Pablo Carreno-Busta and Dominik Koepfer will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Olympics for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11:00 am on Court 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.33
Dominik Koepfer -> 3.58
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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Dominik Koepfer
This will be the 2nd time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Dominik Koepfer play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Carreno-Busta won 6-3 6-1 in the qualifications in Shanghai back in 2019.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Ranked no. 11, Carreno-Busta got to the 3rd round after beating Tennys Sandgren 7-5 6-2 and Marin Cilic 5-7 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Cilic, Carreno-Busta recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-4). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 93 points vs Cilic’s 91. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 57 winners.
Talking about the service games, Carreno-Busta scored 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Pablo Carreno-Busta was quite efficient on serve to win 74% (57/77) of his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Pablo broke Cilic twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carreno-Busta started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Carreno-Busta has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (365-206). 6-3 on hard in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Carreno-Busta has an overall 104-60 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in in Marbella where he overcame Jaume Antoni Munar Clar in the final 6-1 2-6 6-4 and in in Hamburg where he beat Filip Krajinovic in the final 6-2 6-4.
Carreno-Busta has a compiled 25-9 win-loss record in 2021, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Olympics
Pablo has never competed in this tournament before.
Dominik Koepfer
Ranked no. 59, Dominik reached the 3rd round after beating Facundo Bagnis 3-6 6-3 7-5 and Max Purcell 6-3 6-0.
In the 2nd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Purcell (6-3 6-0). During the match Koepfer scored 60 points vs Purcell’s 36. Dominik was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Koepfer recorded 3 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Dominik Koepfer was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Koepfer broke Purcell 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Dominik’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Acapulco.
The German has a composed 18-16 win-loss record in 2021, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carreno-Busta | Koepfer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 45 |
| Pts | 168-146 | 157-126 |
| Total Points | 314 | 283 |
| Winners | 90 | 76 |
| %Winners | 54% | 48% |
Both Carreno-Busta and Koepfer played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Pablo Carreno-Busta dropped 1 set, while Dominik Koepfer surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Carreno-Busta and Koepfer have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Carreno-Busta played 7 games more than Koepfer. Pablo scored 90 winners (54% of the total points). On the other side, Koepfer managed to score 76 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carreno-Busta | Koepfer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 129/160 | 108/149 |
| %1st in | 81% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 90/129 | 76/108 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 19/29 | 21/40 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 53% |
Carreno-Busta struck 13 aces (6.5 per match). Koepfer recorded 11 aces (5.5 per match). Carreno-Busta won 70% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Koepfer won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carreno-Busta | Koepfer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 8 |
| Converted | 7/18 | 8/12 |
| % Converted | 39% | 67% |
| Conceded | 6 | 11 |
| Saved | 3 | 8 |
| % Saved | 50% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Pablo broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Koepfer broke his opponents 8 times with a 67% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carreno-Busta | ||||
| R1 Sandgren |
R2 Cilic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 32 | 52 | |
| pts | 75-55 | 93-91 | 168-146 | |
| Total points | 130 | 184 | 314 | |
| Winners | 33 | 57 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 61% | 54% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 52/64 | 77/96 | 129/160 | |
| % 1st in | 81% | 80% | 81% | |
| 1st pts | 33/52 | 57/77 | 90/129 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 74% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/11 | 11/18 | 19/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 61% | 66% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 2/5 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 40% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Koepfer | ||||
| R1 Bagnis |
R2 Purcell |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 15 | 45 | |
| pts | 97-90 | 60-36 | 157-126 | |
| Total points | 187 | 96 | 283 | |
| Winners | 51 | 25 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 42% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 74/102 | 34/47 | 108/149 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 51/74 | 25/34 | 76/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 74% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/27 | 9/13 | 21/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 69% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/8 | 8/12 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 50% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 | 11 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 2/2 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWWWWL
LLWWLLWLWL Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Tomas MachacMachac (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – James DuckworthDuckworth (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Jeremy ChardyChardy – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-74 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Liam BroadyBroady – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-5 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Marcos GironGiron (7-65 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (4-6 7-65 7-5) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sumit NagalNagal (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Max PurcellPurcell (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Marin CilicCilic (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Nikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic – Lorenzo Musetti/Lorenzo SonegoMusetti/Lorenzo Sonego (7-5 6-75 10-7) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Egor GerasimovGerasimov (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – John MillmanMillman (6-4 6-74 6-3) – See score progression
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-7(4) 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Marcos GironGiron (7-6(5) 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Liam BroadyBroady – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-5 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – James DuckworthDuckworth (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (4-6 7-6(5) 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jeremy ChardyChardy – Liam BroadyBroady (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Kei NishikoriNishikori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-0) – H2H and prediction
