Angelique Kerber and Katerina Siniakova will square off in the final of the Bad Homburg Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Angelique Kerber who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Angelique Kerber is the pick to win this match.
Angelique Kerber -> 1.54
Katerina Siniakova -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Angelique Kerber vs. Katerina Siniakova
This will be the 6th time that Angelique Kerber and Katerina Siniakova square off. The head to head is 4-1 for Kerber (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they locked horns, Kerber won 6-3 4-6 6-3 in the 1st round in Melbourne back in February 2021.
Angelique Kerber
Ranked no. 28, Angelique reached the final after defeating Ekaterina Yashina 6-1 6-1, Anna Blinkova 6-0 6-2, Amanda Anisimova 2-6 6-3 6-3 and Petra Kvitova 3-6 6-4 7-63.
In the semifinal against Kvitova, The German recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 7-63).-95) than Kvitova. In fact, the world no. 28 won 95 points vs Kvitova’s. That means that Kerber was more focused during the important points. Kerber was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kerber bagged 2 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Angelique Kerber lost the serve 6 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kerber put 58% of her first serves in, winning 65% (34/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (16/38) on the 2nd serve. Kerber broke Kvitova 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has dropped 2 set in this event to win 56% of the points she played.
Kerber has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 68% of her matches (391-187). 5-1 on grass in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Kerber has an overall 64-18 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
The German’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Bad Homburg.
Kerber has an overall 13-10 win-loss record in 2021, 5-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bad Homburg
Kerber has never competed in this tournament before.
Katerina Siniakova
Ranked no. 76, Katerina reached the final after defeating Varvara Gracheva 6-3 6-2, Jessica Pegula 6-3 5-7 6-4, Laura Siegemund 7-5 6-4 and Sara Sorribes Tormo 6-2 6-4.
In the semifinal, Katerina had a good straight sets win against Sorribes Tormo (6-2 6-4). During the match Siniakova scored 59 points vs Sorribes Tormo’s 41. The Czech was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Siniakova was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Katerina Siniakova was exceptionally effective on serve to win 77% (24/31) of her 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Czech broke Sorribes Tormo 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Katerina started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Katerina’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Parma and Bad Homburg.
Katerina has an aggregate 13-10 win-loss record in 2021, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kerber | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 86 | 88 |
| Pts | 294-229 | 303-254 |
| Total Points | 523 | 557 |
| Winners | 111 | 109 |
| %Winners | 38% | 36% |
Both Kerber and Siniakova played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Angelique Kerber surrendered 2 sets, while Katerina Siniakova dropped 1 set. Kerber has played 1 set more than Siniakova (10 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Kerber played 2 games less than Siniakova. The German scored 111 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Katerina fired 109 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kerber | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st in | 155/237 | 156/260 |
| %1st in | 65% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 111/155 | 109/156 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 40/82 | 55/104 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 53% |
Kerber made 7 aces (1.8 per match). Siniakova struck 11 aces (2.8 per match). Kerber won 72% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Siniakova won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kerber | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 20 |
| Converted | 21/38 | 20/38 |
| % Converted | 55% | 53% |
| Conceded | 20 | 23 |
| Saved | 10 | 14 |
| % Saved | 50% | 61% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 9 |
Angelique broke her opponents 21 times with a 55% conversion rate. Angelique conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Katerina broke her opponents 20 times with a 53% conversion rate. Siniakova conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kerber | ||||||
| R1 Yashina |
R2 Blinkova |
1/4 Anisimova |
1/2 Kvitova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-0 6-2 | 2-6 6-3 6-3 | 3-6 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | 26 | 32 | 86 | |
| pts | 53-25 | 60-30 | 86-77 | 95-97 | 294-229 | |
| Total points | 78 | 90 | 163 | 192 | 523 | |
| Winners | 25 | 21 | 31 | 34 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 35% | 36% | 36% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 32/43 | 24/34 | 47/70 | 52/90 | 155/237 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 71% | 67% | 58% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 25/32 | 21/24 | 31/47 | 34/52 | 111/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 88% | 66% | 65% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/11 | 7/10 | 11/23 | 16/38 | 40/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 70% | 48% | 42% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21 | |
| Converted | 5/5 | 5/11 | 5/10 | 6/12 | 21/38 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 45% | 50% | 50% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 20 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 0/0 | 2/6 | 5/11 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 33% | 45% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Siniakova | ||||||
| R1 Gracheva |
R2 Pegula |
1/4 Siegemund |
1/2 Sorribes Tormo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 5-7 6-4 | 7-5 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 31 | 22 | 18 | 88 | |
| pts | 72-53 | 102-99 | 70-61 | 59-41 | 303-254 | |
| Total points | 125 | 201 | 131 | 100 | 557 | |
| Winners | 16 | 44 | 25 | 24 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 22% | 43% | 36% | 41% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 27/48 | 63/105 | 35/59 | 31/48 | 156/260 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 60% | 59% | 65% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 16/27 | 44/63 | 25/35 | 24/31 | 109/156 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 70% | 71% | 77% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/21 | 20/42 | 8/24 | 10/17 | 55/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 81% | 48% | 33% | 59% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 20 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 5/7 | 6/11 | 4/5 | 20/38 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 71% | 55% | 80% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 6/9 | 1/5 | 0/1 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 67% | 20% | 0% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLLLLW
LLWLLWWWLL Upcoming matches in the draw
- Angelique KerberKerber – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (4-1) – H2H and prediction
