18-7 win-loss record in 2022, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Danka Kovinic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 16-16 | 4-8 | 10-7 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-21 | 6-8 | 23-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-20 | 4-12 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 114, the reached the qualifications after defeating Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, The had a good straight sets win against Sasnovich (6-4 6-2). During the match Kovinic scored 67 points vs Sasnovich’s 53. The was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Kovinic fired 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Danka Kovinic was exceptionally effective on serve to win 71% (24/34) of her 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The broke Sasnovich 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Kovinic’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Marbella.
Kovinic has an overall 10-7 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2016. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bouzkova | Kovinic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 |
| Pts | 60-32 | 67-53 |
| Total Points | 92 | 120 |
| Winners | 21 | 24 |
| %Winners | 35% | 36% |
Both Bouzkova and Kovinic played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Bouzkova and Kovinic have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Bouzkova played 2 games less than Kovinic. Bouzkova scored 21 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The blasted 24 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bouzkova | Kovinic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 28/38 | 34/55 |
| %1st in | 74% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 24/34 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 9/10 | 11/21 |
| %2nd pts | 90% | 52% |
Bouzkova made 3 aces . Kovinic struck 5 aces . Bouzkova won 75% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 90% of the points. On the other side, Kovinic won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bouzkova | Kovinic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 56% | 63% |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The Czech broke her opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Marie surrendered her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. Kovinic broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Danka conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Bouzkova | |||
| Q1 Ferro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 60-32 | 60-32 | |
| Total points | 92 | 92 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 28/38 | 28/38 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 21/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/10 | 9/10 | |
| % 2nd pts | 90% | 90% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Kovinic | |||
| Q1 Sasnovich |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 67-53 | 67-53 | |
| Total points | 120 | 120 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 34/55 | 34/55 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 24/34 | 24/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWLWWWL
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Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Danka KovinicKovinic – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Harmony TanTan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kristina MladenovicMladenovic – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrea PetkovicPetkovic – Kaja JuvanJuvan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Oceane DodinDodin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BondarBondar – Greetje MinnenMinnen (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Heather WatsonWatson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Petra KvitovaKvitova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ana KonjuhKonjuh – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Clara TausonTauson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Madison KeysKeys (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (4-2) – H2H and prediction
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- Monica PuigPuig – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (2-1) – H2H and prediction
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- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Shelby RogersRogers (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Simona HalepHalep – Shuai ZhangZhang (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (3-1) – H2H and prediction
