Reilly Opelka and Lloyd Harris will face off in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Reilly Opelka who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Reilly Opelka is the pick to win this match.
Reilly Opelka -> 1.72
Lloyd Harris -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Reilly Opelka vs. Lloyd Harris
This will be the 3rd time that Reilly Opelka and Lloyd Harris clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Opelka and Lloyd (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Opelka won 4-6 7-6(6) 7-6(4) in the 3rd round in Toronto back in August 2021.
Reilly Opelka
Ranked no. 24, Reilly reached the 4th round after beating Soon-Woo Kwon 7-63 6-4 6-4, Lorenzo Musetti 7-61 7-5 6-4 and Nikoloz Basilashvili 7-65 6-3 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Reilly had a good straight sets win against Basilashvili (7-65 6-3 6-4). During the match, Opelka scored 106 points vs Basilashvili’s 91. Reilly was extremely aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Regarding the service games, Opelka buried his opponent with 21 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Reilly Opelka was pretty efficient on serve to win 74% (51/69) of his 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The American broke Basilashvili 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Opelka started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Opelka has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 57% of his matches (185-139). 13-9 on hard in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Opelka has a composed89-72 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Toronto.
Opelka has an aggregate 19-16 win-loss record in 2021, 13-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019. See his history.
Lloyd Harris
Ranked no. 46 (career-high), Lloyd got to the 4th round after defeating Karen Khachanov 6-4 1-6 4-6 6-3 6-2, Ernesto Escobedo 6-4 6-4 6-2 and Denis Shapovalov 6-4 6-4 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The South African had a good straight sets win against Shapovalov (6-4 6-4 6-4). During the match Lloyd scored 101 points vs Shapovalov’s 81. Lloyd was very aggressive to blast 48 winners.
About the serving games, Lloyd blasted 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Lloyd Harris was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (48/64) of his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Harris broke Shapovalov 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The South African started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Harris’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Dubai.
The South African has a compiled 26-17 win-loss record in 2021, 20-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Opelka | Lloyd |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 100 | 102 |
| Pts | 327-276 | 323-282 |
| Total Points | 603 | 605 |
| Winners | 170 | 155 |
| %Winners | 52% | 48% |
Both Opelka and Lloyd played 3 matches. At the moment, Lloyd Harris surrendered 2 sets while Reilly Opelka hasn’t dropped a set so far. Opelka has played 2 set(s) less than Lloyd (9 vs 11). Therefore, Opelka played 2 games less than Lloyd. The American scored 170 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, The South African scored 155 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Opelka | Lloyd |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 85 | 51 |
| Avg per match | 28.3 | 17 |
| 1st in | 213/304 | 195/296 |
| %1st in | 70% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 170/213 | 155/195 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 52/91 | 46/101 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 46% |
Opelka fired 85 aces (28.3 per match). Lloyd bagged 51 aces (17 per match). Opelka won 80% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Lloyd won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Opelka | Lloyd |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 15 |
| Converted | 9/18 | 15/38 |
| % Converted | 50% | 39% |
| Conceded | 11 | 19 |
| Saved | 9 | 12 |
| % Saved | 82% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 7 |
Reilly broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Opelka lost his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Harris broke his opponents 15 times with a 39% conversion rate. Lloyd conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Opelka | |||||
| R1 Kwon |
R2 Musetti |
R3 Basilashvili |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-4 6-4 | 7-61 7-5 6-4 | 7-65 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 35 | 32 | 100 | |
| pts | 111-93 | 110-92 | 106-91 | 327-276 | |
| Total points | 204 | 202 | 197 | 603 | |
| Winners | 59 | 60 | 51 | 170 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 55% | 48% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 33 | 31 | 21 | 85 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 71/101 | 73/101 | 69/102 | 213/304 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 72% | 68% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 59/71 | 60/73 | 51/69 | 170/213 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 82% | 74% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/30 | 19/28 | 18/33 | 52/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 68% | 55% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | 5/10 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 4/4 | 3/5 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 60% | 87% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Lloyd | |||||
| R1 Khachanov |
R2 Escobedo |
R3 Shapovalov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 1-6 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 44 | 28 | 30 | 102 | |
| pts | 123-124 | 99-77 | 101-81 | 323-282 | |
| Total points | 247 | 176 | 182 | 605 | |
| Winners | 61 | 46 | 48 | 155 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 46% | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 20 | 21 | 10 | 51 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 76/122 | 55/85 | 64/89 | 195/296 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 65% | 72% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 61/76 | 46/55 | 48/64 | 155/195 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 84% | 75% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/46 | 14/30 | 13/25 | 46/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 47% | 52% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 5/15 | 5/9 | 15/38 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 33% | 56% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 3/4 | 6/8 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 75% | 75% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLLLLWL
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