Sebastian Korda and Lorenzo Musetti will square off in the Round Robin of the the Next Gen ATP Finals for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Korda who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Korda is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Korda -> 1.39
Lorenzo Musetti -> 3.1
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Korda vs. Lorenzo Musetti
This will be the 2nd time that Sebastian Korda and Lorenzo Musetti clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Musetti won 6-3 1-6 6-4 in the 2nd round in Lyon back in May 2021.
Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Sebastian Korda – Lyon 19-May-2021
Sebastian Korda
Ranked no. 39, Sebastian reached the Round Robin after defeating Hugo Gaston 3-42 3-46 4-0 4-33 4-0 and Sebastian Baez 4-33 4-2 4-2.
In the previous match, The American had a good straight sets win against Baez (4-33 4-2 4-2). During the match, Korda scored 67 points vs Baez’s 47. Sebastian was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Korda struck 7 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Sebastian Korda lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Korda put 61% of his first serves in, winning 90% (28/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Korda broke Baez 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 2 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Korda has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 60% of his matches (149-98). 11-4 on indoor hard courts in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Korda has a compiled21-14 win-loss record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in the Quimper Challenger where he defeated Filip Horansky in the final 6-1 6-1 and in in Parma where he overcame Marco Cecchinato in the final 6-2 6-4.
Sebastian has a composed 34-19 win-loss record in 2021, 11-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Next Gen ATP Finals
Korda has never competed in this tournament before.
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranked no. 58, Musetti reached the Round Robin after defeating Hugo Gaston 4-34 4-36 2-4 3-47 4-2.
In the previous match, The Italian had a tough win against Gaston to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (4-34 4-36 2-4 3-47 4-2). During the match Musetti scored 111 points vs Gaston’s 106. Musetti was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about serving, Musetti managed to score 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 64% of his first serves in, winning 77% (53/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (19/39) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Gaston once after converting 6% of his break points (1/16).
Musetti’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Antalya Challenger and the Biella 2 Challenger.
The Italian has a composed 36-30 win-loss record in 2021, 10-9 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Korda | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 33 |
| Pts | 171-135 | 111-106 |
| Total Points | 306 | 217 |
| Winners | 68 | 53 |
| %Winners | 40% | 48% |
Korda played 2 matches while Musetti competed in 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Sebastian Korda lost 2 sets, while Lorenzo Musetti surrendered 2 sets. Korda has played 3 sets more than Musetti (8 vs 5). Therefore, Korda played 15 games more than Musetti. The American scored 68 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Musetti recorded 53 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Korda | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 11 |
| 1st in | 90/143 | 69/108 |
| %1st in | 63% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 68/90 | 53/69 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 30/53 | 19/39 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 49% |
Korda managed to score 17 aces (8.5 per match). Musetti fired 11 aces . Korda won 76% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Korda | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 1 |
| Converted | 8/26 | 1/16 |
| % Converted | 31% | 6% |
| Conceded | 13 | 8 |
| Saved | 11 | 7 |
| % Saved | 85% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The American broke his opponents 8 times with a 31% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded. Lorenzo broke his opponent once with a 6% conversion rate. Musetti conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Korda | ||||
| Round Robin Baez |
Round Robin Gaston |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-33 4-2 4-2 | 3-42 3-46 4-0 4-33 4-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 29 | 48 | |
| pts | 67-47 | 104-88 | 171-135 | |
| Total points | 114 | 192 | 306 | |
| Winners | 28 | 40 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 38% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 10 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 31/51 | 59/92 | 90/143 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 64% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 28/31 | 40/59 | 68/90 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 68% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 20/33 | 30/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 61% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 5/18 | 8/26 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 28% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 10 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 9/10 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 90% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Musetti | ||||
| Round Robin Gaston |
Round Robin Baez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-34 4-36 2-4 3-47 4-2 | 4-1 4-1 3-45 4-35 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 24 | 57 | |
| pts | 111-106 | – | 111-106 | |
| Total points | 217 | 0 | 217 | |
| Winners | 53 | 53 | ||
| %Winners | 48% | NAN% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 0 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | ||
| 1st in | 69/108 | / | 69/108 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | – | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 53/69 | / | 53/69 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | – | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/39 | / | 19/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | – | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 1 | ||
| Converted | 1/16 | / | 1/16 | |
| Converted % | 6% | – | 6% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | ||
| Saved | 7/8 | 0/ | 7 | |
| Saved % | 88% | – | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | ||
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWWWWW
LWWLWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Next Gen ATP Finals
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (4-34 4-1 4-34) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Hugo GastonGaston (4-34 4-36 2-4 3-47 4-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Sebastian BaezBaez (4-33 4-2 4-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (4-1 4-2 1-4 4-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (4-1 4-1 3-45 4-35) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (4-1 3-43 4-1 4-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Hugo GastonGaston (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
