Cameron Norrie and Brandon Nakashima will fight against each other in the final of the Abierto Mexicano de Tenis Mifel for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 8:00 pm on GRANDSTAND CALIENTE.MX. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cameron Norrie who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cameron Norrie is the pick to win this match.
Cameron Norrie -> 1.52
Brandon Nakashima -> 2.68
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Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Brandon Nakashima
This will be the 2nd time that Cameron Norrie and Brandon Nakashima fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Nakashima (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Nakashima won 7-5 6-2 in the 2nd round in Delray beach back in 2020.
Cameron Norrie
Ranked no. 30 (career-high), Cameron got to the final after defeating Elias Ymer 7-64 6-3, Ernesto Escobedo 6-1 6-1 and Taylor Harry Fritz 6-3 6-1.
In the semifinal, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Fritz (6-3 6-1). During the match, Norrie scored 62 points vs Fritz’s 34. Cameron was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Norrie managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Cameron Norrie was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Brit broke Fritz 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 58% of the points he played.
Norrie has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (246-147). 12-5 on hard in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Norrie has an overall162-71 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Norrie’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Estoril, Lyon and London.
Norrie has a composed 38-14 win-loss record in 2021, 12-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Los Cabos
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018. See his history.
Brandon Nakashima
Ranked no. 134, Brandon got to the final after beating Jeff Wolf 6-3 6-75 6-2, Sam Querrey 6-3 6-4, Jordan Thompson 6-3 4-6 7-64 and John Isner 7-5 6-4.
In the semifinal, Brandon had a good straight sets win against Isner (7-5 6-4). During the match Nakashima scored 72 points vs Isner’s 56. Brandon was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Nakashima fired 12 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Brandon Nakashima was very effective on serve to win 82% (28/34) of his 1st serve and 67% (18/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Brandon broke Isner twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Brandon’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Quimper 2 Challenger.
Nakashima has a composed 25-15 win-loss record in 2021, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Norrie | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 103 |
| Pts | 197-140 | 348-307 |
| Total Points | 337 | 655 |
| Winners | 86 | 149 |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% |
Norrie played 3 matches while Nakashima competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Brandon Nakashima conceded 2 sets while Cameron Norrie hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Norrie has played 4 set(s) less than Nakashima (6 vs 10). Therefore, Norrie played 51 games less than Nakashima. The Brit scored 86 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Nakashima managed to score 149 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Norrie | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 30 |
| Avg per match | 4.7 | 7.5 |
| 1st in | 111/172 | 193/333 |
| %1st in | 65% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 86/111 | 149/193 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 35/61 | 80/140 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 57% |
Norrie fired 14 aces (4.7 per match). Nakashima struck 30 aces (7.5 per match). Norrie won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Norrie | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 11 |
| Converted | 11/22 | 11/27 |
| % Converted | 50% | 41% |
| Conceded | 8 | 20 |
| Saved | 7 | 16 |
| % Saved | 88% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Norrie broke his opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. Norrie lost his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. Brandon broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. Brandon conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Norrie | |||||
| R2 Ymer |
1/4 Escobedo |
1/2 Fritz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 | 6-1 6-1 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 14 | 16 | 52 | |
| pts | 71-69 | 64-37 | 62-34 | 197-140 | |
| Total points | 140 | 101 | 96 | 337 | |
| Winners | 39 | 21 | 26 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 33% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 3 | 4 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 53/82 | 25/41 | 33/49 | 111/172 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 61% | 67% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 39/53 | 21/25 | 26/33 | 86/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 84% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/29 | 9/16 | 12/16 | 35/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 56% | 75% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 5/14 | 4/6 | 11/22 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 36% | 67% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 100% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nakashima | ||||||
| R1 Wolf |
R2 Querrey |
1/4 Thompson |
1/2 Isner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-75 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 4-6 7-64 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 19 | 32 | 22 | 103 | |
| pts | 106-91 | 62-55 | 108-105 | 72-56 | 348-307 | |
| Total points | 197 | 117 | 213 | 128 | 655 | |
| Winners | 44 | 28 | 49 | 28 | 149 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 45% | 45% | 39% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 11 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 59/104 | 36/63 | 64/105 | 34/61 | 193/333 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | 61% | 56% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 44/59 | 28/36 | 49/64 | 28/34 | 149/193 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 78% | 77% | 82% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/45 | 16/27 | 20/41 | 18/27 | 80/140 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 59% | 49% | 67% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 2/5 | 3/9 | 2/3 | 11/27 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | 33% | 67% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 20 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 0/0 | 9/12 | 1/1 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 86% | – | 75% | 100% | 87% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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LLLWLWLLWW Upcoming matches in the draw
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-1) – H2H and prediction
