H2H, PREDICTION Elise Mertens vs Madison Keys | Wimbledon odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. London. Mertens and Keys will fight against each other in the 3rd round of Wimbledon. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Madison Keys

Elise Mertens and Madison Keys will play each other in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:00 pm on Court 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.77
Elise Mertens -> 2.15

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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Madison Keys

This will be the 3rd time that Elise Mertens and Madison Keys play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.

The last time that they played each other, Keys won 6-3 6-2 in the 3rd round in Melbourne back in 2019.

Elise Mertens

Ranked no. 16, Mertens reached the 3rd round after defeating Harriet Dart 6-1 6-3 and Lin Zhu 6-2 6-0.

In the 2nd round, Mertens had a good straight sets win against Zhu (6-2 6-0). During the match, Mertens scored 56 points vs Zhu’s 31. Mertens was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mertens recorded 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Elise Mertens was exceptionally effective on serve to win 76% (19/25) of her 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Belgian broke Zhu 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Elise started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 60% of the points she played.

Mertens has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 66% of her matches (361-186). 2-2 on grass in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Mertens has an overall30-22 record in the last 9 years on grass.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in in Melbourne where she beat Kaia Kanepi in the final 6-4 6-1.

Mertens has an overall 24-10 win-loss record in 2021, 2-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2019. See her history.

Mertens
Wimbledon
Mertens's Record

Madison Keys

Ranked no. 27, Keys got to the 3rd round after defeating Katie Swan 6-3 6-4 and Lauren Davis 6-1 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Davis (6-1 6-4). During the match Keys scored 62 points vs Davis’s 44. Keys was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

About the serving games, Keys scored 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Madison Keys was very efficient on serve to win 76% (25/33) of her 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Keys broke Davis 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Keys started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points she played.

Madison has an aggregate 9-8 win-loss record in 2021, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Keys
Wimbledon
Keys's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Mertens
M.Keys
2h:15
2h:15
Time on court​
2h:16
2h:16
!
0h:58
0h:58
Last match​
1h:03
1h:03
2
2
Match played
2
2
30
30
Games Played​
36
36
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
120
120
Total points​
129
129
60
60
Avg point​
64.5
64.5
40
40
Winners
54
54
20
20
Avg Winners​
27
27
33%
33%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
12
12
2.5
2.5
Avg Aces
6
6
6
6
Double Faults
4
4
3
3
Avg Double Faults
2
2
40/54
40/54
1st won total​
54/67
54/67
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
81%
81%
19/36
19/36
2nd won total​
23/43
23/43
53%
53%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
11/25
11/25
BP won
6/15
6/15
5.5/12.5
5.5/12.5
Avg BP won
3/7.5
3/7.5
44%
44%
Won
40%
40%
4
4
Conceded
3
3
2
2
Avg Conceded
1.5
1.5
2
2
Broken
1
1
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
2
2
Saved
2
2
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Mertens Keys
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 30 36
Pts 120-79 129-100
Total Points 199 229
Winners 40 54
%Winners 33% 42%

Both Mertens and Keys played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mertens and Keys have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Mertens played 6 games less than Keys. Mertens scored 40 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 54 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Mertens Keys
Aces 5 12
Avg per match 2.5 6
1st in 54/90 67/110
%1st in 60% 61%
1st pts 40/54 54/67
%1st pts 74% 81%
2nd pts 19/36 23/43
%2nd pts 53% 53%

Mertens blasted 5 aces (2.5 per match). Keys made 12 aces (6 per match). Mertens won 74% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Keys won 81% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Mertens Keys
Won 11 6
Converted 11/25 6/15
% Converted 44% 40%
Conceded 4 3
Saved 2 2
% Saved 50% 67%
Times Broken 2 1

Elise broke her opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. Mertens surrendered her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Madison broke her opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. Madison conceded her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Mertens
R1
Dart		 R2
Zhu		 Total
Score 6-1 6-3 6-2 6-0
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 14 30
pts 64-48 56-31 120-79
Total points 112 87 199
Winners 21 19 40
%Winners 33% 34% 33%
SERVE
Aces 0 5 5
Double Faults 3 3 6
1st in 29/52 25/38 54/90
% 1st in 56% 66% 60%
1st pts 21/29 19/25 40/54
% 1st pts 72% 76% 74%
2nd pts 12/23 7/13 19/36
% 2nd pts 52% 54% 53%
Breaks
Won 5 6 11
Converted 5/13 6/12 11/25
Converted % 38% 50% 44%
Conceded 3 1 4
Saved 2/3 0/1 2
Saved % 67% 0% 34%
Times Broken 1 1 2
Keys
R1
Swan		 R2
Davis		 Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 17 36
pts 67-56 62-44 129-100
Total points 123 106 229
Winners 29 25 54
%Winners 43% 40% 42%
SERVE
Aces 8 4 12
Double Faults 2 2 4
1st in 34/58 33/52 67/110
% 1st in 59% 63% 61%
1st pts 29/34 25/33 54/67
% 1st pts 85% 76% 81%
2nd pts 13/24 10/19 23/43
% 2nd pts 54% 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 2 4 6
Converted 2/8 4/7 6/15
Converted % 25% 57% 40%
Conceded 0 3 3
Saved 0/0 2/3 2
Saved % – 67% 34%
Times Broken 0 1 1

Head 2 Head

Elise Mertens
  • 0Slam
  • 8Main
  • 4ITF
  • 7Minor
Madison Keys
  • 0Slam
  • 9Main
  • 2ITF
  • 1Minor

Elise
Mertens

2:3

Madison
Keys

Rank

29

High

12

2Hard2

0Grass1

Rank

24

High

7

Win Loss
Mertens
LWLWLWWWLL
Keys
LWWLWWLLWW
2024 2023 2022
26 - 23
24 - 11
16-13
Hard
7-5
1-1
I Hard
0-0
6-5
Clay
13-4
3-4
Grass
4-2

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

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Upcoming matches in the draw

Mertens
Elise Mertens
More Stats
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Keys Madison Keys