Roberto Carballes Baena and Gianluca Mager will square off in the final of the Gran Canaria Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Roberto Carballes Baena who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Roberto Carballes Baena is the pick to win this match.
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 1.66
Gianluca Mager -> 2.10
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Prediction and head to head Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Gianluca Mager
This will be the 3rd time that Roberto Carballes Baena and Gianluca Mager play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Carballes Baena (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Carballes Baena won 6-3 6-1 in the 1st round in the Perugia Challenger back in 2016.
Roberto Carballes Baena
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-26 | 10-11 | 24-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-29 | 3-8 | 19-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 3-8 | 41-23 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-30 | 3-5 | 33-20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-18 | 3-4 | 16-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 79, Carballes Baena got to the final after defeating Luciano Darderi 6-2 6-4, Pol Martin Tiffon 7-65 6-1, Johan Nikles 6-1 6-3 and Duje Ajdukovic 6-3 7-64.
In the semifinal, Roberto had a good straight sets win against Ajdukovic (6-3 7-64). During the match, Carballes Baena and Ajdukovic scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 79 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Carballes Baena was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Regarding the service games, Carballes Baena wasn’t able to score even 1 ace and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Roberto Carballes Baena conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Carballes Baena has a good record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (384-274). 7-4 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Carballes Baena has a composed 336-214 record in the last years on clay.
Carballes Baena’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Gran Canaria Challenger.
The Spaniard has an overall 8-8 win-loss record in 2022, 7-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Gran Canaria Challenger
Carballes Baena has never competed in this tournament before.
Gianluca Mager
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-23 | 0-0 | 37-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-20 | 3-5 | 15-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-28 | 2-5 | 17-21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-28 | 4-7 | 22-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-15 | 1-4 | 10-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 104, the Italian got to the final after defeating Pol Toledo Bague 6-4 6-2, Javier Barranco Cosano 6-2 4-6 6-3, Raul Brancaccio 6-2 6-1 and Riccardo Bonadio 6-2 7-65.
In the semifinal, Mager had a good straight sets win against Bonadio (6-2 7-65). During the match Mager and Bonadio scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 79 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Italian was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
Talking about serving, Mager wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Gianluca Mager conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mager has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Italian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Gran Canaria Challenger.
Gianluca has an aggregate 6-4 win-loss record in 2022, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carballes Baena | Mager |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 76 | 81 |
| Pts | 131-93 | 160-135 |
| Total Points | 224 | 295 |
| Winners | 58 | 61 |
| %Winners | 44% | 38% |
Both Carballes Baena and Mager played 4 matches. At the moment, Gianluca Mager dropped 1 set while Roberto Carballes Baena hasn’t lost a set so far. Carballes Baena has played 1 set(s) less than Mager (8 vs 9). Therefore, Carballes Baena played 5 games less than Mager. The Spaniard scored 58 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Mager blasted 61 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carballes Baena | Mager |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 5.8 |
| 1st in | 76/110 | 77/145 |
| %1st in | 69% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 58/76 | 61/77 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 16/34 | 29/68 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 43% |
Carballes Baena struck 2 aces (0.5 per match). Mager struck 23 aces (5.8 per match). Carballes Baena won 76% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Mager won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carballes Baena | Mager |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 9 |
| Converted | 10/16 | 9/14 |
| % Converted | 63% | 64% |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 |
| Saved | 6 | 6 |
| % Saved | 60% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 10 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Gianluca broke his opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carballes Baena | ||||||
| R1 Darderi |
R2 Martin Tiffon |
1/4 Nikles |
1/2 Ajdukovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 7-65 6-1 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 16 | 22 | 76 | |
| pts | 61-42 | 70-51 | – | – | 131-93 | |
| Total points | 103 | 121 | 0 | 0 | 224 | |
| Winners | 27 | 31 | 58 | |||
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | 0% | 0% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| 1st in | 34/48 | 42/62 | / | / | 76/110 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 68% | 0% | 0% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 27/34 | 31/42 | / | / | 58/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 74% | 0% | 0% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 10/20 | / | / | 16/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |||
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/6 | / | / | 10/16 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 83% | 0% | 0% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 | 10 | |||
| Saved | 1/3 | 5/7 | 0/ | 0/ | 6 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 71% | – | – | 26% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Mager | ||||||
| R1 Toledo Bague |
R2 Barranco |
1/4 Brancaccio |
1/2 Bonadio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-2 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 27 | 15 | 21 | 81 | |
| pts | 67-53 | 93-82 | – | – | 160-135 | |
| Total points | 120 | 175 | 0 | 0 | 295 | |
| Winners | 23 | 38 | 61 | |||
| %Winners | 34% | 41% | 0% | 0% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| 1st in | 29/55 | 48/90 | / | / | 77/145 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | 0% | 0% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 23/29 | 38/48 | / | / | 61/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | 0% | 0% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/26 | 18/42 | / | / | 29/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |||
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/6 | / | / | 9/14 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 | 10 | |||
| Saved | 1/3 | 5/7 | 0/ | 0/ | 6 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 71% | – | – | 26% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Gianluca MagerMager (2-0) – H2H and prediction
