Qinwen Zheng and Mai Hontama will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:00 pm on Cour 12. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Qinwen Zheng is the pick to win this match.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.33
Mai Hontama -> 3.32
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Prediction and head to head Qinwen Zheng vs. Mai Hontama
This will be the 2nd time that Qinwen Zheng and Mai Hontama square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Zheng (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Zheng won 4-6 6-2 6-3 in the 1st round in Melbourne back in January 2022.
Qinwen Zheng
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-12 | 8-6 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-18 | 31-10 | 17-4 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-19 | 23-11 | 11-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-19 | 27-12 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-11 | 7-1 | 16-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 111 (career-high), Qinwen got to the qualifications after beating Coco Vandeweghe 1-6 7-65 6-1 and Seone Mendez 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, Qinwen had a good straight sets win against Mendez (6-3 6-2). During the match, Zheng scored 59 points vs Mendez’s 37. The Chinese was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Talking about the service games, Zheng recorded 10 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Qinwen Zheng was exceptionally effective on serve to win 83% (19/23) of her 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Chinese broke Mendez 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chinese started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Zheng has a fantastic record in the last 6 years having won 73% of her matches (107-40). 7-1 on hard in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zheng has a composed43-21 record in the last 6 years on hard.
The Chinese’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne.
Qinwen has a compiled 7-1 win-loss record in 2022, 7-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Zheng has never competed in this tournament before.
Mai Hontama
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-33 | 17-20 | 7-6 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-34 | 28-27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-28 | 38-18 | 6-5 | 9-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-25 | 25-15 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-15 | 32-12 | 8-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 149 (career-high), the Japanese got to the qualifications after beating Reka-Luca Jani 6-1 7-5 and En Shuo Liang 6-0 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Shuo Liang (6-0 6-4). During the match Hontama scored 57 points vs Shuo Liang’s 41. Mai was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Hontama struck 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Mai Hontama was extremely efficient on serve to win 72% (23/32) of her 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Japanese broke Shuo Liang 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Hontama started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 58% of the points she played.
The Japanese has an aggregate 3-2 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zheng | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 35 |
| Pts | 143-119 | 126-92 |
| Total Points | 262 | 218 |
| Winners | 54 | 44 |
| %Winners | 38% | 35% |
Both Zheng and Hontama played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Qinwen Zheng dropped 1 set while Mai Hontama hasn’t conceded a set so far. Zheng has played 1 set more than Hontama (5 vs 4). Therefore, Zheng played 9 games more than Hontama. The Chinese scored 54 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese bagged 44 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zheng | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 2 |
| 1st in | 68/134 | 62/98 |
| %1st in | 51% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 54/68 | 44/62 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 33/66 | 20/36 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 56% |
Zheng made 14 aces (7 per match). Hontama bagged 4 aces (2 per match). Zheng won 79% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Hontama won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zheng | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 11 |
| Converted | 7/8 | 11/20 |
| % Converted | 88% | 55% |
| Conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Saved | 6 | 3 |
| % Saved | 55% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 |
The Chinese broke her opponents 7 times with a 88% conversion rate. Zheng dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 55% of the break points that she conceded. Hontama broke her opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Mai conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Zheng | ||||
| Q1 Vandeweghe |
Q2 Mendez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 7-65 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 17 | 44 | |
| pts | 84-82 | 59-37 | 143-119 | |
| Total points | 166 | 96 | 262 | |
| Winners | 35 | 19 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 32% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 10 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 45/87 | 23/47 | 68/134 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 49% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 35/45 | 19/23 | 54/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 83% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/42 | 15/24 | 33/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 63% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 4/5 | 7/8 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 80% | 88% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 2/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Hontama | ||||
| Q1 Jani |
Q2 Shuo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 | 6-0 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 16 | 35 | |
| pts | 69-51 | 57-41 | 126-92 | |
| Total points | 120 | 98 | 218 | |
| Winners | 21 | 23 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 40% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 30/53 | 32/45 | 62/98 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 71% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 21/30 | 23/32 | 44/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 72% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 7/13 | 20/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 54% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/10 | 11/20 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 2/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 67% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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