[UPDATED SF]. Prediction, H2H of Carlos Alcaraz’s draw vs Nadal, Rublev to win Indian Wells

Indian Wells draw preview with H2H - Carlos Alcaraz may need to beat Rafael Nadal, Andrey Rublev to conquer the title in the BNP Paribas Open.

Carlos Alcaraz Stats info

Carlos Alcaraz is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Alcaraz has defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-3 6-3, Roberto Bautista Agut 6-2 6-0, Gael Monfils 7-5 6-1 and Cameron Norrie 6-4 6-3 to reach the semifinal where he will face Rafael Nadal.

Draw Prediction with head to head records

This is Carlos Alcaraz’s projected draw with the likely opponents in BNP Paribas Open. The Spaniard has a weak record (0-1) with the plausible opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Mackenzie Mcdonald (59) – 6-3 6-3
R3 – Roberto Bautista Agut (15) – 6-2 6-0
R4 – Gael Monfils (28) – 7-5 6-1
1/4 – Cameron Norrie (12) – 6-4 6-3
1/2 – Rafael Nadal (4) – H2H 0-1
Fin – Andrey Rublev (7) – H2H 0-0
or Taylor Harry Fritz (20) – H2H 0-0
Alcaraz
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Draw

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1/2 – Rafael Nadal’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Rafael Nadal

39 - 8win/loss in 2024

Rank
2
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 39-8 23-3 10-2 1-3 5-0 0-0
2021 24-5 5-2 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 27-7 13-3 9-1 5-3 0-0 0-0
2019 58-7 21-2 21-3 11-1 5-1 0-0
2018 45-4 14-2 26-1 0-0 5-1 0-0
2017 68-12 38-8 24-1 3-2 3-1 0-0
2016 39-14 18-10 21-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2015 61-20 20-9 26-6 10-3 5-2 0-0

Rafael Nadal has a 19-0 record in 2022, he played all matches on hard. During the last 20 years, Rafael has a 437-106 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Spaniard will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 10 matches winning streak.

His best achievement of the season was winning the competition in Melbourne where he defeated Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3, at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5, and in Acapulco where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Rafael didn’t take part in the competition.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Rafael Nadal

This would be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Rafael Nadal square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

Final – Andrey Rublev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

51 - 20win/loss in 2024

Rank
8
High
5
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 51-20 19-7 14-6 18-6 0-1 0-0
2021 53-23 25-10 9-5 12-6 7-2 0-0
2020 41-10 17-4 10-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 54-27 28-14 8-5 16-5 2-3 0-0
2018 21-24 10-12 2-3 9-9 0-0 0-0
2017 48-33 19-11 11-11 12-9 6-2 0-0
2016 38-33 6-7 12-14 19-10 1-2 0-0
2015 28-24 6-5 12-10 9-7 1-1 0-1

Andrey Rublev has a 18-2 record in 2022, 11-1 on hard. In the course of the last 10 years, Rublev has a 134-68 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Rublev will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 10 matches winning streak.

His most significant achievement of the season was winning the competition in Marseille where he beat Felix Auger Aliassime in the final 7-5 7-6(4), and in Dubai where he beat Jiri Vesely in the final 6-3 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Andrey lost to Tommy Paul in the 3rd round 6-4 3-6 7-5.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Andrey Rublev

There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Andrey Rublev since this would be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Anyhow, Carlos Alcaraz may fight against Taylor Harry Fritz. Their head to head record is 0-0.