Daniil Medvedev and Hubert Hurkacz will fight against each other in the quarter of the Miami Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.177
Hubert Hurkacz -> 5.5
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Hubert Hurkacz
This will be the 4th time that Daniil Medvedev and Hubert Hurkacz play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Medvedev won 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 in the R in Nitto atp finals back in 2021.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Hubert Hurkacz – Nitto atp finals 14-November-2021
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Medvedev got to the quarter after beating Andy Murray 6-4 6-2, Pedro Martinez Portero 6-3 6-4 and Jenson Brooksby 7-5 6-1.
In the 4th round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Brooksby (7-5 6-1). During the match, Medvedev scored 63 points vs Brooksby’s 41. Medvedev was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev fired 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 69% of his first serves in, winning 85% (34/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (7/18) on the 2nd serve. Daniil was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Brooksby 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Medvedev has an impressive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (395-165). 16-4 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has an overall 171-58 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final at the Australian Open .
Medvedev has a composed 16-4 win-loss record in 2022, 16-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Hubert Hurkacz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-11 | 4-5 | 7-4 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-19 | 17-10 | 14-4 | 4-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-24 | 23-11 | 5-5 | 13-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-21 | 18-9 | 9-4 | 9-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-23 | 22-9 | 1-4 | 8-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Hurkacz reached the quarter after defeating Arthur Rinderknech 7-65 6-2, Aslan Karatsev 7-5 4-6 6-3 and Lloyd Harris 7-63 6-2.
In the 4th round, Hubert had a good straight sets win against Lloyd (7-63 6-2). During the match Hurkacz scored 72 points vs Lloyd’s 52. The Pole was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Hurkacz managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Hubert Hurkacz was very efficient on serve to win 79% (31/39) of his 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Pole broke Lloyd 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Hurkacz has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Pole’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Dubai.
The Pole has a composed 13-5 win-loss record in 2022, 12-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 56 | 73 |
| Pts | 188-130 | 245-203 |
| Total Points | 318 | 448 |
| Winners | 92 | 122 |
| %Winners | 49% | 50% |
Both Medvedev and Hurkacz played 3 matches. At the moment, Hubert Hurkacz conceded 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Hurkacz (6 vs 7). Therefore, Medvedev played 17 games less than Hurkacz. The Russian scored 92 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Hubert struck 122 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 26 | 50 |
| Avg per match | 8.7 | 16.7 |
| 1st in | 111/163 | 152/212 |
| %1st in | 68% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 92/111 | 122/152 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 28/52 | 35/60 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 58% |
Medvedev blasted 26 aces (8.7 per match). Hurkacz recorded 50 aces (16.7 per match). Medvedev won 83% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Hurkacz won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 7 |
| Converted | 10/16 | 7/13 |
| % Converted | 63% | 54% |
| Conceded | 6 | 8 |
| Saved | 4 | 6 |
| % Saved | 67% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 10 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Hubert broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Hubert conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||||
| R2 Murray |
R3 Martinez Portero |
R4 Brooksby |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 | 19 | 56 | |
| pts | 60-41 | 65-48 | 63-41 | 188-130 | |
| Total points | 101 | 113 | 104 | 318 | |
| Winners | 27 | 31 | 34 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 48% | 54% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 14 | 8 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 32/50 | 39/55 | 40/58 | 111/163 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 71% | 69% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 27/32 | 31/39 | 34/40 | 92/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 79% | 85% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 10/16 | 7/18 | 28/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 63% | 39% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | 4/4 | 10/16 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 100% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 67% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Hurkacz | |||||
| R2 Rinderknech |
R3 Karatsev |
R4 Lloyd |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-2 | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | 7-63 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 31 | 21 | 73 | |
| pts | 76-65 | 97-86 | 72-52 | 245-203 | |
| Total points | 141 | 183 | 124 | 448 | |
| Winners | 39 | 52 | 31 | 122 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 54% | 43% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 17 | 24 | 9 | 50 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 50/63 | 63/89 | 39/60 | 152/212 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 71% | 65% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 39/50 | 52/63 | 31/39 | 122/152 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 83% | 79% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/13 | 14/26 | 12/21 | 35/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 54% | 57% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/4 | 3/4 | 7/13 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 50% | 75% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/3 | 3/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 75% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWWL
WLLWWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Jannik SinnerSinner (4-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski – Rohan Bopanna/Denis ShapovalovBopanna/Denis Shapovalov (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Simone Bolelli/Fabio FogniniBolelli/Fabio Fognini – Federico Delbonis/Maximo GonzalezDelbonis/Maximo Gonzalez (4-6 6-3 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
