Roy Smith and Luca Castelnuovo will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Rio De Janeiro Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Roy Smith who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Roy Smith is the pick to win this match.
Roy Smith -> 1.42
Luca Castelnuovo -> 2.78
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Prediction and head to head Roy Smith vs. Luca Castelnuovo
This will be the 2nd time that Roy Smith and Luca Castelnuovo play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Smith (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Smith won 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in M15 Forbach back in 2020.
Roy Smith
Ranked no. 651, Smith reached the qualifications after beating Victor Fernandes 6-0 6-4.
In the qualifications, Smith had a good straight sets win against Fernandes (6-0 6-4). During the match, Smith scored 62 points vs Fernandes’s 35. Smith was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Smith blasted 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Roy Smith was exceptionally effective on serve to win 88% (23/26) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Fernandes 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Smith has a negative win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 42% of his matches (46-63). 12-15 on hard in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Smith has an aggregate27-35 record in the last 6 years on hard.
The American’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Santo Domingo.
Smith has a composed 17-22 win-loss record in 2021, 12-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rio De Janeiro Challenger
Roy has never competed in this tournament before.
Luca Castelnuovo
Ranked no. 722, the Swiss reached the qualifications after defeating Fernando Romboli 6-4 7-64.
In the qualifications, Castelnuovo had a good straight sets win against Romboli (6-4 7-64). During the match Castelnuovo scored 69 points vs Romboli’s 62. The Swiss was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Castelnuovo made 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Luca Castelnuovo was quite effective on serve to win 80% (33/41) of his 1st serve and 72% (18/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Castelnuovo broke Romboli once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Castelnuovo has a composed 20-29 win-loss record in 2021, 8-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Smith | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 23 |
| Pts | 62-35 | 69-62 |
| Total Points | 97 | 131 |
| Winners | 23 | 33 |
| %Winners | 37% | 48% |
Both Smith and Castelnuovo played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Smith and Castelnuovo have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Smith played 7 games less than Castelnuovo. Roy scored 23 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Castelnuovo managed to score 33 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Smith | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 7 |
| 1st in | 26/40 | 41/66 |
| %1st in | 65% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | 33/41 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 18/25 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 72% |
Smith recorded 6 aces . Castelnuovo recorded 7 aces . Smith won 88% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Castelnuovo won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 72% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Smith | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 1 |
| Converted | 5/11 | 1/5 |
| % Converted | 45% | 20% |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 |
| Saved | 3 | 0 |
| % Saved | 75% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Roy broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The American lost his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Castelnuovo broke his opponent once with a 20% conversion rate. Castelnuovo was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Smith | |||
| Q1 Fernandes |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 62-35 | 62-35 | |
| Total points | 97 | 97 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 26/40 | 26/40 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | 23/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 8/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Castelnuovo | |||
| Q1 Romboli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 69-62 | 69-62 | |
| Total points | 131 | 131 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 41/66 | 41/66 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 33/41 | 33/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/25 | 18/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 72% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/5 | 1/5 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 20% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLLLWWW
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