Rafael Nadal and Emil Ruusuvuori will square off in the semifinal of the Melbourne Summer Set for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 9:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.25
Emil Ruusuvuori -> 4.333
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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Emil Ruusuvuori
There is no head to head record between Rafael Nadal and Emil Ruusuvuori since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Rafael Nadal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-7 | 2-1 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-8 | 23-3 | 10-2 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-5 | 5-2 | 19-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-7 | 13-3 | 9-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Nadal got to the semifinal after beating Richard Berankis 6-2 7-5 and Tallon Griekspoor w/o.
In the quarter, Rafael defeated Griekspoor (w/o). During the match, Nadal and Griekspoor scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 6 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Rafael was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Regarding the service games, Nadal couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the match and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Rafael Nadal conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Nadal has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (446-87). 1-0 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Nadal has an overall 177-43 match record in the last years on hard.
Rafael has a compiled 1-0 win-loss record in 2022, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Melbourne
Nadal has never competed in this tournament before.
Emil Ruusuvuori
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-16 | 8-6 | 2-5 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-30 | 13-11 | 6-7 | 9-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-32 | 15-12 | 10-9 | 10-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-26 | 21-12 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-15 | 11-5 | 0-2 | 16-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 95, Emil reached the semifinal after defeating Sebastian Baez 7-62 6-1, Jordan Thompson 7-63 5-7 6-3 and Alex Molcan 6-2 6-1.
In the quarter, The Finn had a good straight sets win against Molcan (6-2 6-1). During the match Ruusuvuori scored 56 points vs Molcan’s 26. The Finn was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Ruusuvuori made 2 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Emil Ruusuvuori was exceptionally effective on serve to win 88% (28/32) of his 1st serve and 63% (5/8) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Finn broke Molcan 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Finn started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Ruusuvuori has an overall 3-0 win-loss record in 2022, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Melbourne
Emil has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Ruusuvuori |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 69 |
| Pts | 68-53 | 236-176 |
| Total Points | 121 | 412 |
| Winners | 28 | 106 |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% |
Nadal played 1 match while Ruusuvuori competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Emil Ruusuvuori conceded 1 set while Rafael Nadal hasn’t dropped a set so far. Nadal has played 5 set(s) less than Ruusuvuori (2 vs 7). Therefore, Nadal played 49 games less than Ruusuvuori. Nadal scored 28 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Emil managed to score 106 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Ruusuvuori |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 36/57 | 143/200 |
| %1st in | 63% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 106/143 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 9/21 | 39/57 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 68% |
Nadal scored 3 aces . Ruusuvuori bagged 13 aces (4.3 per match). Nadal won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Ruusuvuori won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Ruusuvuori |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 10 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 10/24 |
| % Converted | 63% | 42% |
| Conceded | 2 | 11 |
| Saved | 0 | 8 |
| % Saved | 0% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Spaniard broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Ruusuvuori broke his opponents 10 times with a 42% conversion rate. Ruusuvuori conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | ||||
| R2 Berankis |
1/4 Griekspoor |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | – | 20 | |
| pts | 68-53 | – | 68-53 | |
| Total points | 121 | – | 121 | |
| Winners | 28 | – | 28 | |
| %Winners | 41% | – | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | – | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | – | 2 | |
| 1st in | 36/57 | – | 36/57 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | – | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | – | 28/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | – | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/21 | – | 9/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | – | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | – | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | – | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | – | 63% | |
| Conceded | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | – | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Ruusuvuori | |||||
| R1 Baez |
R2 Thompson |
1/4 Molcan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 6-1 | 7-63 5-7 6-3 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 34 | 15 | 69 | |
| pts | 70-49 | 110-101 | 56-26 | 236-176 | |
| Total points | 119 | 211 | 82 | 412 | |
| Winners | 25 | 53 | 28 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 48% | 50% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 2 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 40/58 | 71/102 | 32/40 | 143/200 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 70% | 80% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 25/40 | 53/71 | 28/32 | 106/143 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 75% | 88% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/18 | 17/31 | 5/8 | 39/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 94% | 55% | 63% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/10 | 4/9 | 10/24 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 30% | 44% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/5 | 2/2 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 60% | 100% | 118% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWLLW
LWLWWLWLLW Tennis Scores in Melbourne
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-75 6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Maxime CressyCressy – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (w/o) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (w/o) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-7(5) 6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Maxime CressyCressy – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-6(3) 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Maxime CressyCressy (0-0) – H2H and prediction
