Aryna Sabalenka and Rebecca Marino will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Rogers Cup for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.15
Rebecca Marino -> 6.2
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Rebecca Marino
There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Rebecca Marino since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the Belarussian reached the 3rd round after defeating Sloane Stephens 7-64 4-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Sabalenka defeated Stephens (7-64 4-6 6-4).-102) than Stephens. In fact, the world no. 3 won 102 points vs Stephens’s. That means that Sabalenka was more focused during the important points. Aryna was exceptionally aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka recorded 18 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 58% of her first serves in, winning 74% (45/61) of the points behind her 1st serve and 49% (22/45) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Stephens 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 66% of her matches (221-112). 16-6 on hard in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has an aggregate126-56 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in in Abu Dhabi where she defeated Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-2 6-2 and in in Madrid where she defeated Ashleigh Barty in the final 6-0 3-6 6-4.
Aryna has a composed 36-12 win-loss record in 2021, 16-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018. See her history.
Rebecca Marino
Ranked no. 220, Rebecca reached the 3rd round after beating Madison Keys 6-3 6-3 and Paula Badosa Gibert 1-6 7-5 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Badosa, Marino recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-5 6-4).-100) than Badosa. In fact, the world no. 3 won 100 points vs Badosa’s. That means that Marino was more focused during the important points. Marino was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Marino managed to score 9 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Rebecca Marino lost the serve 6 times and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Marino put 52% of her first serves in, winning 64% (36/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (20/52) on the 2nd serve. Rebecca broke Badosa 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marino started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.
The Canadian has a compiled 19-12 win-loss record in 2021, 13-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 47 |
| Pts | 102-104 | 163-155 |
| Total Points | 206 | 318 |
| Winners | 45 | 63 |
| %Winners | 44% | 39% |
Sabalenka played 1 match while Marino competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka surrendered 1 set, while Rebecca Marino dropped 1 set. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Marino (3 vs 5). Therefore, Sabalenka played 14 games less than Marino. Aryna scored 45 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Marino blasted 63 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 18 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 61/106 | 93/165 |
| %1st in | 58% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 45/61 | 63/93 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 22/45 | 31/72 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 43% |
Sabalenka recorded 18 aces . Marino managed to score 13 aces (6.5 per match). Sabalenka won 74% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Marino won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 9 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 9/18 |
| % Converted | 43% | 50% |
| Conceded | 9 | 22 |
| Saved | 6 | 15 |
| % Saved | 67% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 7 |
The Belarussian broke her opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Aryna dropped her serve 3 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Rebecca broke her opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Marino conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R2 Stephens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 102-104 | 102-104 | |
| Total points | 206 | 206 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 18 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 61/106 | 61/106 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 45/61 | 45/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/45 | 22/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Marino | ||||
| R1 Keys |
R2 Badosa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 1-6 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 29 | 47 | |
| pts | 63-50 | 100-105 | 163-155 | |
| Total points | 113 | 205 | 318 | |
| Winners | 27 | 36 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 36% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 9 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 37/57 | 56/108 | 93/165 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 52% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 36/56 | 63/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 64% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 20/52 | 31/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 38% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/10 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 17 | 22 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 11/17 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 65% | 145% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
LWWWWWLLWW Tennis Scores in Montreal
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (1-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (5-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Donna VekicVekic (4-6 6-3 7-62) – See score progression
- Rebecca MarinoMarino – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Sloane StephensStephens (7-64 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Camila GiorgiGiorgi – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Simona HalepHalep (2-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Oceane DodinDodin (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Johanna KontaKonta – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Fiona FerroFerro (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Ulrikke Eikeri/Catherine HarrisonEikeri/Catherine Harrison – Nicole Melichar/Demi SchuursMelichar/Demi Schuurs (6-3 2-6 10-4) – See score progression
- Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (6-2 0-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Harriet DartDart (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Domagoj BiljeskoBiljesko – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (4-6 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Rrezart CunguCungu – Pascal MeisMeis (2-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Ricardo Urzua-RiveraUrzua-Rivera (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic – Mick VeldheerVeldheer (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Camila GiorgiGiorgi – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (5-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Johanna KontaKonta – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Simona HalepHalep (2-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (1-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (2-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Rebecca MarinoMarino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Johanna KontaKonta (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
