Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas will face off in the semifinal of the Australian Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.39
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 3.32
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
This will be the 9th time that Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas play each other. The head to head is 6-2 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Tsitsipas won 6-3 7-6(3) 7-5 in the quarter in at the French Open back in 2021.
Highlights Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniil Medvedev – French Open 08-June-2021
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Daniil got to the semifinal after defeating Henri Laaksonen 6-1 6-4 7-63, Nick Kyrgios 7-61 6-4 4-6 6-2, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-4 6-4 6-2, Maxime Cressy 6-2 7-64 6-74 7-5 and Felix Auger Aliassime 6-74 3-6 7-62 7-5 6-4.
In the quarter, Daniil had a tough win against Auger-Aliassime to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-74 3-6 7-62 7-5 6-4). During the match, Medvedev and Auger-Aliassime scored the same amount of points (182). However, the world no. 2 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Daniil was extremely aggressive to blast 94 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev fired 15 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (94/126) of his 1st serve and 51% (36/70) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Daniil broke Auger-Aliassime 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev has lost 4 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a remarkable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of his matches (387-162). 8-1 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a composed 163-55 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Russian has an overall 8-1 win-loss record in 2022, 8-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Stefanos Tsitsipas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-22 | 13-11 | 22-6 | 8-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-24 | 19-9 | 17-5 | 11-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 61-24 | 18-8 | 17-4 | 18-9 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-19 | 26-8 | 23-5 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-14 | 11-6 | 11-3 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Tsitsipas reached the semifinal after defeating Mikael Ymer 6-2 6-4 6-3, Sebastian Baez 7-61 6-75 6-3 6-4, Benoit Paire 6-3 7-5 6-72 6-4, Taylor Harry Fritz 4-6 6-4 4-6 6-3 6-4 and Jannik Sinner 6-3 6-4 6-2.
In the quarter, Tsitsipas had a good straight sets win against Sinner (6-3 6-4 6-2). During the match Tsitsipas scored 80 points vs Sinner’s 64. Stefanos was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Tsitsipas scored 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Stefanos Tsitsipas was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (42/53) of his 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tsitsipas was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Sinner 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tsitsipas has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Tsitsipas has an overall 6-1 win-loss record in 2022, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 19 | 19 |
| Tot Games | 202 | 192 |
| Pts | 675-584 | 628-544 |
| Total Points | 1259 | 1172 |
| Winners | 327 | 301 |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% |
Both Medvedev and Tsitsipas played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev dropped 4 sets, while Stefanos Tsitsipas lost 4 sets. Talking about their workload, Medvedev and Tsitsipas have played the same amount of sets 19. However, Medvedev played 10 games more than Tsitsipas. Medvedev scored 327 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Tsitsipas scored 301 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 81 | 62 |
| Avg per match | 16.2 | 12.4 |
| 1st in | 407/622 | 379/583 |
| %1st in | 65% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 327/407 | 301/379 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 118/215 | 112/204 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 55% |
Medvedev struck 81 aces (16.2 per match). Tsitsipas scored 62 aces (12.4 per match). Medvedev won 80% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Tsitsipas won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 21 |
| Converted | 18/45 | 21/51 |
| % Converted | 40% | 41% |
| Conceded | 29 | 34 |
| Saved | 24 | 28 |
| % Saved | 83% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
Daniil broke his opponents 18 times with a 40% conversion rate. Daniil lost his serve 5 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Tsitsipas broke his opponents 21 times with a 41% conversion rate. Stefanos conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||||||
| R1 Laaksonen |
R2 Kyrgios |
R3 Van De Zandschulp |
R4 Cressy |
1/4 Auger-Aliassime |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 7-63 | 7-61 6-4 4-6 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 7-64 6-74 7-5 | 6-74 3-6 7-62 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 41 | 28 | 46 | 57 | 202 | |
| pts | 107-75 | 134-113 | 96-76 | 156-138 | 182-182 | 675-584 | |
| Total points | 182 | 247 | 172 | 294 | 364 | 1259 | |
| Winners | 48 | 67 | 47 | 71 | 94 | 327 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 50% | 49% | 46% | 52% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 10 | 31 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 81 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29 | |
| 1st in | 61/92 | 79/119 | 57/86 | 84/129 | 126/196 | 407/622 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | 66% | 65% | 64% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 48/61 | 67/79 | 47/57 | 71/84 | 94/126 | 327/407 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 85% | 82% | 85% | 75% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 20/40 | 15/29 | 29/45 | 36/70 | 118/215 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 50% | 52% | 64% | 51% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/11 | 4/11 | 3/12 | 3/5 | 18/45 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 36% | 36% | 25% | 60% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 29 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 7/9 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 9/11 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 78% | 100% | 100% | 82% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tsitsipas | |||||||
| R1 Ymer |
R2 Baez |
R3 Paire |
R4 Fritz |
1/4 Sinner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 6-3 | 7-61 6-75 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 6-72 6-4 | 4-6 6-4 4-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 45 | 44 | 49 | 27 | 192 | |
| pts | 99-79 | 157-141 | 141-116 | 151-144 | 80-64 | 628-544 | |
| Total points | 178 | 298 | 257 | 295 | 144 | 1172 | |
| Winners | 39 | 76 | 59 | 85 | 42 | 301 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 48% | 42% | 56% | 53% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 6 | 12 | 21 | 19 | 4 | 62 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 56/87 | 97/142 | 66/117 | 107/159 | 53/78 | 379/583 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 68% | 56% | 67% | 68% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 39/56 | 76/97 | 59/66 | 85/107 | 42/53 | 301/379 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 78% | 89% | 79% | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 21/45 | 33/51 | 25/52 | 15/25 | 112/204 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 47% | 65% | 48% | 60% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 | |
| Converted | 7/13 | 4/18 | 3/11 | 3/5 | 4/4 | 21/51 | |
| Converted % | 54% | 22% | 27% | 60% | 100% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 34 | |
| Saved | 9/11 | 4/6 | 2/2 | 13/15 | 0/0 | 28 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 67% | 100% | 87% | – | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWWWLW
LWWWLWWLWL Tennis Scores – Australian Open
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Rafael NadalNadal (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (2-6) – H2H and prediction
