Madison Keys and Alison Riske will square off in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.39
Alison Riske -> 3.1
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Alison Riske
This will be the 8th time that Madison Keys and Alison Riske face off. The head to head is 6-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.
The last time that they played, Keys won 6-1 6-2 in the final in Adelaide back in January 2022.
Highlights Madison Keys vs Alison Riske – Adelaide 15-January-2022
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-8 | 3-2 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, Madison got to the 3rd round after beating Misaki Doi 6-4 3-6 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Keys defeated Doi (6-4 3-6 6-1). During the match, Keys scored 97 points vs Doi’s 85. Keys was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Keys fired 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 67% of her first serves in, winning 73% (44/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. Keys broke Doi 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).
Keys has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (248-142). 12-4 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Keys has a compiled 147-86 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in in Adelaide where she beat Alison Riske in the final 6-1 6-2.
Keys has an aggregate 12-4 win-loss record in 2022, 12-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Alison Riske
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-21 | 15-14 | 2-3 | 1-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-16 | 7-9 | 0-2 | 7-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-8 | 6-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 36-24 | 22-18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 14-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 53, the American reached the 3rd round after beating Caty McNally 6-0 6-3 and Garbine Muguruza 0-6 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round against Muguruza, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (0-6 6-3 6-1). During the match Riske scored 71 points vs Muguruza’s 57. The American was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Riske scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Alison Riske lost the serve 5 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Riske put 60% of her first serves in, winning 68% (23/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Muguruza 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Riske has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Riske’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Adelaide.
Alison has a compiled 6-5 win-loss record in 2022, 6-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2015 and 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Riske |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 37 |
| Pts | 97-85 | 140-103 |
| Total Points | 182 | 243 |
| Winners | 44 | 46 |
| %Winners | 45% | 33% |
Keys played 1 match while Riske competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Madison Keys dropped 1 set, while Alison Riske lost 1 set. Keys has played 2 set(s) less than Riske (3 vs 5). Therefore, Keys played 11 games less than Riske. The American scored 44 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 46 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Riske |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 60/89 | 68/114 |
| %1st in | 67% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 44/60 | 46/68 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 13/29 | 24/46 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 52% |
Keys fired 3 aces . Riske made 3 aces (1.5 per match). Keys won 73% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Riske won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Riske |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 11 |
| Converted | 4/11 | 11/19 |
| % Converted | 36% | 58% |
| Conceded | 8 | 14 |
| Saved | 6 | 8 |
| % Saved | 75% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 |
The American broke her opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. The American dropped her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 11 times with a 58% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | |||
| R2 Doi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 97-85 | 97-85 | |
| Total points | 182 | 182 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 60/89 | 60/89 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 44/60 | 44/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/29 | 13/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Riske | ||||
| R1 McNally |
R2 Muguruza |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | 0-6 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 22 | 37 | |
| pts | 69-46 | 71-57 | 140-103 | |
| Total points | 115 | 128 | 243 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 32% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 34/57 | 34/57 | 68/114 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 23/34 | 23/34 | 46/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/23 | 10/23 | 24/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 43% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 6/9 | 11/19 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 67% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 1/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 17% | 105% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWLWWW
Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Anett KontaveitKontaveit – Kristina KucovaKucova (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Shelby RogersRogers – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (7-5 7-67) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-74 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Alison Van UytvanckVan Uytvanck (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Daria SavilleSaville – Ons JabeurJabeur (7-5 6-70 6-4) – See score progression
- Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Astra SharmaSharma (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Kaja JuvanJuvan (3-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-1 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Claire LiuLiu (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (5-7 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Ann LiLi (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Tamara ZidansekZidansek (7-5 7-66) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Alize CornetCornet (6-4 0-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Danka KovinicKovinic – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (2-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Angelique KerberKerber – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-2 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Misaki DoiDoi (6-4 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Alison RiskeRiske – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (0-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Clara TausonTauson – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Belinda BencicBencic (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Simona HalepHalep – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-2 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Harriet DartDart – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexandr DolgopolovDolgopolov – Horacio ZeballosZeballos (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Ernests GulbisGulbis (4-6 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- David FerrerFerrer – Dustin BrownBrown (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey KuznetsovKuznetsov – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (4-6 7-65 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Renzo OlivoOlivo (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Henri LaaksonenLaaksonen – Pablo CuevasCuevas (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (6-2 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Kaja JuvanJuvan (3-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Shelby RogersRogers – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (7-5 7-6(7)) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Anett KontaveitKontaveit – Kristina KucovaKucova (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-7(4) 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Daria SavilleSaville – Ons JabeurJabeur (7-5 6-7(0) 6-4) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Astra SharmaSharma (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Alison Van UytvanckVan Uytvanck (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Simona HalepHalep – Cori GauffGauff (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Petra MarticMartic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Danka KovinicKovinic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Clara TausonTauson (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Angelique KerberKerber (4-5) – H2H and prediction
- Harriet DartDart – Kaia KanepiKanepi (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Alison RiskeRiske (6-1) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Petra KvitovaKvitova (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Daria GavrilovaGavrilova (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
