Paula Badosa Gibert and Daria Kasatkina will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Sydney Tennis Classic for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 7:00 pm on KEN ROSEWALL ARENA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa Gibert who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa Gibert is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 1.85
Daria Kasatkina -> 2.04
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Paula Badosa Gibert vs. Daria Kasatkina
There is no head to head record between Paula Badosa Gibert and Daria Kasatkina since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Paula Badosa Gibert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-18 | 26-11 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-9 | 7-6 | 6-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Badosa reached the semifinal after beating Jelena Ostapenko 7-61 6-1, Ajla Tomljanovic 6-3 6-4 and Belinda Bencic 7-66 3-6 6-3.
In the quarter, Paula defeated Bencic (7-66 3-6 6-3).During the match, Badosa scored less points (3) than Bencic. In fact, the world no. 9 won 107 points vs Bencic’s. That means that Badosa was more focused during the important points. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Badosa scored 11 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 61% of her first serves in, winning 66% (39/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (14/37) on the 2nd serve. Badosa broke Bencic 4 times after converting 27% of her break points (4/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Badosa started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 53% of the points she played.
Badosa has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (283-151). 3-1 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Badosa has an aggregate 101-53 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Paula has an overall 3-1 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Sydney
The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-22 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, Kasatkina got to the semifinal after beating Sofia Kenin 6-4 6-0, Elise Mertens 6-3 6-4 and Garbine Muguruza 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Muguruza (6-4 6-4). During the match Kasatkina scored 65 points vs Muguruza’s 53. Darya was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Kasatkina scored 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 61% of her first serves in, winning 77% (27/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. Kasatkina broke Muguruza 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kasatkina started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Darya’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne.
Darya has an overall 6-1 win-loss record in 2022, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Badosa | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 70 | 55 |
| Pts | 240-212 | 191-142 |
| Total Points | 452 | 333 |
| Winners | 78 | 82 |
| %Winners | 33% | 43% |
Both Badosa and Kasatkina played 3 matches. At the moment, Paula Badosa Gibert dropped 1 set while Daria Kasatkina hasn’t dropped a set so far. Badosa has played 1 set more than Kasatkina (7 vs 6). Therefore, Badosa played 15 games more than Kasatkina. The Spaniard scored 78 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Kasatkina made 82 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Badosa | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 117/200 | 112/165 |
| %1st in | 59% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 78/117 | 82/112 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 32/83 | 28/53 |
| %2nd pts | 39% | 53% |
Badosa recorded 18 aces (6 per match). Kasatkina made 10 aces (3.3 per match). Badosa won 67% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 39% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Badosa | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 12 |
| Converted | 17/41 | 12/25 |
| % Converted | 41% | 48% |
| Conceded | 20 | 13 |
| Saved | 9 | 9 |
| % Saved | 45% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 4 |
Paula broke her opponents 17 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Spaniard dropped her serve 11 times and she saved 45% of the break points that she conceded. Darya broke her opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. Kasatkina conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.
| Badosa | |||||
| R1 Ostapenko |
R2 Tomljanovic |
1/4 Bencic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 | 7-66 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 19 | 31 | 70 | |
| pts | 68-50 | 65-52 | 107-110 | 240-212 | |
| Total points | 118 | 117 | 217 | 452 | |
| Winners | 24 | 15 | 39 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 23% | 36% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 31/54 | 27/50 | 59/96 | 117/200 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 54% | 61% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 15/27 | 39/59 | 78/117 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 56% | 66% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/23 | 8/23 | 14/37 | 32/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 35% | 38% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 8 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 8/13 | 4/15 | 17/41 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 62% | 27% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 10 | 20 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 3/8 | 6/10 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 38% | 60% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | |
| Kasatkina | |||||
| R1 Kenin |
R2 Mertens |
1/4 Muguruza |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 19 | 20 | 55 | |
| pts | 61-41 | 65-48 | 65-53 | 191-142 | |
| Total points | 102 | 113 | 118 | 333 | |
| Winners | 27 | 28 | 27 | 82 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 37/54 | 40/54 | 35/57 | 112/165 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 74% | 61% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 28/40 | 27/35 | 82/112 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 70% | 77% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 8/14 | 10/22 | 28/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 57% | 45% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/10 | 4/10 | 12/25 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 40% | 40% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 | 2 | 13 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | 2/4 | 0/2 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWLWLW Tennis Scores in Sydney
- Rafael NadalNadal – Dominic ThiemThiem (6-3 6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Andy MurrayMurray (6-76 6-3 5-7 7-63 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
