Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka will square off in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.33
Karolina Muchova -> 3.44
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Prediction and head to head Karolina Muchova vs. Naomi Osaka
This will be the 3rd time that Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Muchova won 6-4 3-6 6-1 in the 2nd round in Madrid back in 2021.
Highlights Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka – Madrid 02-May-2021
Karolina Muchova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-17 | 23-13 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-7 | 15-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-13 | 28-9 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-9 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 74, Muchova got to the 3rd round after defeating Tereza Martincova 7-63 7-63 and Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4 7-63.
In the 2nd round, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Annie Fernandez (6-4 7-63). During the match, Muchova scored 85 points vs Annie Fernandez’s 81. Muchova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Muchova struck 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Karolina Muchova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Muchova put 69% of her first serves in, winning 71% (42/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 31% (8/26) on the 2nd serve. The Czech broke Annie Fernandez 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karolina hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 51% of the points she played.
Muchova has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 68% of her matches (158-76). 2-0 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Muchova has an overall68-30 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
Muchova has an overall 2-0 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Naomi Osaka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-15 | 24-9 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-18 | 13-10 | 5-5 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-9 | 13-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-6 | 16-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 77, the Japanese got to the 3rd round after defeating Astra Sharma 6-3 6-4 and Angelique Kerber 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Naomi had a good straight sets win against Kerber (6-2 6-3). During the match Osaka scored 61 points vs Kerber’s 39. The Japanese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Osaka managed to score 6 aces and she was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Naomi Osaka was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 89% (24/27) of her 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese broke Kerber 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points she played.
Naomi’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne.
Naomi has a composed 8-2 win-loss record in 2022, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Muchova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 36 |
| Pts | 183-173 | 133-88 |
| Total Points | 356 | 221 |
| Winners | 89 | 51 |
| %Winners | 49% | 38% |
Both Muchova and Osaka played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Muchova and Osaka have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Muchova played 13 games more than Osaka. Muchova scored 89 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Naomi bagged 51 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Muchova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 4 |
| 1st in | 124/193 | 56/100 |
| %1st in | 64% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 89/124 | 51/56 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 91% |
| 2nd pts | 25/69 | 28/44 |
| %2nd pts | 36% | 64% |
Muchova scored 4 aces (2 per match). Osaka made 8 aces (4 per match). Muchova won 72% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 36% of the points. On the other side, Osaka won 91% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Muchova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/14 | 5/18 |
| % Converted | 43% | 28% |
| Conceded | 20 | 2 |
| Saved | 15 | 2 |
| % Saved | 75% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 |
Karolina broke her opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Karolina lost her serve 5 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Naomi broke her opponents 5 times with a 28% conversion rate. The Japanese was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Muchova | ||||
| R1 Martincova |
R2 Annie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 7-63 | 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 23 | 49 | |
| pts | 98-92 | 85-81 | 183-173 | |
| Total points | 190 | 166 | 356 | |
| Winners | 47 | 42 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 65/108 | 59/85 | 124/193 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 69% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 47/65 | 42/59 | 89/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 71% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/43 | 8/26 | 25/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 31% | 36% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 4/10 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 40% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | 20 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 7/10 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 70% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Osaka | ||||
| R1 Sharma |
R2 Kerber |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 36 | |
| pts | 72-49 | 61-39 | 133-88 | |
| Total points | 121 | 100 | 221 | |
| Winners | 27 | 24 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 29/49 | 27/51 | 56/100 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 53% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 27/29 | 24/27 | 51/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 89% | 91% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 14/24 | 28/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 58% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/11 | 3/7 | 5/18 | |
| Converted % | 18% | 43% | 28% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLWLWW
WWLWLLWWWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Maria SakkariSakkari (4-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Dalma GalfiGalfi (5-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Qiang WangWang (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova – Elise MertensMertens (7-5 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Sloane StephensStephens (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Clara BurelBurel (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Lauren DavisDavis – Storm SandersSanders (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Madison BrengleBrengle – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-3 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Shelby RogersRogers – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-3 7-60) – See score progression
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Daria SavilleSaville – Harmony TanTan (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (3-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Stefanie VoegeleVoegele (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Magda LinetteLinette (7-61 6-2) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Angelique KerberKerber (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Alison RiskeRiske – Alize CornetCornet (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (3-6 7-5 6-0) – See score progression
- Vera ZvonarevaZvonareva – Tamara ZidansekZidansek (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Ann LiLi – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (6-0 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Anna BondarBondar (6-3 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Heather WatsonWatson – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (4-6 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Tobias KamkeKamke – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-65 7-5) – See score progression
- John IsnerIsner – Samuel GrothGroth (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Matthew EbdenEbden – Lukas LackoLacko (6-1 7-62) – See score progression
- Peter GojowczykGojowczyk – Konstantin KravchukKravchuk (2-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Bjorn FratangeloFratangelo – Akira SantillanSantillan (7-63 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – Adrian Menendez-MaceirasMenendez-Maceiras (7-5 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Ivo KarlovicKarlovic – Denis KudlaKudla (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Dennis NovikovNovikov – Frank DancevicDancevic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-3 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova – Elise MertensMertens (7-5 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Sloane StephensStephens (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Madison KeysKeys (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Maria SakkariSakkari (4-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Clara BurelBurel (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Qiang WangWang (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison BrengleBrengle – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Heather WatsonWatson (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Daria GavrilovaGavrilova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ann LiLi – Alison RiskeRiske (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Naomi OsakaOsaka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Vera ZvonarevaZvonareva (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lauren DavisDavis – Petra KvitovaKvitova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Shelby RogersRogers (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Shuai ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison BrengleBrengle – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-1) – H2H and prediction
