H2H, PREDICTION Elina Svitolina vs Daria Kasatkina | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Svitolina and Kasatkina will play each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Elina Svitolina vs. Daria Kasatkina

Elina Svitolina and Daria Kasatkina will square off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on Grandstand. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elina Svitolina who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Elina Svitolina is the pick to win this match.
Elina Svitolina -> 1.57
Daria Kasatkina -> 2.54

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Prediction and head to head Elina Svitolina vs. Daria Kasatkina

This will be the 6th time that Elina Svitolina and Daria Kasatkina square off. The head to head is 5-0 for Svitolina (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Svitolina won 6-3 6-1 in the 2nd round in San Jose back in 2019.

Elina Svitolina

Ranked no. 5, Svitolina got to the 3rd round after defeating Rebecca Marino 6-2 6-3 and Rebeka Masarova 6-2 7-5.

In the 2nd round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Masarova (6-2 7-5). During the match, Svitolina scored 67 points vs Masarova’s 42. Svitolina was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Svitolina struck 3 aces and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Elina Svitolina was extremely efficient on serve to win 91% (32/35) of her 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Svitolina broke Masarova 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Ukrainian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 61% of the points she played.

Svitolina has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (382-193). 25-9 on hard in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Svitolina has a compiled 232-105 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in in Chicago where she overcame Alize Cornet in the final 7-5 6-4.

Elina has a composed 35-16 win-loss record in 2021, 25-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See her history.

Svitolina
U.S. Open
Svitolina's Record

Daria Kasatkina

Ranked no. 27, Darya reached the 3rd round after beating Tsvetana Pironkova 6-2 6-1 and Marketa Vondrousova 3-6 6-4 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Vondrousova, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-4). During the match Kasatkina scored 102 points vs Vondrousova’s 98. Darya was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 5 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 70% of her first serves in, winning 59% (40/68) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Vondrousova 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kasatkina started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in in Melbourne where she overcame Marie Bouzkova in the final 4-6 6-2 6-2 and in in St. Petersburg where she beat Margarita Gasparyan in the final 6-3 2-1 ret..

Darya has an overall 35-16 win-loss record in 2021, 18-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2017. See her history.

Kasatkina
U.S. Open
Kasatkina's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Svitolina
D.Kasatkina
2h:18
2h:18
Time on court​
3h:21
3h:21
1h:15
1h:15
Last match​
!
2h:17
2h:17
2
2
Match played
2
2
37
37
Games Played​
44
44
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
133
133
Total points​
161
161
66.5
66.5
Avg point​
80.5
80.5
59
59
Winners
59
59
29.5
29.5
Avg Winners​
29.5
29.5
44%
44%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
5
5
2.5
2.5
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
2
2
Double Faults
5
5
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
59/75
59/75
1st won total​
59/91
59/91
!
79%
79%
1st won %
65%
65%
20/26
20/26
2nd won total​
21/44
21/44
!
77%
77%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
7/19
7/19
BP won
11/24
11/24
3.5/9.5
3.5/9.5
Avg BP won
5.5/12
5.5/12
37%
37%
Won
46%
46%
5
5
Conceded
10
10
2.5
2.5
Avg Conceded
5
5
1
1
Broken
6
6
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
3
3
4
4
Saved
4
4
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Matches, sets, games and points

Points Svitolina Kasatkina
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 37 44
Pts 133-85 161-133
Total Points 218 294
Winners 59 59
%Winners 44% 37%

Both Svitolina and Kasatkina played 2 matches. At the moment, Daria Kasatkina surrendered 1 set while Elina Svitolina hasn’t dropped a set so far. Svitolina has played 1 set(s) less than Kasatkina (4 vs 5). Therefore, Svitolina played 7 games less than Kasatkina. Elina scored 59 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian recorded 59 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Svitolina Kasatkina
Aces 5 5
Avg per match 2.5 2.5
1st in 75/101 91/135
%1st in 74% 67%
1st pts 59/75 59/91
%1st pts 79% 65%
2nd pts 20/26 21/44
%2nd pts 77% 48%

Svitolina recorded 5 aces (2.5 per match). Kasatkina scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Svitolina won 79% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 77% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 65% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Svitolina Kasatkina
Won 7 11
Converted 7/19 11/24
% Converted 37% 46%
Conceded 5 10
Saved 4 4
% Saved 80% 40%
Times Broken 1 6

Svitolina broke her opponents 7 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Ukrainian dropped her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. Kasatkina conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded.

Svitolina
R1
Marino		 R2
Masarova		 Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-2 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 17 20 37
pts 66-43 67-42 133-85
Total points 109 109 218
Winners 27 32 59
%Winners 41% 48% 44%
SERVE
Aces 2 3 5
Double Faults 2 0 2
1st in 40/53 35/48 75/101
% 1st in 75% 73% 74%
1st pts 27/40 32/35 59/75
% 1st pts 68% 91% 79%
2nd pts 11/13 9/13 20/26
% 2nd pts 85% 69% 77%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7
Converted 4/11 3/8 7/19
Converted % 36% 38% 37%
Conceded 5 0 5
Saved 4/5 0/0 4
Saved % 80% – 40%
Times Broken 1 0 1
Kasatkina
R1
Pironkova		 R2
Vondrousova		 Total
Score 6-2 6-1 3-6 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 15 29 44
pts 59-35 102-98 161-133
Total points 94 200 294
Winners 19 40 59
%Winners 32% 39% 37%
SERVE
Aces 4 1 5
Double Faults 3 2 5
1st in 23/38 68/97 91/135
% 1st in 61% 70% 67%
1st pts 19/23 40/68 59/91
% 1st pts 83% 59% 65%
2nd pts 7/15 14/29 21/44
% 2nd pts 47% 48% 48%
Breaks
Won 6 5 11
Converted 6/10 5/14 11/24
Converted % 60% 36% 46%
Conceded 1 9 10
Saved 0/1 4/9 4
Saved % 0% 44% 22%
Times Broken 1 5 6

Head 2 Head

Elina Svitolina
  • 0Slam
  • 17Main
  • 6ITF
  • 1Minor
Daria Kasatkina
  • 0Slam
  • 7Main
  • 6ITF
  • 1Minor

Elina
Svitolina

8:0

Daria
Kasatkina

Rank

27

High

3

6Hard0

2Clay0

Rank

11

High

8

Win Loss
Svitolina
LWWLWLWWLW
Kasatkina
WLWWWLWLWL
2024 2023 2022
30 - 18
34 - 19
16-9
Hard
18-13
10-7
Clay
8-4
4-2
Grass
8-2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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Upcoming matches in the draw

Svitolina
Elina Svitolina
More Stats
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Kasatkina Daria Kasatkina