Cedrik-Marcel Stebe and Luca Potenza will face off in the quarter of the Forli 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on CITTÀ DI FORLÌ. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cedrik-Marcel Stebe who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cedrik-Marcel Stebe is the pick to win this match.
Cedrik-Marcel Stebe -> 1.47
Luca Potenza -> 2.68
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Prediction and head to head Cedrik-Marcel Stebe vs. Luca Potenza
There is no head to head record between Cedrik-Marcel Stebe and Luca Potenza since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-25 | 2-6 | 10-13 | 15-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-20 | 4-7 | 9-9 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-11 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 9-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2019 | 18-18 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 11-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 227, the German got to the quarter after beating Alexandar Lazarov 7-63 6-3 and Julian Lenz 6-2 7-62.
In the 2nd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Lenz (6-2 7-62). During the match, Stebe scored 76 points vs Lenz’s 57. Stebe was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Stebe scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Cedrik-Marcel Stebe was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (27/36) of his 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Stebe broke Lenz 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Stebe started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Stebe has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (169-108). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Stebe has a composed 35-20 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Stebe has an aggregate 2-0 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Forli 1 Challenger
The German has never competed in this tournament before.
Luca Potenza
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-15 | 10-6 | 11-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-28 | 6-9 | 13-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-26 | 10-9 | 13-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-25 | 27-13 | 6-7 | 6-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 26-7 | 23-6 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 559, Luca got to the quarter after defeating Alexander Ritschard 5-7 6-4 7-68 and Zhizhen Zhang 7-5 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Luca had a good straight sets win against Zhang (7-5 6-4). During the match Potenza scored 80 points vs Zhang’s 69. Luca was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Potenza made 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Luca Potenza was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (32/43) of his 1st serve and 66% (19/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Luca broke Zhang twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
The Italian has an overall 2-0 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Stebe | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 57 |
| Pts | 152-117 | 196-191 |
| Total Points | 269 | 387 |
| Winners | 60 | 75 |
| %Winners | 39% | 38% |
Both Stebe and Potenza played 2 matches. At the moment, Luca Potenza surrendered 1 set while Cedrik-Marcel Stebe hasn’t conceded a set so far. Stebe has played 1 set(s) less than Potenza (4 vs 5). Therefore, Stebe played 14 games less than Potenza. Cedrik-Marcel scored 60 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Potenza fired 75 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Stebe | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 82/127 | 119/193 |
| %1st in | 65% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 60/82 | 75/119 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 27/45 | 41/74 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 55% |
Stebe made 4 aces (2 per match). Potenza bagged 13 aces (6.5 per match). Stebe won 73% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Potenza won 63% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Stebe | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 8 |
| Converted | 7/16 | 8/20 |
| % Converted | 44% | 40% |
| Conceded | 11 | 17 |
| Saved | 7 | 11 |
| % Saved | 64% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
The German broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Stebe surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Potenza broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Stebe | ||||
| R1 Lazarov |
R2 Lenz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-3 | 6-2 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 21 | 43 | |
| pts | 76-60 | 76-57 | 152-117 | |
| Total points | 136 | 133 | 269 | |
| Winners | 33 | 27 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 36% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 46/65 | 36/62 | 82/127 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 58% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 33/46 | 27/36 | 60/82 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 75% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 17/26 | 27/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 65% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/8 | 7/16 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 38% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 3/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 75% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Potenza | ||||
| R1 Ritschard |
R2 Zhang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 7-68 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 22 | 57 | |
| pts | 116-122 | 80-69 | 196-191 | |
| Total points | 238 | 149 | 387 | |
| Winners | 43 | 32 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 40% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 11 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 76/121 | 43/72 | 119/193 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 60% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 43/76 | 32/43 | 75/119 | |
| % 1st pts | 57% | 74% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/45 | 19/29 | 41/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 66% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 2/9 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 22% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 2 | 17 | |
| Saved | 9/15 | 2/2 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLLWLWWWL
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