Max Purcell and Jay Clarke will clash against each other in the final of the Nur-Sultan 3 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Max Purcell who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Max Purcell is the pick to win this match.
Max Purcell -> 1.68
Jay Clarke -> 2.19
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Prediction and head to head Max Purcell vs. Jay Clarke
This will be the 2nd time that Max Purcell and Jay Clarke face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Clarke (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Clarke won 7-6(2) 6-3 in the 2nd round in the Nanchang Challenger back in 2019.
Max Purcell
Ranked no. 234, Purcell reached the final after beating Alessandro Bega 2-6 6-2 7-5, Tung-Lin Wu 3-6 7-64 6-2, Yu Hsiou Hsu 6-2 6-1 and Peter Polansky 7-5 3-6 7-63.
In the semifinal, The Australian defeated Polansky (7-5 3-6 7-63). During the match, Purcell scored 109 points vs Polansky’s 102. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about the service games, Purcell scored 19 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Max Purcell lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Purcell put 59% of his first serves in, winning 75% (48/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (22/44) on the 2nd serve. Max broke Polansky 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Max started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 3 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Purcell has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (166-124). 6-2 on hard in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Purcell has an aggregate125-90 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Purcell’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Eastbourne and the Sultan 3 Challenger.
Purcell has an aggregate 10-6 win-loss record in 2021, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sultan 3 Challenger
Max has never competed in this tournament before.
Jay Clarke
Ranked no. 243, Clarke got to the final after beating Artem Dubrivnyy 7-5 7-63, Beibit Zhukayev 6-3 6-3, Jason Murray Kubler 3-6 7-5 7-61 and Borna Gojo 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Gojo (6-4 6-4). During the match Clarke scored 64 points vs Gojo’s 45. Jay was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Clarke made 3 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jay Clarke was pretty effective on serve to win 90% (26/29) of his 1st serve and 78% (14/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Clarke broke Gojo twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jay started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Jay’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Sultan 3 Challenger.
Clarke has an overall 11-16 win-loss record in 2021, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Purcell | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 107 | 97 |
| Pts | 383-340 | 315-266 |
| Total Points | 723 | 581 |
| Winners | 147 | 115 |
| %Winners | 38% | 37% |
Both Purcell and Clarke played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Max Purcell dropped 3 sets, while Jay Clarke conceded 1 set. Purcell has played 2 sets more than Clarke (11 vs 9). Therefore, Purcell played 10 games more than Clarke. The Australian scored 147 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Jay scored 115 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Purcell | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 45 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 11.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 200/349 | 148/265 |
| %1st in | 57% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 147/200 | 115/148 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 76/149 | 76/117 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 65% |
Purcell managed to score 45 aces (11.3 per match). Clarke bagged 13 aces (3.3 per match). Purcell won 74% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Clarke won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Purcell | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 11 |
| Converted | 18/39 | 11/29 |
| % Converted | 46% | 38% |
| Conceded | 34 | 15 |
| Saved | 23 | 10 |
| % Saved | 68% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 5 |
Max broke his opponents 18 times with a 46% conversion rate. Purcell conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. Jay broke his opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. Clarke conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Purcell | ||||||
| R1 Bega |
R2 Wu |
1/4 Hsiou |
1/2 Polansky |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-2 7-5 | 3-6 7-64 6-2 | 6-2 6-1 | 7-5 3-6 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 30 | 15 | 34 | 107 | |
| pts | 107-101 | 98-92 | 69-45 | 109-102 | 383-340 | |
| Total points | 208 | 190 | 114 | 211 | 723 | |
| Winners | 37 | 43 | 19 | 48 | 147 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 44% | 28% | 44% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | 2 | 19 | 45 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 50/110 | 61/89 | 25/42 | 64/108 | 200/349 | |
| % 1st in | 45% | 69% | 60% | 59% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 37/50 | 43/61 | 19/25 | 48/64 | 147/200 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 70% | 76% | 75% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/60 | 16/28 | 10/17 | 22/44 | 76/149 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 57% | 59% | 50% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/9 | 6/10 | 4/7 | 18/39 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 44% | 60% | 57% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 34 | |
| Saved | 11/14 | 4/7 | 2/3 | 6/10 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 79% | 57% | 67% | 60% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | |
| Clarke | ||||||
| R1 Dubrivnyy |
R2 Zhukayev |
1/4 Murray Kubler |
1/2 Gojo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-63 | 6-3 6-3 | 3-6 7-5 7-61 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 18 | 34 | 20 | 97 | |
| pts | 76-62 | 67-48 | 108-111 | 64-45 | 315-266 | |
| Total points | 138 | 115 | 219 | 109 | 581 | |
| Winners | 28 | 25 | 36 | 26 | 115 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | 33% | 41% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 33/63 | 31/48 | 55/107 | 29/47 | 148/265 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 65% | 51% | 62% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 28/33 | 25/31 | 36/55 | 26/29 | 115/148 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 81% | 65% | 90% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/30 | 12/17 | 31/52 | 14/18 | 76/117 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 71% | 60% | 78% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/8 | 3/12 | 2/5 | 11/29 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 38% | 25% | 40% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 15 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 2/2 | 7/10 | 0/0 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 100% | 70% | – | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLLLWWL
LWLWWLWWWW Upcoming matches in the draw
- Max PurcellPurcell – Jay ClarkeClarke (0-1) – H2H and prediction
