[UPDATED SF]. Prediction, H2H of Andrey Rublev’s draw vs Harry Fritz, Nadal to win Indian Wells

Indian Wells draw preview with H2H - Andrey Rublev may need to defeat Taylor Harry Fritz, Rafael Nadal to conquer the event in the BNP Paribas Open.

Andrey Rublev Stats info

Andrey Rublev is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Rublev has defeated Dominik Koepfer 7-5 6-4, Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-4, Hubert Hurkacz 7-65 6-4 and Grigor Dimitrov 7-5 6-2 to reach the semifinal where he will face Taylor Harry Fritz.

Draw Prediction with head to head records

This is Andrey Rublev’s projected draw together with the presumable opposition in BNP Paribas Open. The Russian has a unfavourable record (3-4) against the plausible opposition.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Dominik Koepfer (51) – 7-5 6-4
R3 – Frances Tiafoe (30) – 6-3 6-4
R4 – Hubert Hurkacz (11) – 7-65 6-4
1/4 – Grigor Dimitrov (35) – 7-5 6-2
1/2 – Taylor Harry Fritz (20) – H2H 2-2
Fin – Rafael Nadal (4) – H2H 1-2
or Carlos Alcaraz (19) – H2H 0-0
Rublev
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Draw

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1/2 – Taylor Harry Fritz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 2-2

46 - 21win/loss in 2025

Rank
9
High
4
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0
2020 15-16 11-9 2-3 2-4 0-0 0-0
2019 40-30 17-14 12-8 4-5 7-3 0-0
2018 45-28 29-12 6-5 5-6 5-5 0-0
2017 39-26 24-16 0-0 10-5 5-5 0-0
2016 35-29 26-16 1-4 7-5 1-4 0-0
2015 27-11 19-7 3-1 4-2 1-1 0-0

Taylor Harry Fritz has a 12-4 win-loss record in 2022, 10-3 on hard. As for the previous 9 years, Fritz has a 164-95 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Fritz will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 5 matches winning streak.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the American was overcome by Nikoloz Basilashvili in the semifinal 7-6(5) 6-3.

H2H Andrey Rublev vs. Taylor Harry Fritz

This would be the 5th time that Andrey Rublev and Taylor Harry Fritz square off. The head to head is 2-2 for Rublev and Fritz (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Final – Rafael Nadal’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Rafael Nadal

39 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 39-8 23-3 10-2 1-3 5-0 0-0
2021 24-5 5-2 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 27-7 13-3 9-1 5-3 0-0 0-0
2019 58-7 21-2 21-3 11-1 5-1 0-0
2018 45-4 14-2 26-1 0-0 5-1 0-0
2017 68-12 38-8 24-1 3-2 3-1 0-0
2016 39-14 18-10 21-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2015 61-20 20-9 26-6 10-3 5-2 0-0

Rafael Nadal has a 19-0 record in 2022, he played all matches on hard. As for the last 20 years, Nadal has a 437-106 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Rafael will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 10 matches winning streak.

His best achievement of the year was winning the tournament in Melbourne where he beat Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3, at the Australian Open where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5, and in Acapulco where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Rafael didn’t play in this event.

H2H Andrey Rublev vs. Rafael Nadal

This contest would be 4th time that Andrey Rublev and Rafael Nadal play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Andrey Rublev may compete against Carlos Alcaraz. Their H2H record is 0-0.