Pablo Carreno-Busta and Karen Khachanov will face off in the semifinal of the Olympics for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.96
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.96
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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Karen Khachanov
This will be the 6th time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Karen Khachanov play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), but Khachanov has a winning record of 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Carreno-Busta won 6-2 6-3 in the 2nd round in Monte carlo back in April 2021.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Ranked no. 11, Carreno-Busta got to the semifinal after defeating Tennys Sandgren 7-5 6-2, Marin Cilic 5-7 6-4 6-4, Dominik Koepfer 7-67 6-3 and Daniil Medvedev 6-2 7-65.
In the quarter, Pablo had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (6-2 7-65). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 62 points vs Medvedev’s 58. Pablo was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Carreno-Busta fired 3 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve once. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 67% of his first serves in, winning 67% (26/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Medvedev 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Carreno-Busta has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (367-206). 8-3 on hard in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Carreno-Busta has an aggregate 106-60 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in in Marbella where he beat Jaume Antoni Munar Clar in the final 6-1 2-6 6-4 and in in Hamburg where he overcame Filip Krajinovic in the final 6-2 6-4.
The Spaniard has a composed 27-9 win-loss record in 2021, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Olympics
The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.
Karen Khachanov
Ranked no. 25, the Russian got to the semifinal after defeating Yoshihito Nishioka 3-6 6-1 6-2, James Duckworth 7-5 6-1, Diego Sebastian Schwartzman 6-1 2-6 6-1 and Ugo Humbert 7-64 4-6 6-3.
In the quarter, The Russian defeated Humbert (7-64 4-6 6-3). During the match Khachanov scored 107 points vs Humbert’s 88. Karen was extremely aggressive to blast 47 winners.
About the serving games, Khachanov struck 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Karen Khachanov was exceptionally effective on serve to win 85% (47/55) of his 1st serve and 77% (20/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Karen broke Humbert once after converting 9% of his break points (1/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Karen’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne and Lyon.
The Russian has a composed 24-15 win-loss record in 2021, 11-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carreno-Busta | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 95 | 97 |
| Pts | 308-275 | 339-265 |
| Total Points | 583 | 604 |
| Winners | 150 | 136 |
| %Winners | 49% | 40% |
Both Carreno-Busta and Khachanov played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Pablo Carreno-Busta surrendered 1 set, while Karen Khachanov surrendered 3 sets. Carreno-Busta has played 2 set(s) less than Khachanov (9 vs 11). Therefore, Carreno-Busta played 2 games less than Khachanov. Pablo scored 150 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Karen recorded 136 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carreno-Busta | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 39 |
| Avg per match | 5.8 | 9.8 |
| 1st in | 214/294 | 176/284 |
| %1st in | 73% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 150/214 | 136/176 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 47/75 | 65/98 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 66% |
Carreno-Busta struck 23 aces (5.8 per match). Khachanov scored 39 aces (9.8 per match). Carreno-Busta won 70% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carreno-Busta | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 15 |
| Converted | 13/30 | 15/37 |
| % Converted | 43% | 41% |
| Conceded | 13 | 19 |
| Saved | 8 | 14 |
| % Saved | 62% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 13 times with a 43% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 15 times with a 41% conversion rate. Karen conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carreno-Busta | ||||||
| R1 Sandgren |
R2 Cilic |
R3 Koepfer |
1/4 Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | 7-67 6-3 | 6-2 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 32 | 22 | 21 | 95 | |
| pts | 75-55 | 93-91 | 78-71 | 62-58 | 308-275 | |
| Total points | 130 | 184 | 149 | 120 | 583 | |
| Winners | 33 | 57 | 34 | 26 | 150 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 61% | 44% | 42% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 52/64 | 77/96 | 46/76 | 39/58 | 214/294 | |
| % 1st in | 81% | 80% | 61% | 67% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 33/52 | 57/77 | 34/46 | 26/39 | 150/214 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 74% | 74% | 67% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/11 | 11/18 | 15/27 | 13/19 | 47/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 61% | 56% | 68% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 2/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 | 13/30 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 40% | 50% | 50% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/2 | 5/6 | 0/1 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 83% | 0% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Khachanov | ||||||
| R1 Nishioka |
R2 Duckworth |
R3 Schwartzman |
1/4 Humbert |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-1 6-2 | 7-5 6-1 | 6-1 2-6 6-1 | 7-64 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 19 | 22 | 32 | 97 | |
| pts | 79-63 | 71-51 | 82-63 | 107-88 | 339-265 | |
| Total points | 142 | 122 | 145 | 195 | 604 | |
| Winners | 33 | 18 | 38 | 47 | 136 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 25% | 46% | 44% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 12 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 45/72 | 24/47 | 52/81 | 55/84 | 176/284 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 51% | 64% | 65% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 33/45 | 18/24 | 38/52 | 47/55 | 136/176 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 75% | 73% | 85% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/23 | 16/22 | 12/27 | 20/26 | 65/98 | |
| % 2nd pts | 74% | 73% | 44% | 77% | 66% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 5/11 | 5/10 | 1/11 | 15/37 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 45% | 50% | 9% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 19 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 3/4 | 10/12 | 0/1 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 83% | 0% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWWWWLWW
LLLWLWLLWL Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Nikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic – Austin Krajicek/Tennys SandgrenKrajicek/Tennys Sandgren (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (2-3) – H2H and prediction
