Daniil Medvedev and Marin Cilic will play each other in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 6:00 pm on Court 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.21
Marin Cilic -> 4.9
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Marin Cilic
This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Marin Cilic face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 6-4 7-6(7) in the quarter in Washington back in 2019.
Daniil Medvedev
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Daniil got to the 3rd round after defeating Jan-Lennard Struff 6-4 6-1 4-6 7-63 and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 6-4 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Alcaraz Garfia (6-4 6-1 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 89 points vs Alcaraz Garfia’s 57. Daniil was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev recorded 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 63% of his first serves in, winning 95% (38/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (10/24) on the 2nd serve. Daniil broke Alcaraz Garfia 7 times after converting 47% of his break points (7/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 69% of his matches (344-155). 6-1 on grass in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has an overall34-15 record in the last 9 years on grass.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in in Marseille where he defeated Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the final 6-4 6-7(4) 6-4 and in in Mallorca where he defeated Sam Querrey in the final 6-4 6-2.
The Russian has a composed 28-7 win-loss record in 2021, 6-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018 and 2019. See his history.
Marin Cilic
Ranked no. 37, Marin got to the 3rd round after defeating Salvatore Caruso 7-65 7-61 6-1 and Benjamin Bonzi 6-4 3-6 6-3 7-65.
In the 2nd round, The Croatian defeated Bonzi (6-4 3-6 6-3 7-65). During the match Cilic scored 142 points vs Bonzi’s 138. Cilic was very aggressive to blast 57 winners.
About the serving games, Cilic made 16 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Marin Cilic was very effective on serve to win 76% (57/75) of his 1st serve and 54% (30/56) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Marin broke Bonzi 3 times after converting 18% of his break points (3/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marin started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in in Stuttgart where he overcame Felix Auger Aliassime in the final 7-6(2) 6-3.
Marin has an overall 19-11 win-loss record in 2021, 9-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 65 | 74 |
| Pts | 228-175 | 263-234 |
| Total Points | 403 | 497 |
| Winners | 90 | 114 |
| %Winners | 39% | 43% |
Both Medvedev and Cilic played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev lost 1 set, while Marin Cilic surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Medvedev and Cilic have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Medvedev played 9 games less than Cilic. Medvedev scored 90 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Croatian blasted 114 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 34 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 17 |
| 1st in | 103/180 | 145/233 |
| %1st in | 57% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 90/103 | 114/145 |
| %1st pts | 87% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 42/77 | 45/88 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 51% |
Medvedev blasted 22 aces (11 per match). Cilic managed to score 34 aces (17 per match). Medvedev won 87% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Cilic won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 7 |
| Converted | 11/24 | 7/30 |
| % Converted | 46% | 23% |
| Conceded | 8 | 14 |
| Saved | 5 | 10 |
| % Saved | 63% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
The Russian broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. Medvedev conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Cilic broke his opponents 7 times with a 23% conversion rate. Cilic conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R1 Struff |
R2 Alcaraz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 4-6 7-63 | 6-4 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 40 | 25 | 65 | |
| pts | 139-118 | 89-57 | 228-175 | |
| Total points | 257 | 146 | 403 | |
| Winners | 52 | 38 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 16 | 6 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 63/116 | 40/64 | 103/180 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 63% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 52/63 | 38/40 | 90/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 95% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 32/53 | 10/24 | 42/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 42% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 7/15 | 11/24 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 47% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 1/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 33% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Cilic | ||||
| R1 Caruso |
R2 Bonzi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 7-61 6-1 | 6-4 3-6 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 41 | 74 | |
| pts | 121-96 | 142-138 | 263-234 | |
| Total points | 217 | 280 | 497 | |
| Winners | 57 | 57 | 114 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 40% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 18 | 16 | 34 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 70/102 | 75/131 | 145/233 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 57% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 57/70 | 57/75 | 114/145 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 76% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/32 | 30/56 | 45/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 54% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 3/17 | 7/30 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 18% | 23% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | 14 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5/7 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLLLWWLW
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- Roger FedererFederer – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Alexander BublikBublik (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marin CilicCilic – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
