Jelena Ostapenko and Ajla Tomljanovic will square off in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on Court 15. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.6
Ajla Tomljanovic -> 2.46
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Ajla Tomljanovic
This will be the 2nd time that Jelena Ostapenko and Ajla Tomljanovic square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ostapenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they played each other, Ostapenko won 6-2 7-6(3) in the 2nd round in Rome back in May 2021.
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranked no. 34, the Latvian got to the 3rd round after defeating Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-1 6-2 and Daria Kasatkina 6-1 3-6 8-6.
In the 2nd round, Ostapenko defeated Kasatkina (6-1 3-6 8-6). During the match, Ostapenko scored 99 points vs Kasatkina’s 82. The Latvian was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ostapenko scored 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 8 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 60% of her first serves in, winning 55% (29/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (16/36) on the 2nd serve. Jelena broke Kasatkina 10 times after converting 83% of her break points (10/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jelena started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has dropped 1 set in this event to win 57% of the points she played.
Ostapenko has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (282-174). 8-1 on grass in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Ostapenko has an overall 32-16 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Eastbourne where she beat Anett Kontaveit in the final 6-3 6-3.
The Latvian has a composed 21-11 win-loss record in 2021, 8-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018. See her history.
Ajla Tomljanovic
Ranked no. 75, Ajla got to the 3rd round after defeating Greetje Minnen 6-2 7-65 and Alize Cornet 6-4 0-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Australian defeated Cornet (6-4 0-6 6-3).-87) than Cornet. In fact, the world no. 34 won 87 points vs Cornet’s. That means that Tomljanovic was more focused during the important points. Ajla was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.
About the serving games, Tomljanovic scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Ajla Tomljanovic lost the serve 5 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Tomljanovic put 73% of her first serves in, winning 66% (42/64) of the points behind her 1st serve and 29% (7/24) on the 2nd serve. Tomljanovic broke Cornet 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Tomljanovic has an aggregate 18-14 win-loss record in 2021, 4-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 46 |
| Pts | 158-118 | 179-168 |
| Total Points | 276 | 347 |
| Winners | 46 | 77 |
| %Winners | 29% | 43% |
Both Ostapenko and Tomljanovic played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jelena Ostapenko conceded 1 set, while Ajla Tomljanovic lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Ostapenko and Tomljanovic have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Ostapenko played 1 game less than Tomljanovic. The Latvian scored 46 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Ajla recorded 77 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 76/133 | 118/179 |
| %1st in | 57% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 46/76 | 77/118 |
| %1st pts | 61% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 27/57 | 28/61 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 46% |
Ostapenko managed to score 3 aces (1.5 per match). Tomljanovic bagged 4 aces (2 per match). Ostapenko won 61% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Tomljanovic won 65% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 8 |
| Converted | 16/21 | 8/21 |
| % Converted | 76% | 38% |
| Conceded | 17 | 17 |
| Saved | 8 | 10 |
| % Saved | 47% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 7 |
The Latvian broke her opponents 16 times with a 76% conversion rate. Ostapenko surrendered her serve 9 times and she saved 47% of the break points that she conceded. The Australian broke her opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Australian conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | ||||
| R1 Annie |
R2 Kasatkina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 3-6 8-6 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 30 | 45 | |
| pts | 59-36 | 99-82 | 158-118 | |
| Total points | 95 | 181 | 276 | |
| Winners | 17 | 29 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 23/44 | 53/89 | 76/133 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 60% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 17/23 | 29/53 | 46/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 55% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 16/36 | 27/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 44% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 10 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 10/12 | 16/21 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 83% | 76% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 15 | 17 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 7/15 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 47% | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 8 | 9 | |
| Tomljanovic | ||||
| R1 Minnen |
R2 Cornet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-65 | 6-4 0-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 25 | 46 | |
| pts | 92-77 | 87-91 | 179-168 | |
| Total points | 169 | 178 | 347 | |
| Winners | 35 | 42 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 48% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 54/91 | 64/88 | 118/179 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 73% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 35/54 | 42/64 | 77/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 66% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/37 | 7/24 | 28/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 29% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/13 | 8/21 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 31% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 9 | 17 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 4/9 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 44% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLWWW
WWWWWLLWLW Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (5-7 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-0 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (6-1 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Sloane StephensStephens (6-2 2-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Shelby RogersRogers (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Viktorija GolubicViktorija – Madison BrengleMadison (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasija SevastovaSevastova – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Kaja JuvanJuvan – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Angelique KerberKerber – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Madison KeysKeys (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Ons JabeurJabeur (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
